Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (37-39) face the Colorado Rockies (27-50) on Sunday in the finale of their 3-game road series. First pitch from Coors Field is at 2:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 games, but have lost 2 of their last 3. They won the opener against the Rockies 11-5 on Friday, but lost 8-7 on Saturday.

The Rockies have gone 3-6 so far during their 10-game homestand. They are seeking their 1st series win since taking 2 of 3 from the Cleveland Guardians May 27-29.

Nationals at Rockies projected starters

RHP Jake Irvin vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Irvin (5-6, 3.24 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 86 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R, 8 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 5-0 home loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday
  • Had 1.48 ERA in 5 starts prior to last outing

Freeland (0-3, 13.21 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 2.55 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-0 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on April 14
  • Making 1st start since coming off IL with an elbow strain

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Nationals at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Rockies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals -1.5 (+110) | Rockies +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 7, Rockies 3

Moneyline

The Nationals are 20-20 on the road this season, while the Rockies are 16-23 at home and have lost 9 of their last 12 at home.

Freeland is coming back for his first start since April while Irvin was dominant before his last start.

The Nationals should win, but the trends for the spread show that is the better play for this game.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the Nationals’ last 10 wins, 8 have been by at least 2 runs while the Rockies’ last 17 losses have been by multiple runs.

Here is a good opportunity to win some money on plus odds.

BET NATIONALS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Both games this series have hit the Over, as have 8 of the last 10 meetings between the 2 teams. But before this series, the Nationals had 7 straight games not reaching 11 total runs.

Also, only 1 of Irvin’s last 9 starts have had totals surpassing 11.

BET UNDER 11 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (1-6) and Colorado Rockies (3-4) meet Friday for game 2 of this 4-game series. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rockies lead 1-0; Nationals won 2022 season series 4-3

The Nationals are off to a rough start, tied for the worst record in the league with the Kansas City Royals. Pitching has proven to be a problem for the Nationals as their pitching staff owns a 5.08 ERA through 7 games, and they’ve been outscored 39-17.

Colorado won 1-0 Thursday as a -164 home favorite to lead off this series. The run scored on RF Kris Bryant’s 5th-inning RBI single. SP Kyle Freeland (W, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K) and 2 Colorado relievers allowed just 6 hits in the shutout win.

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Nationals at Rockies projected starters

LHP MacKenzie Gore vs. RHP Jose Urena

Gore (1-0, 1.69 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He was solid in his 1st outing, allowing only 1 ER on 3 hits and 4 walks with 6 K’s in 5 1/3 innings of a 4-1 victory at home vs. the Atlanta Braves.

  • Career vs. Rockies: 0-2, 19.89 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 3.32 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 2 starts last season
  • Last season on road: 3-1, 3.44 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 37 K in 8 appearances (6 starts)

Urena (0-1, 15.43 ERA) is also making his 2nd start of 2023. He was roughed up for 4 ER on 5 hits and 4 walks with 1 HR in only 2 1/3 IP in his 1st outing, an 8-4 loss at San Diego Padres Saturday.

  • Career vs. Nationals: 5-3, 3.66 ERA (59 IP, 24 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 6/5 K/9 in 15 appearances (7 starts)
  • Last season at home: 2-5, 6.14 ERA (44 IP, 30 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 7 HR, 6.3 K/9 in 10 outings (8 starts)

Nationals at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-165) | Rockies -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 4, Nationals 2

Moneyline

BET ROCKIES (-135).

Recent season series between these 2 teams have been very even the past few years with the Rockies holding onto a narrow 8-6 lead since Sept. 17, 2021. In that span, the Rockies have won back-to-back games vs. the Nationals 3 times, while Washington won back-to-back games vs. Colorado twice. Following the trends — 10 of 14 — means it’s a safe bet to expect the Rockies to prevail Friday for a 2nd win in a row.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ROCKIES -1.5 (+135).

In 11 of the last 14 matchups the team that won covered the run line, be it as the favorite or the underdog. It is hard to gauge whether the favorite or the underdog is the safer ATS bet, as the favorite is 7-7 ATS in the last 14 meetings. If you believe the Rockies will win, expect them to cover. But if you feel the Nationals will win, lean toward them to cover.

