The Minnesota Wild (20-19-6) pay a visit to the Pittsburgh Penguins (28-12-5) at PPG Paints Arena Tuesday for a 7 p.m. ET puck drop. We analyze the Wild-Penguins odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.
Wild at Penguins Projected starting goalies
Devan Dubnyk vs. Tristan Jarry
Dubnyk has registered a 3.16 goals against average and .898 save percentage in 22 games (20 starts) this season. The 6-foot-6 netminder allowed five goals (on just 23 shots on goal) against Pittsburgh Oct. 12. That was part of an uneven and injury-marred start to the season for Dubnyk. Since Dec. 21, he has logged a .914 SV%.
Jarry owns a 2.08 GAA and .932 SV%. The 24-year-old has been mortal of late, going 2-1-1 with a .906 SV% since the first of the year. For the season, Jarry’s .941 even-strength SV% ranks second in the NHL. He owns the same save mark with a 1.75 GAA at home.
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Wild at Penguins: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Pittsburgh 4, Minnesota 3
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID. C Sidney Crosby returns from injury tonight, and that puts a bit too much air in the Penguins’ straight-up odds (-208).
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Minnesota is 4-1 against the puck line over its last five road tilts. Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS over its last seven at home. Each of the Pens’ last four wins was by a lone goal.
We will take both recent goaltender trends and ride those. The Wild are being undervalued due to recent results despite strong puck-possession and quality-shot indicators. Minnesota is 1-4-1 over its last six games. Making a play on MINNESOTA (+1.5 -154).
Over/Under (O/U)
The total has gone Over in five of Minnesota’s last seven games on the road. The total has gone Over is six of Pittsburgh’s last nine contests, and in the last six Wild-Pens games the Over is 5-1.
Pittsburgh has yielded a few extra shots of late. Minnesota’s analytic indicators show some upside in getting more quality scoring chances and in burying those once they do. That all makes for a sold play on the OVER 5.5 (-139).
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