Tag: Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds predictions pick betting line spread

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (69-70) welcome the Minnesota Twins (75-64) to Tropicana Field Thursday for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 4-2

The Rays beat the Twins 9-4 Wednesday, winning their 2nd straight game in the series. Tampa Bay won 2-1 Tuesday after losing the series opener 5-4 on  Monday. The rays are 4th in the AL East and have won 3 of their last 7 games. Tampa Bay is 69-70 against the spread (ATS) and 37-37 at home.

The Twins have disappointed since opening the series with a win. They are very much in the playoff picture, sitting 2nd in the AL Central. Minnesota has had issues as of late, going 5-11 over its last 16 games. The Twins are 36-34 on the road and 65-74 ATS. They won 2 of 3 against the Toronto Blue Jays in the series prior.

Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Lopez (13-8, 4.05 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 155 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER (0 R), 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 2-0 home win over Toronto Friday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-4, 4.11 ERA (81 IP, 37 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Rays: 1-3, 4.05 ERA (40 IP, 18 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 7 starts

Bradley (6-9, 4.35 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 8 ER (8 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 13-5 road loss to the San Diego Padres Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 3-6, 3.92 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Rays +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+128) | Rays +1.5 (-154)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Rays 3

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-136).

The Rays have performed poorly this season following a win. They sit in the bottom 3rd of the league with a 28-40 record after a victory. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in the games after its last 5 wins.

The Twins are 32-31 following a loss and should have the pitching advantage Thursday as well. Minnesota has scored at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 4 games, so it should be able to score a few and use Lopez’s dynamic pitching to do the rest.

Take TWINS (-136).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Twins are too risky to entertain on the spread over the moneyline, and the Rays are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-122).

Minnesota has consistently hit the Over this season. The Twins are 71-64-4 O/U and have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games, scoring at least 5 runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

The Rays have gone Over in 5 of their last 7 games and are 5-1-1 O/U in those. They have allowed at least 4 runs in 6 of their last 7 games while having scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 6.

Considering those trends, take OVER 7 (-122).

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (75-63) and Tampa Bay Rays (68-70) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 3-2

The Twins snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 2-1 loss against the Rays Tuesday as +103 road underdogs. 1B Carlos Santana hit a solo shot in the 2nd inning, while RHP David Festa allowed 2 ER in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

Tampa Bay snapped a 2-game skid with its win Tuesday as a -112 home favorite. 1B Jonathan Aranda and C Logan Driscoll each drove in a run while LHP Jeffrey Springs allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP Ronny Henriquez vs. RHP Cole Sulser

Henriquez (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 1st MLB start and 10th appearance this year. The rookie has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 11 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 1 relief IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 5-4 victory at Tampa Bay Monday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-0, 4.76 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 5 relief appearances

Sulser (0-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his 1st MLB start and 7th appearance this season. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 6.5 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 8 1/3 innings with the Rays and New York Mets.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 2 2/3 relief IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 4-3 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 5.06 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.69 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 across 3 relief appearances with Rays and Mets
  • Career vs. Twins: 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 1 relief appearance of 7-4 home win June 1, 2021, with Baltimore Orioles

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+150) | Rays +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Rays 4

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-115).

The Twins have won 2 of their last 3 games and 3 of their last 5. They have scored 4 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games and allowed 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 5. Tampa Bay has dropped 2 of its last 3 games and 4 of its last 6 while allowing 4 or more runs in 5 of its last 6.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline has better value on the Twins.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-120).

Minnesota has scored 4 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 games and in 5 of its last 10. It has allowed 4 or more runs in 2 of its last 4 games and 5 of its last 8. Tampa Bay has scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 4 or more in 5 of its last 6. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Rays’ last 6 games.

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (75-62) and Tampa Bay Rays (67-70) meet Tuesday for Game 2 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 6:50 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

Minnesota escaped with a 5-4 win over Tampa Bay Monday while covering as a -113 road favorite. The Twins survived a late scare from the Rays who were attempting to come back from down 4-2. The Twins have won 2 straight.