Figure out how much you want to wager on Colorado — I suggest less than 1 1/2 units — and divvy it up between the moneyline and run line with at least 1 full unit on the ML.

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Over/Under

AVOID. 

The Over/Under has been extremely balanced since 2021, going 7-7 in the 14 meetings. For Washington, the Over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 overall; for Colorado, the Under is 7-3 in the last 10.

I would advise against risking money on a bet here, but if you must, lean toward the Under (all O/U stats from team rankings.com).

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (1-5) and Colorado Rockies (2-4) open a 4-game set Thursday at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023. Washington won last season’s series 4-3.

The Nationals lost 7-2 as +237 home underdogs vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday. OF Victor Robles hit an RBI double in the 2nd inning to make it 1-1 before Tampa Bay pulled away.

The Rockies lost 5-2 as +207 underdogs at the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday. Colorado was swept 2-0 in its series vs. Los Angeles and has lost 4 straight games.

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Nationals at Rockies projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Gray (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 5 ER on 7 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 5 IP in his debut vs. the Atlanta Braves Saturday.

  • Went 7-10 with a 5.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP in 2022.
  • Career vs. Colorado: 2-0 with a 5.03 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 4 starts.

Freeland (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He tossed 6 scoreless IP in his debut with 3 H, 1 BB and 1 K at the San Diego Padres Friday.

  • Posted a 9-11 record with a 4.53 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 174 2/3 in 2022.
  • Career vs. Washington: 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA (40 IP, 12 ER) in 7 starts.

Nationals at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rockies -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Rockies -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Nationals 6

Moneyline

BET ROCKIES (-145).

Colorado has lost 4 straight games, but those losses were against much better competition in the Dodgers and Padres. Washington has struggled against lefties in recent contests and is 14-42 in its last 56 vs. left-handed starters. Look for Gray to struggle once again as he faces the Rockies in their home opener.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Washington has not lost by multiple runs in any of its last 4 meetings vs. Colorado. Nationals +1.5 (-155) should hit Thursday, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Rockies moneyline is the better play. Bet Rockies moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 11 (-105).

The Over is 8-3-1 in Washington’s last 12 games and 7-2-2 in its last 11 vs. left-handed starters.

The Over has hit in 12 of the last 17 meetings between these teams in Colorado and should hit again Thursday as the Rockies’ offense bounces back offensively at home after scoring just 2 runs last time out.

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (9-17) face the Colorado Rockies (14-10) for the finale of their 3-game series Thursday. First pitch is 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The current series and the season series is tied 1-1.

Washington won the opener 10-2 Tuesday. However, the Nationals mustered only 2 runs against LHP Austin Gomber and couldn’t score on the Rockies’ bullpen in a 5-2 loss Wednesday. They had won 3 of their previous 4 outings.

The Rockies have won 4 of 5 games on their homestand and have won 10 games at home on the season. They are 2.5 games out of 1st place in the NL West.

Nationals at Rockies projected starters

RHP Aaron Sanchez vs. RHP Antonio Sanzatela

Sanchez (1-1, 6.75 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 4.8K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.

  • He picked up a win in a 14-4 victory over the San Francisco Giants Friday. He went 5 innings, allowing 3 runs on 6 hits.
  • He is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA over 18 innings in 3 career starts at Coors Field.

Senzatela (2-1, 3.66 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 2.4 K/9 through 19 2/3 IP.

  • He has allowed 8 earned runs all season, 5 of which were in one outing two starts back.
  • He has a 1.84 ERA in 14 2/3 innings pitched across 3 starts at home this season.

Nationals at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rockies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-165) | Rockies -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Nationals at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Nationals 2

Money line

The Rockies have not lost a home series yet this season. Senzatela has been fantastic in three starts at home so far this season and Colorado’s 10 home wins are tied for the most in baseball.

The Nationals have won 2 road series but are 6-6 on the road. They have won 3 of their last 5 games, all on the road, but they are 3-10 in their last 13 outings.

Take the ROCKIES (-140).

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Run line/Against the spread

Nine of the Rockies’ 14 wins this season are by 2 runs or more.  Fourteen of the Nationals’ 17 losses have been by more than 1 run, including Wednesday’s loss.

The Rockies are 8-7 ATS at home this season.

The Nationals are 6-6 ATS on the road. All 6 of their road losses have been by at least 2 runs.

