Tag: Nationals Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Washington Nationals (31-48) and Seattle Mariners (38-40) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Wednesday at T-Mobile Park (ESPN+). First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1 after Washington’s 7-4 win in 11 innings Tuesday night

The Nationals have won 3 of their past 4 games — their best stretch since also going 3-1 in 4 games from May 24-27. Washington has scored 4 or more runs in 3 straight games, but it has not scored 4 or more runs in 4 straight games since an 8-game run from May 19-27.

The Mariners have dropped 3 of their past 4 games and are 5-7 in their last 12 outings overall. The Over has cashed in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games, with the M’s averaging 6.8 runs scored per game (RPG) while allowing 3.8 RPG during the stretch.

The Mariners slipped to 14-14 in interleague play with Tuesday’s loss. Seattle is still 22-18 at home while posting a plus-25 run differential overall. The Nationals are 10-15 vs. AL, and they’re 18-21 on the road with a minus-65 run differential.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Nationals at Mariners projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Corbin (4-9, 5.32 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 across 89 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 13-3 road loss vs. the San Diego Padres Friday
• 2023 road splits: 2-4, 6.34 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 27 ER – 11 HR) with a .296 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts

Gilbert (5-4, 4.07 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 across 86 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 13-1 road win vs. the Baltimore Orioles Friday
• 2023 home splits: 1-3, 4.00 ERA (36 IP, 16 ER – 7 HR) with a .209 OBA in 6 starts

Nationals at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:43 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Mariners -1.5 (-130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Nationals at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

The Mariners (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

While Corbin is horrific, especially on the road, AVOID Seattle, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (-130) are a much better play on the run line.

The Nationals have not only lost Corbin’s past 4 starts, but they’ve lost each of them by 2 runs or more, with 3 of the 4 setbacks by 4 or more runs.

Seattle is 11-9 in the past 20 games as a favorite, but it’s just 2-5 on the run line in the previous 7 when favored, so be careful. But, the play is more against the erratic Corbin and the Nats than it is on the M’s.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The OVER 8 (-115) is the best play on the board, and it’s possible the Mariners come close to taking care of it on their own.

While the Under is 8-7-1 in Corbin’s 16 starts overall this season, it’s a lack of runs on the Nationals’ part, and not so much anything Corbin is doing. The Nats have coughed up 45 runs in the southpaw’s previous 6 assignments.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

The Washington Nationals (30-47) and Seattle Mariners (37-39) open a 3-game set Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Mariners won last season’s series 3-1

The Nationals won 8-3 as +184 underdogs at the San Diego Padres Sunday, taking the series 2-1. Washington is 5-15 in its last 20 contests and is 5th in the NL East, 20 games behind the division-leading Atlanta Braves.

The Mariners lost 3-2 as -115 favorites at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday, dropping the series 2-1. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 6 contests and is 4th in the AL West, 9 1/2 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Nationals at Mariners projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Williams (4-4, 4.14 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 76 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-0 win vs. St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
• Has won his last 2 decisions
• First career start vs. Mariners

Castillo (4-6, 2.89 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 87 1/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 4-2 loss at New York Yankees Wednesday
• Has lost his last 4 starts despite allowing just 9 ER over that span
• Career vs. Nationals: 0-5, 4.81 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 32 H, 8 HR, 19 BB, 32 K in 6 starts

Nationals at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Mariners -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Mariners -1.5 (-125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Nationals at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Nationals 2

Moneyline

Seattle (-250) should bounce back after losing 2 games in a row, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the ML when the Mariners should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle has not lost 3 straight games since getting swept by the division-leading Rangers from June 2-4. Seven of the Mariners’ last 8 wins have been by multiple runs and it is unlikely that Castillo will lose a 5th straight start.

Washington has not won 3 straight games since May 2-4 and its last 6 losses have all been by 2 or more runs.

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-125).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

The Under is 4-1 in Washington’s last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs in its previous contest and 4-1 in its last 5 interleague matchups.

The Under has hit in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams and should cash again Monday as Castillo bounces back after 4 straight losses.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]