Big Sky Tournament: Montana State vs. Northern Colorado odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Montana State vs. Northern Colorado odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions, best bets.

The Montana State Bobcats (26-7) face the Northern Colorado Bears (20-14) Saturday in the Big Sky Tournament Final. Tip-off from the Idaho Central Arena in Boise is at 8 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we look at the Montana State vs. Northern Colorado odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The top-seed Bobcats ended the season on a 2-6 ATS skid, but Montana State has won and covered each game in the Big Sky Tournament so far.

Montana State won the most recent game vs. Northern Colorado in the regular-season finale, 87-85, although the Bears covered as four-point ‘dogs. The Bears won the first meeting in Greeley by a 77-75 count in overtime, although MSU narrowly covered as 2.5-point underdogs.

The Bears were impressive in ousting Portland State Friday, and they’re now 3-1 ATS across the past four games overall. The Over has cashed in six of the past eight games overall for NorCo.

See alsoFerris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Montana State vs. Northern Colorado odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Montana State -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Northern Colorado +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Montana State -3.5 (-115) | Northern Colorado +3.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Montana State vs. Northern Colorado odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Montana State 77, Northern Colorado 74

Money line

MONTANA STATE (-180) is a little on the expensive side, but it is worth the play in what should be a close game. Just picking the winner straight up, rather than trying to pick the winner and win by a certain amount can be less stressful.

The Bobcats are looking to go dancing for the first time since 1996, so Montana State could get off to a bit of a slow start in this potentially historic game for the program. We might see some nerves before the Bobcats get their sea legs and get going.

Against the spread

NORTHERN COLORADO +3.5 (-107) is worth playing in what should be a close game. Both games were decided by a bucket during the regular season.

As mentioned above, the weight of the world is on the shoulders of Montana State -3.5 (-115), as it looks to get to the Big Dance for the first time in 26 years. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Northern Colorado leading at halftime before Montana State starts to chip away in the second half. This game likely could end in typical March Madness fashion with a buzzer beater, too. That’s how evenly matched these teams have been this season.

Over/Under

The OVER 147.5 (-108) is the dominant trend for both teams lately. The Over is 20-7 in the past 27 games overall for Northern Colorado, while cashing in seven of the past 10 neutral-site games. The Over has hit in four straight against winning teams, too.

For Montana State, the Over is an impressive 7-2-1 in the past 10 games overall, while cashing the Over in six of the past seven games as a favorite.

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Montana State at Northern Colorado odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Montana State at Northern Colorado sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Montana State Bobcats (3-3 overall, 0-0 Big Sky) visit the Northern Colorado Bears (5-4, 2-2) in a Thursday evening (8:30 p.m. ET) Big Sky tussle at Bank of Colorado Arena in Greeley, Colo. Below, we analyze the Montana State-Northern Colorado college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Montana State at Northern Colorado: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Montana State +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Northern Colorado -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Montana State +4.5 (-115) | Northern Colorado -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 137.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Montana State at Northern Colorado: Three things to know

  1. Thursday’s contest is slated to be the first of two in three days between the Bobcats and Bears. The Big Sky’s COVID-adjusted schedule calls for college hockey style, two-game trips. Northern Colorado is coming off a two-game series at Montana. MSU is playing in its first conference set with these two at Northern Colorado.
  2. The Bears have had some shooting woes in going 2-3 over their last five games. Over that stretch, Northern Colorado has shot just 42.9% from the field. For the season, the Bears rank 228th in the nation in effective field-goal percentage (47.5%).
  3. Montana State hasn’t had a straight-up win over an NCAA-I foe since Nov. 25 (91-78 at UNLV). A year ago, the Bobcats went 5-10 on the road. That record included a 68-59 loss at Northern Colorado Jan. 2, 2020. In what was a 4-to-8-point game for much of the second half, MSU finished as a minus-7 in turnover margin and the Bobcats registered just one offensive rebound.

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Montana State at Northern Colorado: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Montana State 69, Northern Colorado 68

Money line (ML)

Consider MONTANA STATE +155 as an undercard, or partial-unit sidecar bet, alongside a wager with the points.

Against the spread (ATS)

The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Over the last five games in this Big Sky series, the road team is 4-1 ATS.

And that’s the significant lean here: TAKE THE BOBCATS +4.5 (-115). A shay UNC offense is worthy of being faded. Montana State is near the same level talent-wise as Montana that just played back-to-back two-point games against the Bears.

Over/Under (O/U)

Too much small-sample gray area here. Tag this one with a slight lean on the UNDER (137.5, -110), but there isn’t enough data or value to leverage.

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