Tag: Nationals Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Washington Nationals (55-65) visit the Baltimore Orioles (70-50) on Wednesday to conclude their season series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Nationals lead 2-1

The Nationals got back in the win column on Tuesday with a 9-3 win over the Orioles to cover as +165 road underdogs. 3B Ildemaro Vargas led the way on offense with 3 RBIs while RHP Jake Irvin allowed 2 ER in 6 IP to pick up the win.

The Orioles have lost back-to-back games after Tuesday’s loss as -180 home favorites. LHP Trevor Rogers allowed 5 ER in 5 IP to take the loss.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

LHP DJ Herz vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Herz (2-4, 4.41 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 49 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 9-5 loss against San Francisco Giants Thursday
• Made debuting June 4; 1st time facing Orioles

Kremer (4-9, 4.70 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 7-6 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
• Career vs. Nationals: 2-0, 2.31 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 12 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2 starts; last outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:26 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Orioles -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Orioles -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Baltimore (-185) to win on Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-135).

While the Orioles hold the advantage, the pitching matchup is the difference. The Nationals have won 3 of their last 4 games and have scored 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 while the Orioles have scored 3 or fewer runs in back-to-back games.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

The Nationals have avoided the Under in 7 of their last 10 games and have hit the Over in back-to-back games. They have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games.

The Orioles have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games and have allowed 5 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games. They have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games.

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The Washington Nationals (69-89) and the Baltimore Orioles (98-59) finish a 2-game series Wednesday at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

It was a classic pitcher’s duel Tuesday night in Baltimore. A solo home run by Orioles SS Gunnar Henderson in the 1st inning was the only run scored by either team.

Nationals RHP Josiah Gray threw 6 innings, allowing just 5 H and 2 BB with 7 K. But Orioles’ RHP Kyle Bradish had a better night, throwing 8 shutout innings with just 3 H, 2 BB with 4 K.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Grayson Rodriguez

Corbin (10-14, 5.13 ERA) makes his 32nd. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 175 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 9-6 home loss vs. the Atlanta Braves on Friday
• 2023 road stats: 6-5, 4.83 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 49 ER) in 16 starts.
• Career vs. Orioles: 1-4, 4.93 ERA (42 IP, 23 ER) in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance

Rodriguez (6-4, 4.49 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 116 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 5-2 road loss vs. Cleveland Guardians on Thursday
• 2023 home stats: 3-2, 4.88 ERA (59 IP, 32 ER) in 11 starts
• First career start against the Nationals

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Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:32 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Orioles -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Orioles -1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

There are a lot of reasons to pick the Orioles to sweep the season series against the Nationals, but on the betting side there is no value at picking Baltimore at -250. It is best to PASS and look at the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

Washington has been surprisingly successful against the spread this season. They have covered in 49 of 77 games as a road underdog (63.6%). They also are 48-40 ATS after a loss.

The Orioles, who are among the best teams in baseball, struggle at home as a favorite, covering just 40% of the time (23-34) in Camden Yards.

You don’t often see plus odds when you add runs so I like the value in picking the Nationals to keep it close or possibly win.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (+100).

Over/Under

After Tuesday’s 1-0 game, Wednesday’s line sits at a lowly 7.5 runs.

Among the things Washington batters do right is avoid striking out. They rank 2nd in strikeouts per game (7.08). But Washington pitchers struggle to get strikeouts and rank 28th in opponent strikeouts (7.53).

After a win, Baltimore is 51-41-5 toward the Over while Washington is 43-41-4 after a loss.

There should be a lot of contact on the ball Wednesday.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Washington Nationals (69-88) take a short trip to Maryland to visit the Baltimore Orioles (97-59) to open a 2-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 2-0

Washington suffered an 8-5 loss as a +247 home underdog Sunday vs. the Atlanta Braves. The Nationals have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 4-6 in their last 10. The Nationals, 35-41 on the road this season, are last in the NL East and has already been eliminated from playoff contention.

After a 3-game skid, Baltimore won the last 2 games vs. the Cleveland Guardians to split the 4-game series. The Orioles lead the AL East and have already clinched a playoff berth, but the division title is still up for grabs. Baltimore is 2 1/2 games ahead of the 2nd-place Tampa Bay Rays.

Nationals at Orioles projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Gray (8-12, 4.00 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 153 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 13-3 home win Wednesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
• Career vs. Baltimore: 0-1, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Bradish (11-7, 3.01 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 158 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 2-1 road loss Wednesday vs. the Houston Astros
• Career vs. Washington: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 IP, 0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start

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Nationals at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Orioles -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+100) | Orioles -1.5 (-120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nationals at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Nationals 0

Moneyline

PASS.

Baltimore should pick up the win here but as a -250 favorite the line is not worth betting the juice. Bet on the run line and/or O/U instead.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (-115).

The Orioles have been dominant vs. Washington lately, going 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. The Orioles are 6-4 in the last 10 while the Nationals are 4-6 over that same span. Baltimore is also 45-30 at home on the year while Washington is 14 games under .500 on the road. I expect the Orioles to put the Nationals away early.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110). 

The Under has hit in the last 9 straight Baltimore-Washington matchups. The Under is also 4-1 in Baltimore’s last 5 overall and 6-3 in its last 10. The Under has hit in each of Bradish’s last 2 starts overall and hit in his only career start vs. Washington.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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