RHP Zack Littell took the loss (4 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 2 K) as the Rays have lost back-to-back games.

Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP David Festa vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs

Festa (2-4, 4.89 ERA) makes his 9th career start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 5-1 loss vs. Atlanta Braves Wednesday
  • First start vs. Tampa Bay

Springs (1-2, 3.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 27 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 9 K in a 3-2 win over Seattle Mariners Tuesday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+170) | Rays +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

LEAN RAYS (-115).

The only real advantage in this game goes to the Rays who are 7-3 in their last 10 overall vs. Minnesota and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings with the Twins in Tampa.

This is a lean because neither team has been hot recently and because the Twins have been the better team this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Rays to cover here as +1.5 (-210) underdogs, but this line is set too highly to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in each of Minnesota’s last 5 road games and is 2-1 in its last 3 overall. For Tampa, the Over is 4-0-1 in its last 5 games and 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 Minnesota-Tampa Bay matchups, being 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (31-31) and the Tampa Bay Rays (45-19) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-0

The Twins offense has been rather toothless in the 1st 2 games of this series, suffering a 7-0 loss in Tuesday’s opener, while taking a 2-1 loss Wednesday. Minnesota has collected just 7 hits in the 1st 2 games, too, and no player on the Twins has had more than 1 hit in the series.

The Rays have rattled off 5 consecutive victories, and pitching has been the key. Tampa pitchers have yielded just 6 total runs during the win streak, or just 1.2 runs per game. The Under is perfect (5-0) in the stretch, and 8-1 in  the last 9 games overall for the Rays.

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Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. LHP Tyler Glasnow

Ober (3-2, 2.33 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 1-0 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-0, 0.69 ERA (13 IP, 1 ER) with 2 BB, 12 K and a .196 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts

Glasnow (0-0, 3.42) may make his 3rd start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.

  • Has not officially been named Thursday starter
  • Last start: No-decision, 4.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 8 K in 6-5 loss to Los Angeles Dodgers on May 27

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-145) | Rays -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Rays 2

Moneyline

The TWINS (+145) are worth a look as moderate favorites, as Ober has been red-hot on the road in his 2 outings to date. Meanwhile, the Rays (-175) are rather expensive for a team which has yet to officially announce a starter.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS +1.5 (-145) are still a good value if you don’t trust Minnesota completely, and you want a little insurance.

Yes, the Rays -1.5 (+120) have been on fire, winning 5 straight games by a combined score of 23-6. However, Ober is likely to miss plenty of Tampa’s bats, keeping the visitors in this getaway day game.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board, although this is a rather low number.

The Under has cashed in 5 in a row for the Rays, and 8 of the last 9 games overall. The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 for Tampa Bay against a right-handed starting pitcher, too, while cashing in 4 in a row against winning teams.

The Under is also 5-2 in the last 7 road games for Minny, and 4-1 in the last 5 against the AL East.

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (31-30) and the Tampa Bay Rays (44-19) continue a 3-game series Wednesday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0; Twins won 4 of 6 in 2022

The Twins had their way with the Rays last year, but that wasn’t the case in Tuesday’s series opener. Tampa Bay rolled to a 7-0 victory, limiting Minnesota to just 2 doubles, 2 singles and 2 walks. The Twins, the team with the highest strikeouts in the majors (625), adding to their league lead with 12 whiffs against Rays pitchers.

The Rays have rattled off 4 consecutive victories, winning by 2 or more in each of the outings as a favorite. The pitching staff has limited the opposition to just 5 total runs during the span, and the Under has cashed in each of the contests.

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Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Shawn Armstrong

Lopez (3-3, 4.54 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 71 1/3 innings

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-6 road win vs. the Cleveland Guardians last Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 1-2, 3.00 ERA (36 IP, 12 ER – 6 HR) with 9 BB, 44 K and a .211 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts

Armstrong (0-0, 0.00 ERA) has made just 1 relief appearance this season, allowing a walk with 3 strikeouts in 2 relief innings at Boston on June 4.

