Check out our staff members’ picks for the UFC on ESPN 40 main card, which includes two “Ultimate Fighter” finals.
|
Santos
vs.
Hill |
Luque
vs.
Neal |
Pauga
vs.
Usman |
Miller
vs.
Walker |
Sakai
vs.
Spivac |
Cachoeira
vs.
Lipski |
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
127-74 |
Hill
(77%) |
Luque
(86%) |
Pauga
(56%) |
Walker
(57%) |
Spivac
(78%) |
Lipski
(73%) |
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
136-70
2018 Champion |
Hill |
Luque |
Pauga |
Miller |
Spivac |
Cachoeira |
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
132-74
2014 Champion |
Hill |
Luque |
Pauga |
Miller |
Spivac |
Lipski |
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
132-74 |
Hill |
Luque |
Usman |
Walker |
Spivac |
Lipski |
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
128-78 |
Hill |
Neal |
Usman |
Miller |
Spivac |
Lipski |
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
127-79 |
Hill |
Neal |
Pauga |
Walker |
Sakai |
Lipski |
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
126-80 |
Santos |
Luque |
Usman |
Miller |
Spivac |
Lipski |
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
125-81 |
Hill |
Luque |
Pauga |
Walker |
Spivac |
Lipski |
Nolan King
@mma_kings
123-83 |
Santos |
Luque |
Pauga |
Miller |
Sakai |
Lipski |
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
121-85
2017 Champion |
Hill |
Luque |
Pauga |
Walker |
Spivac |
Cachoeira |
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
114-92 |
Hill |
Luque |
Usman |
Walker |
Sakai |
Cachoeira |
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
101-105 |
Hill |
Luque |
Pauga |
Walker |
Sakai |
Lipski |
The UFC is back in its Las Vegas home base this week with a key light heavyweight bout, plus a pair of finals for Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter.”
UFC on ESPN 40 takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The card airs on ESPN and streams on ESPN+.
(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)
In the main event, former light heavyweight title challenger [autotag]Thiago Santos[/autotag] (22-10 MMA, 14-9 UFC) takes on [autotag]Jamahal Hill[/autotag] (10-1 MMA, 4-1 UFC). Hill is a big -340 favorite at Tipico Sportsbook; the comeback on Santos is +250. Our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers largely are taking Hill with a big 9-2 picks lead.
In the co-feature, [autotag]Vicente Luque[/autotag] (21-8-1 MMA, 14-4 UFC) takes on [autotag]Geoff Neal[/autotag] (14-4 MMA, 6-2 UFC) at welterweight. Luque is a 2-1 favorite at the betting window and like Hill has a 9-2 lead from our pickers.
In the heavyweight final of Season 30 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” [autotag]Zac Pauga[/autotag] (5-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC) meets [autotag]Mohammed Usman[/autotag] (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC), the brother of UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman. Pauga is the biggest favorite on the main card at -290, but he has just a 7-4 lead in the picks.
In the “TUF 30” women’s flyweight final, it’s a close fight at the sportsbook between [autotag]Juliana Miller[/autotag] (2-1 MMA, 0-0 UFC) and [autotag]Brogan Walker[/autotag] (7-2 MMA, 0-0 UFC). Miller is a slight favorite at -125, but Walker has a 6-5 picks edge.
[autotag]Augusto Sakai[/autotag] (15-4-1 MMA, 4-3 UFC) takes on -280 favorite [autotag]Serghei Spivac[/autotag] (14-3 MMA, 5-3 UFC) at heavyweight. But despite the big odds in Spivac’s favor, he has just a 7-4 picks lead.
And to open the main card, [autotag]Priscila Cachoeira[/autotag] (11-4 MMA, 3-4 UFC) meets [autotag]Ariane Lipski[/autotag] (14-7 MMA, 3-4 UFC) in a women’s flyweight bout. Lipski nearly is a 2-1 favorite and has an 8-3 lead from our staff members.
In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Hill (77 percent), Luque (86 percent), Pauga (56 percent), Walker (57 percent), Spivac (78 percent) and Lipski (73 percent) are the choices.
Check out all the picks above.
For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC on ESPN 40.
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