This is my favorite bet because of the payout for the second game in a row.

Take the ROCKIES -1.5 (+133).

Over/Under

Nine of the Rockies’ 14 home games this season have had more than 10 runs. All 4 of Senzatela’s starts this season have had more than 10 runs.

The series opener had 12 total runs.

Four of the Nationals’ last 5 games have had more than 10 runs.

Take OVER 10.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After taking the series opener 5-4. the Washington Nationals (65-92) hope to clinch a series win over the Colorado Rockies (71-85) on Tuesday. First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Nationals LHP Patrick Corbin (9-15, 5.92 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 165 2/3 IP.

  • He faced the Rockies two starts ago Sept. 18, and took the loss, allowing six runs on 10 hits in four innings.
  • The Nationals have won three of his last four starts and, aside from the start against the Rockies, Corbin has allowed only five earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in the month of September.

Rockies LHP Kyle Freeland (6-8, 4.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 114 IP.

  • Freeland beat the Nationals 6-0 on the road, facing Corbin two starts ago Sept. 18. He allowed seven hits in six scoreless innings.
  • The Rockies have lost three of Freeland’s last four starts.

Nationals at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-170) | Rockies -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Rockies 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals’ win Monday night snapped a three-game road losing streak. They have lost their last three games of their road trip and are 30-49 on the road this season.

The Rockies are 46-33 at home but have dropped six of seven in this homestand, dropping five of six to the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants, who are battling for the NL West title, and Monday’s game against the Nationals.

They have not won fewer than two games in any home series this season.

Take the ROCKIES (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals are 74-83 ATS overall this season and 40-39 ATS on the road. Colorado is No. 1 in the league against the spread at home at 47-32 ATS.

Of their last 10 losses, the Nationals lost by only 1 run five times. Five of the last eight wins for the Rockies were by 1 run.

The Rockies have failed to cover the spread in five straight games. It is the longest such streak they have had.

I don’t expect the streak will continue. Take the ROCKIES -1.5 (+135).

Over/Under (O/U)

Despite the reputation, only 42.9% of the games at Coors Field went Over the projected total this season.

Only two of the Rockies’ seven games so far in the homestand finished with 12 or more runs. Only four of their last 17 overall had 12-plus runs.

Six of the Nationals’ last 12 games had a total of 12 or more runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-105).

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Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (64-92) kick off their final road series of the season Monday against the Colorado Rockies (71-84), who are in their last home series of the season. First pitch for Monday’s game is at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Nationals vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray (1-2, 5.92 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th appearance of the season. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 59 1/3 IP with the Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers.

  • Picked up his first MLB win in his last start against the Miami Marlins, pitching 6 innings and allowing 2 runs on 6 hits and a walk. The Nationals are 3-7 when he starts.
  • He has pitched against the Rockies twice this season. Across 9 1/3 innings, he has allowed 7 runs (all earned) on 6 hits and 8 walks. He has struck out 11 Rockies batters.

Rockies RHP German Marquez (12-10, 4.32 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 175 IP.

  • The Rockies won his last four starts and six of his last seven, including a 9-8 win over the Nationals Sept. 17.
  • Allowed 11 runs and 14 hits over 8 IP across his last two starts.

Nationals at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rockies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Rockies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Rockies 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals lost their last three games of their road trip and are 29-49 on the road this season.

The Rockies are 46-32 at home but have dropped five of six in this homestand, facing the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants, who are battling for the NL West title.

The Rockies took two of three in Washington against the Nationals earlier this month. They have not lost one of Marquez’ home starts since July 20.

Take the ROCKIES (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals are 73-83 ATS overall this season and 39-39 ATS on the road. Colorado is No. 1 in the league against the spread at home at 47-31 ATS.

Of their last 10 losses, the Nationals lost by only 1 run five times. Five of the last eight wins for the Rockies were by 1 run.

Keeping with that trend, even though I like the Rockies to win, take the NATIONALS +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under (O/U)

Despite the reputation, only 43.4% of the games at Coors Field went Over the projected total this season.

Only two of the Rockies’ six games so far in the homestand finished with 12 or more runs. Only four of their last 16 overall had 12-plus runs.

Six of the Nationals’ last 11 games had a total of 12 or more runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-115).

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