Morocco (1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss) takes on Colombia (2-0-0) in both nation’s last group stage match Thursday. Kickoff from nib Stadium is set for 6 a.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Morocco vs. Colombia odds, and make our best Women’s World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
Morocco was destroyed in its Group H opener, losing 6-0 to Germany. Germany ended with 16 shots and 7 on frame, which compared favorably to Morocco’s 6 and 4. Morocco did beat South Korea 1-0 Sunday. South Korea had 16 shots but none on frame. Morocco ended with 2 on frame and the lone goal of the game. Per the FIFA Women’s Ranking, Morocco sits as the 72nd-best nation.
Colombia has been among the most impressive nations at the World Cup. It sits 25th in the world yet took down No. 2 Germany. Colombia beat Germany 2-1 in its second match and South Korea 2-0 to open up its tournament play. It had more shots on goal than both its opponents, outnumbering Germany 4 to 2.
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Morocco vs. Colombia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Morocco +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Colombia -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
Morocco vs. Colombia picks and predictions
Prediction
Colombia 2, Morocco 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Colombia has been very impressive so far, but the main concern is that it didn’t crush South Korea as it should’ve. It won 2-0, owning possession for 57% of the match and having just 2 more shots on frame. That should make bettors hesitant to back a (-200) favorite, especially one that sat outside of the top 20 nations before the tournament.
Similarly, Morocco has not played well and gave up 16 shots to South Korea. Expect Colombia to have a heyday with its porous defense. Ultimately, given the values, pass on a moneyline wager.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+120).
Columbia’s offense has been dynamic while Morocco’s defense has been subpar. Columbia ended the match with 17 shots on South Korea. It had 9 on Germany. It has had 4 goals and 9 shots on goal through 2 matches. Colombia only needs a draw to win the group and could lay off the gas late.
Morocco allowed 16 shots to South Korea and Germany yet conceived only 2 goals. If Colombia gets off 16 shots, it should get at least 2 in the back of the net. Throughout the 2 matches, it also had 16 shots and put 6 of those on frame, so it isn’t too unlikely Morocco also finds a way to get on the board.
Morocco’s strength has not been its defense while Colombia has won so far with its press and technical finishing. Expect it to break through often. Take OVER 2.5 (+120).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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