Mississippi State at Ole Miss odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Mississippi State at Ole Miss odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4, 3-4 SEC) travel to Oxford to take on the No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels (8-3, 4-3) Thursday at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

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Ole Miss once had hopes of a trip to the conference championship in Atlanta. But after a 30-24 loss to Alabama, Lane Kiffin and the Rebels looked deflated against the Arkansas Razorbacks last Saturday and lost 42-27 in a game they were a 1-point favorite. Ole Miss has been playing without RB Zack Evans and his absence is missed by the offense and QB Jackson Dart.

The Bulldogs come into this Egg Bowl game after trouncing East Tennessee State 56-7 and covering the 40-point spread. They will look to get to 8 wins in a tough SEC West for the 1st time under coach Mike Leach while also beating their hated rival Ole Miss in the process.

Ole Miss won the last matchup 31-21 in 2021 and leads the all-time series 55-29-4.

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Mississippi State at Ole Miss odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mississippi State +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Ole Miss -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Mississippi State +2 (-110) | Ole Miss -2 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 59 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mississippi State at Ole Miss picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 42, Ole Miss 31

Moneyline

MISSISSIPPI STATE +110.

The Bulldogs come into this game seeking to aenge the 31-21 loss from last season while the Rebels come in deflated. Although the Rebels are favored and at home, the Bulldogs have the momentum. Mississippi State +110 is my bet in this game.

Against the spread

PASS.

With the feeling Mississippi State will win, I would rather take the +110 ML then the +2 (-110). If the Bulldogs cover this spread, they will also win. Therefor, do not waste time with the spread. Just stick with the Bulldogs ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 59 (-112).

Ole Miss has a terrible defense. This does not bode well for a team playing  Leach and the air raid offense.

Kiffin has played all season wanting to run the ball to win. With Evans out, he has been unable to in recent weeks. This allowed Arkansas to be able to put up 42 points just a week after being held to 10 by LSU.

The Bulldogs come in after scoring 56 against ETSU Saturday and getting to 40 in this game should not be to much of a challenge. Over 59 (-112) is my favorite play in this game.

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Mississippi State at Ole Miss odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-5) play the Ole Miss Rebels (3-4) Saturday in the 2020 Egg Bowl at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. The kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mississippi State-Ole Miss college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Mississippi State at Ole Miss: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mississippi State +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Ole Miss -334 (bet $334 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mississippi State +10 (-115) | Ole Miss -10 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 68.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mississippi State at Ole Miss: Three things to know

  1. Mississippi State lost its last game versus Georgia 31-24 but covered as a 26.5-point underdog. The Bulldogs are finally starting to settle into first-year head coach Mike Leach’s infamous Air Raid system as they haven’t turned the ball over in their past two games after committing 19 turnovers in their first five outings.
  2. Ole Miss’ scheduled matchup against Texas A&M last week was postponed due to COVID-19. The Rebels won and covered in back-to-back games, having scored a combined 133 points against South Carolina and Vanderbilt.
  3. This is the first Egg Bowl for Leach and Lane Kiffin since each was hired this past offseason by Mississippi State and Ole Miss, respectively.

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Mississippi State at Ole Miss: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ole Miss 38, Mississippi State 31

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE. At -334 on the money line, Ole Miss is a no-go and Mississippi State is too inconsistent to back for the upset.

Against the spread (ATS)

Mississippi State has looked better in back-to-back games after losing five in a row, four by double-digits. The Bulldogs covered in last week’s loss at Georgia and they won outright two games prior against Vanderbilt. Freshman QB Will Rogers has started to find his groove, completing over 76% of his passes in Mississippi State’s last two games.

Ole Miss’ pass defense has been terrible this year, ranking 124th in opponent’s completion percentage, 114th in opponent’s pass yards per attempt and 91st in sack rate. Also, Ole Miss gives up the 11th-most second-half points so the backdoor is always open.

GIMME MISSISSIPPI STATE +10 (-115) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has been steamed up from a 65.5-point opening total to the current number. The pros and joes are on the Over here, with more than 90% of both the money wagered and bets placed on the Over, according to Pregame.com.

The Egg Bowl is a big deal in Mississippi but it’s not like the public is lining up to bet Mississippi State-Ole Miss, so I’m inclined to follow the money. I only lean OVER 68.5 (-110) because we are late to the party and Mississippi State’s defense has put together some impressive outings.

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