Minnesota Vikings at Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Vikings at Washington Commanders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

Two of the hotter under-the-radar teams in the NFL meet when the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) look to win their 5th-straight game when they go on the road to face the Washington Commanders (4-4) – winner of the 3 straight. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. Sunday at FedEx Field (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Vikings vs. Commanders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Despite being 6-1 and separated from the pack in the NFC North, the Vikings are getting a lot of national attention. They’ve won 5 straight – all 1-score games that the Vikings find a way to put things together late to pull out wins. They also acquired TE T.J. Hockenson at the trade deadline, and he should provide another element for this offense.

After a 1-4 start, the Commanders have won 3 straight, including an upset 23-21 win over Green Bay in their last home game. With winning streaks on the line, both teams have a lot to play for as they look to solidify their chances of making the postseason.

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Vikings at Commanders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vikings -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Commanders +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -3.5 (-101) | Commanders +3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Vikings at Commanders key injuries

Vikings

  • DT Dalvin Tomlinson (calf) out
  • CB Cameron Dantzler (neck) questionable

Commanders

  • WR Jahan Dotson (hamstring) out
  • LB Cole Holcomb (foot) out
  • LB David Mayo (hamstring) out
  • RB J.D. McKissic (neck) out

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Vikings at Commanders picks and predictions

Prediction

Vikings 27, Commanders 20

Moneyline

PASS.

The Vikings find ways to win to games and have handled the better teams they have faced all season (their only loss is to the 8-0 Eagles). The return on investment is a little steep, so many will likely avoid this bet, but getting 3.5 points of insurance may be enough to get bettors to bite on this week. Given my prediction, I would pass on this and bet the spread, which is much more Vikings-friendly.

Against the spread

TAKE THE VIKINGS -3.5 (-101)

Minnesota has won 5 straight 1-score games against teams more talented than the Commanders, including beating Miami and Arizona by 8 points each in their last 2 games.

The Vikings have been lights out at times only to allow teams back into games (see the Bears game when a 21-0 Vikings lead early turned into a 22-21 deficit before sealing the deal with a late touchdown).

The Vikings have more talent on both sides of the ball and, while they don’t consistently put together 4 quality quarters in a game, they aren’t 6-1 by a fluke.

Over/Under

TAKE THE OVER (-105)

This is a tough one because the Commanders don’t score a lot of points. They have scored 17 or fewer points in 5 of the last 6 games, but the Vikings defense has its own share of issues, especially in the secondary.

Minnesota has 22 or more points in 5 of its last 6 games, and even if the defense limits Washington to its standard 17 points, it will only take 27 points for the Vikings to hit the Over. This looks like another game that Minnesota gets a lead in and tries to hold for a 6th straight win.

It may take until late in the game to hit the Over, but that’s the play – despite the betting lines indicating the game should hit the Under. That’s not what Minnesota tends to do.

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