Tag: Nationals Phillies betting odds lines against the spread over under picks

The Washington Nationals (12-21) and Philadelphia Phillies (16-15) play the third installment of a four-game series Wednesday night at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Nationals-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nationals at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Zack Wheeler 

Scherzer has battled hamstring issues in posting a 3.86 ERA through seven starts.

• The perennial All-Star hurler is coming off one of his best starts of 2020, a six-inning, 11-strikeout performance at Fenway Park on Friday.
• Scherzer’s surface ERA has been bloodied by a .372 BABIP and higher-than-career-normal rate of fly balls leaving the yard. 

Wheeler has ingratiated himself with his new club by clocking a fine 2.58 through 6 starts.

• Wheeler hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in any one start this season. He has yielded just one home run in four starts in his hitter-friendly home park.
• Current Washington bats own a high-walk .756 OPS against the 10-year veteran. As a member of the New York Mets last year, Wheeler logged a five-start 6.83 ERA against the Nationals.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out
• RP Javy Guerra (hamstring) questionable

Phillies 

• RP Jose Alvarez (groin) out
• 2B Scott Kingery (back) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Nationals at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

The Nats (-118) are struggling (1-7 since Aug. 24) but undervalued by their .364 win percentage. The Nationals’ offense has cranked out a league-best .903 OPS on the road. Mix in a bottom-10 Philly pen and Scherzer — perhaps a strengthening, healthier Scherzer — and Washington is a lean. The market has taken some air out of the play, but NATIONALS (-118) is still solid.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 moneyline wager on the Nationals returns a profit of $8.50.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE RUN LINE — Nationals -1.5 (+135)/Phillies +1.5 (-162).

Over/Under (O/U)

Few Scherzer starts get tagged with an 8, let alone an 8.5. The Nats ace hasn’t been going 7-8 innings per start, so that certainly impacts Wednesday’s number. So is “wind out, hot, and humid” in the weather report.

There are some overcooked surface numbers for both offenses. The lean is on the UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The Washington Nationals (12-20) and Philadelphia Phillies (15-15) play the second contest of a four-game series Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Nationals-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nationals at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Aaron Nola 

Corbin owns a 3.82 ERA through 6 starts.

• The veteran lefty is facing Philadelphia for a second straight start. He allowed 2 runs over 6 innings last Wednesday. He has logged a sub-3.00 ERA against the Phillies over the last two years and current Philly bats own a lackluster .666 OPS against 

Nola has carded an even 3.00 ERA through 6 starts.

• The right-hander pitched against Corbin in that Aug. 26 game and earned a 3-2 victory. Nola’s pitch count in that game hit a season-high 113.
• Nola has thus far fanned 12 batters per nine innings on the strength of a 12.9% swing-and-miss rate. Both figures are would-be career highs.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out

Phillies 

• RP Jose Alvarez (groin) out
• 2B Scott Kingery (back) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Nationals at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

The market has these odds well-bracketed, but the NATIONALS (+140) are a lean despite losing six of their last seven games. The Nats are not the second-half Nats of a year ago, but they are undervalued by their .375 win percentage.

The Nationals’ offense has cranked out a league-best .903 OPS on the road. Throw that in against a high-quality Nola but a Nola coming off a high pitch count, and add in the shaky Philly pen — you don’t get Washington as a 47-or-48% proposition, but you do get a value at +140.

New to sports betting? A winning $10 moneyline wager on the Nationals returns a profit of $14.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS ON THE RUN LINE — Nationals +1.5 (-154)/Phillies -1.5 (+125).

A shift toward +130 on the Philadelphia side brings a bracket move into play — taking the Nationals on the moneyline and the Phillies on the run line. Those prices would mitigate a loss on the one-run Philadelphia win.

Over/Under (O/U)

Tag the OVER 8.5 (-110) with a lean on this one. The second-division bullpens and Philadelphia’s proficiency against southpaws (.864 OPS) make for a solid play in a hitters’ yard. The starters are solid, but if the game goes a bit sideways there are several factors pointing to a double-digit total.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The Washington Nationals (12-19) head to the City of Brotherly Love to start a 4-game series versus the Philadelphia Phillies (14-15) Monday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Below, we analyze the Nationals-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Nationals at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Spencer Howard 

Fedde in 2020: 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 2.4 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 in 22 2/3 IP over 6 games (3 starts). 

• Last start: Loss in 5 IP with 7 H, 4 ER, 1 strikeout and 1 walk against the Phillies on Aug. 25. 
• Career vs. Phillies: 2-2 with a 4.78 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 17 K and 13 BB in 26 1/3 IP over 6 games (5 starts). 

Howard made his MLB debut earlier this season and has a 0-1 record with a 6.17 ERA, 8.5 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 11 2.3 IP (3 starts). 

• Last start: No-decision in 3 2/3 IP with 5 H, 1 ER, 5 K, 2 BB in a 3-2 loss at the Toronto Blue Jays on Aug. 20.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Nationals at Phillies: Key injuries

(Get the latest injury news here.)

Nationals

• 2B Starlin Castro (wrist) out

Phillies 

• RP Jose Alvarez (groin) out
• RF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Nationals at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Phillies 7, Nationals 3

Moneyline (ML)

The PHILLIES (-143) have won 5 of their last 6 games, which includes back-to-back road wins against the Nationals, Aug. 25-26. They lost a 12-10 slugfest against the Atlanta Braves Sunday.

The Nationals (+130) have the opposite results as Philadelphia recently, losing 5 of 6 games, which includes dropping a 3-game series to the lowly Boston Red Sox, 2-1, this past weekend.

What draws me toward Philadelphia is the market/pricing of the lines. Howard is the Phillies’ top pitching prospect and has yet to make it past the 5th inning.

Also, the Phillies have the worst bullpen ERA in the majors and the Nationals are a much stronger road team (8-7 in away games, 4-12 in home games). But BetMGM knew this prior to making the line. They want bettors to chase the value and bet against the inexperienced Howard.

Let’s eat the vig and TAKE PHILLIES (-143) on the moneyline. New to sports betting? A $143 wager on the Phillies (-143) returns a $100 profit if Philadelphia beats Washington.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Phillies’ -1.5 (+135) bullpen is too bad to back them on a run line wager. There is definitely a scenario where the Nationals’ above-average lineup chases Howard early and we get another slugfest.

For the record, that’s not my handicap but it could happen. Either way, PASS ON THE RUN LINE.

Over/Under (O/U)

My feeling toward the total is a LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-110). Both lineups are in the top-10 in several categories and the pitching matchup sets up well for an Over.

I think we get a quality start out of Howard, the Phillies lineup gets out to an early lead and this game dies out. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 games in Philadelphia and it’ll be 5 straight after today.

(I don’t like playing totals so I’d only wager a fraction of the moneyline bet on the Under).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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