Tag: Nationals Dodgers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington National at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (23-32) and Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22) close out their 3-game series in the City of Angels on Wednesday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0

The Nationals lost 9-3 Tuesday, suffering a 3rd straight defeat after opening a 6-game road trip with 2 wins. Washington has allowed 18 runs over the course of their current losing skid while plating just 6 of its own.

The Dodgers look to complete their first series sweep of the season on Wednesday afternoon. DH J.D. Martinez (3 RBIs) and OF Jason Heyward (2 RBIs) produced 5 of Los Angeles’ 9 runs Tuesday.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Corbin (4-5, 4.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 12-10 road win vs. the Kansas City Royal Friday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 5-12, 4.37 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 108 K in 119 1/3 IP across 22 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Recorded 3 consecutive victories

Syndergaard (1-4, 6.27 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 9-3 road loss at the Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • Career vs. Nationals: 8-6, 3.25 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 107 K in 113 2/3 IP across 20 starts
  • Has not recorded a win since April 30th

Nationals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-250) are the better team and should win this game on talent alone, but all bets are off with Syndergaard on the bump. He hasn’t won a game in over a month, and because L.A. is such a heavy favorite there is no value in this bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

There is no value to these bets either. Normally the favorite gets plus odds to give the underdog a run and a half but betting the Dodgers -1.5 (-105) has you still giving juice to the book.

I am slightly interested in the Nationals +1.5 (+105) but I would have liked to be getting at least +125.

PASS on the run line, but you can make a partial-unit play on the Nats if that price improves to +125.

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Over/Under

Both of these pitchers are no strangers to giving up runs. Corbin and Syndergaard have allowed 21 runs over their last 3 starts combined.

The Dodgers have gone Over this total in 3 of their last 4 games. Washington’s pitching has been crushed to the tune of 15 runs over the first 2 games of this series.

BET OVER 9.5 (-115).

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Washington Nationals (23-30) will begin a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (32-22) on Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; went 3-3 in 2022

The Nationals lost 3-2 to the Kansas City Royals on Sunday despite LHP Mackenzie Gore striking out 11 batters. Washington is 5-5 in its last 10 games and is in last place in the NL East.

On Sunday, the Dodgers lost 11-10 to the Tampa Bay Rays. Los Angeles is 4-6 in its last 10 contests and is only 1.5 games ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the NL West lead.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Trevor Williams vs. RHP Bobby Miller

Williams (2-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Has given up 3-plus ER in 3 of his last 4 starts
  • Owns an 0-1 record with a 5.67 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, and 7.3 K/9 in 6 career appearances (5 starts) against the Dodgers

Miller (1-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 5 innings.

  • Allowed 1 ER on 4 H with 1 BB and 5 K in 5 IP in his debut on May 23 against the Atlanta Braves
  • Was 10-10 with 3.79 ERA in 3 minor league seasons

Nationals at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nationals +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Nationals 3

Moneyline

Even though the Dodgers should cruise to a win on Monday night, PASS on taking the -250 moneyline in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

DODGERS -1.5 (-125) has solid value despite Los Angeles winning only 4 of its last 10 games. The Dodgers get to return home after a 10-game road trip and get to face a pitcher in Williams who has struggled in recent starts.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-105) is the pick in this NL matchup with Williams sputtering in recent starts and Miller making just his 2nd career start. The Dodgers have produced 5-plus runs in 8 of their last 10 games, so we’ll likely just need a couple of runs from the Nationals to hit the Over.

Los Angeles is 4-0 to the Over in its last 4 games following a loss and 7-1 to the Over in its last 8 games overall.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (33-65) and Los Angeles Dodgers (64-31) meet Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 2-2.

The Nationals won Monday’s opener 4-1 and have now won back-to-back games for the first time since June 27-28. A Washington pitching staff that clocked a 5.90 ERA from July 5-23 has yielded just 4 runs over its last 2 games.

The Dodgers went into Monday toting an 8-game win streak. Los Angeles has not lost consecutive home games since June 4-5. Since then, the Dodgers are 17-4 at Chavez Ravine.

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Nationals at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Mitch White

Gray (7-6, 4.40 ERA) owns a 1.27 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 92 IP across 17 starts.

  • Has filed a 12.6 K/9 over his last 4 starts, but he’s allowed 13 ER in his last 16 2/3 IP.
  • Was shellacked by the Dodgers in a home start May 24 when he allowed 7 runs on 5 hits (3 home runs) and 3 walks across just 3 innings pitched.

White (1-2, 3.78 ERA) owns a 1.22 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 50 IP in 14 games (9 starts).

  • Has authored an 0.59 ERA over his last 3 starts in Chavez Ravine and owns a 2.88 home ERA for the season.
  • Has been helped along by a .255 batting average on balls in play.

