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Belal Muhammad and Lyman Good will battle in a welterweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 11 – also known as UFC Fight Night 173 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Muhammad (16-3) dumped Takashi Sato by submission at UFC 242 in his most recent showing Sept. 7, 2019, giving him back-to-back victories and six wins in his past seven matches. The submission was a rarity, however, as six of those previous seven fights went the distance. He is strong on the mat, ranking seventh in bottom position time at 3:12. Good (21-5) is even better, ranking second in the division with a 0:40 bottom position time, and 1.68 bottom position percentage.
Good will be looking to throw hands early and often, posting 5.32 strikes landed per minute – he is third in the division with a 1.86 striking differential. Good is tremendous at avoiding the big blows, too, posting a 67.4 significant strike-defense percentage, second in the division. He has alternated wins and losses in his five fights at the UFC level, with four of the bouts ending inside the distance, including a KO/TKO Round 3 win at UFC 244 over Chance Rencountre last time out on Nov. 2, 2019.
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Belal Muhammad vs. Lyman Good betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 19 at 5:15 a.m. ET.
GOOD (+105) is worth a small-unit play against Muhammad (-125) in what should be a fairly entertaining affair. Both of these guys can bomb, and it will be interesting to see if Good can continue his outstanding ability to avoid the big blow. His significant strike defense has been on point in the fledgling days of his UFC career. While Good has seen his fights end rather early at times, Muhammad is much more methodical, thus why YES (-154): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a decent amount of chalk to eat. Taking GOOD BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+200) could help you double up, too.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Good (+105) returns a profit of $10.50. A $10 wager on Yes (-154): Will the fight go the distance? pays a profit of $6.49, while a $10 bet on Good (+200) winning by KO/TKO or Submission doubles your money for a profit of $20.
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