Nationals at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (-103) | Dodgers -1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Nationals at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Nationals 3

Money line

Underlying pitching numbers point to some value on the visitors’ side here. However, the all-around pricing of this match-up leaves much to be desired. PASS, and perhaps keep an eye on the line. The Nats would have a sliver of value at +210.

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Run line/Against the spread

NATIONALS +1.5 (-103) does not have a ton of value, but it may well be the closest approximation of leverage at the current prices. Consider a partial-unit play unless the price tilts into plus-money territory.

Over/Under

With White’s numbers being a bit overcooked and Washington’s batting numbers being undercooked (a July BABIP of .247 heading into this week hasn’t helped) — and with a batter’s wind in the forecast and two fly-ballers on the mound — the Over is the lean in principle.

However, the pricing here nixes any value. AVOID unless the tag on 8-1/2 runs drops to -120 or better.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-4) close out their three-game set with the defending champion Los Angeles Dodgers (7-2) Sunday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. is going for the series sweep Sunday after winning 9-5 Saturday and 1-0 Friday.

Season series: Dodgers 2-0.

RHP Max Scherzer (0-0) makes his second start of the season for the Nationals. He took a no-decision Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves.

Scherzer pitched 6 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 5 hits with 4 home runs allowed. He struck out 9 with no walks in Washington’s 6-5 win. Three of the four homers were hit by All-Stars RF Ronald Acuña Jr. and 1B Freddie Freeman.

LHP Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers in the series finale.

Kershaw got a win in his last outing at the Oakland Athletics. He went 7 innings while striking out 8 with no walks while allowing only 1 earned run on 4 hits in L.A.’s 5-1 victory.

  • 2021: 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.18 WHIP (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H, 10 K, 1 BB) in 2 starts.
  • Career vs. Nationals: 12-3 with a 2.23 ERA (109 IP, 27 ER, 77 H, 126 K, 23 BB) in 17 appearances and 16 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Dodgers 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+145) for a quarter-unit because Scherzer is still an ace and has always pitched well against the Dodgers.

Since arriving in Washington, Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA (33 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 51 K, 11 BB) in 5 starts. All three of those Scherzer victories were at Dodger Stadium.

Furthermore, the last time these teams met—the 2019 National League Division Series—Kershaw lost Game 2 and blew a save in L.A.’s Game 5 loss by giving up two home runs in the top of the eighth inning.

So, while the Dodgers are the king of the mountain, the starting pitching matchup favors the Nationals.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered overnight has been on the Dodgers, but the Nationals have gotten cheaper on the run line, which could only mean bookmakers want more L.A. money.

Also, the Nationals have hit lefties really well since the beginning of last season; Washington is 11-6 vs. left-handed starters while ranked third in wRC+, OPS and wOBA vs. lefties.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) for a half-unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half-unit based on the obvious reasons. The past two World Series champions have two aces on the mound who aren’t too far removed from their primes.

Lastly, more money is on the Under while more bets have been placed on the Over.

The money column is considered the “sharp” side of the market whereas the “average joe” makes up the bets placed column. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money and not the crowd of people.

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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (1-3) and Los Angeles Dodgers (6-2) continue their weekend set Saturday evening with a 9:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. Corbin started the season on the COVID-19 injured list but was cleared for action for this turn against the Dodgers. A year ago, Corbin went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 65 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

The Washington southpaw logged a 6.59 ERA over five road turns in 2020; his career road ERA of 4.41 is more than a run higher than his 3.32 home mark.

LHP Julio Urias is the projected starter for the Dodgers. He appeared in 11 games last season, going 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.9 BB/9 over 55 IP. The 24-year-old lefty got his 2021 season off to a good start with a fine seven-inning outing at the Colorado Rockies April 4 (7 IP, 1 ER on 3 H).

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Nationals at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals got off to a late start to the season due to COVID-19 protocols. Now, the team may be back but the offense is not. The Nats were blanked 1-0 in Friday’s series opener, and the game marked their second in a row without a run.

With players — including Corbin — starting to filter back into the lineup, Washington’s overall fitness and readiness level is an evolving situation. It’d be best to avoid full-unit plays on the Nats until things solidify a bit.

The slightest lean is on WASHINGTON (+150) in Saturday’s contest.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line. Taking an outright swing is the best play for a side here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7.5 (-110) is the strongest play in this contest. The Dodgers offense is cranked up, averaging 5.62 runs per game on the strength of an .865 OPS. The Nats offense is going to get better; the question is when?

A road contest against a lefty starter puts Washington in line with its best splits from last season.

A light hitter’s breeze in the forecast doesn’t hurt.

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