  • Has made 3 career starts, all in 2022 with the Rays as an opener
  • Faced the Twins last season on June 11, allowing 2 H, 1 BB with 2 K in 2 scoreless IP in a relief appearance at Target Field in Minneapolis

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rays -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-165) | Rays -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (+120) are a solid play at plus-money against an opener with just 1 previous appearance this season.

Minnesota had the number of Tampa Bay last season, and the Rays (-145) cannot be trusted with Armstrong serving as the opener, followed by a bullpen with a 4.29 ERA, which ranks 11th in the American League with 29 HR and 116 BB allowed.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you require a little bit of insurance, and you just cannot bring yourself to play Minnesota straight up against the red-hot Rays -1.5 (+140).

Yes, Tampa Bay has won and covered the run line as a favorite in 4 in a row, but Lopez is a pretty effective pitcher, especially on the road, and I just don’t like the opener situation for the home side, before a lengthy bullpen game.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (+100) at even-money is a solid play.

The Under has hit in 4 in a row for the Twins, while going 5-1 in the past 6 tries in Game 2 of a series.

The Under has also connected in 4 in a row for the Rays, while going 4-0 in the past 4 contests against a right-handed starting pitcher, too. The Under is 4-1 in the previous 5 following a victory, as well.

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (31-29) and the Tampa Bay Rays (43-19) open a 3-game series Tuesday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won season series 4-2 in 2022

The Twins won the 1st 2 games of a 4-game set at Target Field against the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend, but they lost the final 2 contests for the series split. The Under has cashed in each of the past 3 outings, as Minnesota has been limited to just 4 runs of offense while allowing 6 runs.

The Rays suffered an 8-5 loss in the opener of a 4-game series against the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, but they bounced back to win the final 3 outings. Tampa Bay has scored 4 or more runs in 5 straight outings, averaging 4.6 runs per game during the stretch. The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Rays.

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Twins at Rays projected starters

RHP Louie Varland vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Varland (3-1, 3.51 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 41 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in an 8-2 road win vs. the Houston Astros Wednesday
  • 2023 Road splits: 2-0, 3.57 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 9 ER) with 5 BB, 23 K and a .258 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Eflin (7-1, 3.30 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 60 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-3 road win vs. the Chicago Cubs Wednesday
  • 2023 Home splits: 6-0, 2.19 ERA (37 IP, 9 ER) with a .207 OBA in 6 starts

Twins at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Twins 2

Moneyline

The RAYS (-175) are a little on the pricey side, but they’re still under my personal limit for a singular moneyline bet of -180.

Tampa Bay has ripped off 9 wins in the past 10 tries against the AL Central, while cashing in 19 of the past 26 series openers.

The Twins have dropped 6 of their past 8 series openers while going a dismal 0-5 in the previous 5 after a scheduled day off.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+115) are a decent play at plus money. Tampa Bay has won and covered the run line in the past 3 games as a favorite while going 7-5 in the past 12 games.

The Twins are just 3-4 in the past 7 games as an underdog on the run line.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean in this series opener under the roof.

The Under has cashed in 7 of the past 9 games for Minnesota after a scheduled day off.

The Under is 6-1 in the past 7 games overall for the Rays, while cashing in 5 of their past 6 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. The Under has also hit in 4 of the past 5 home contests after a road trip or 7 or more days.

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Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (58-76) and Tampa Bay Rays (85-50) meet Saturday at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Andrew Albers is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. Albers is making his second start of the season in his third game. He has allowed 1 earned run on 5 hits and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts over 9 1/3 innings.

  • Pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the Milwaukee Brewers Aug. 27 in his last outing.
  • Owns a 3.88 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 28 career MLB games (19 starts).
  • Has clocked a 3.86 ERA over 91 IP with Triple-A St. Paul. Inked a Minor League contract in February following a three-year stint overseas.

RHP Chris Archer is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. Archer has made three short-inning starts and one relief appearance in an injury-marred 2021 campaign. The veteran hurler has allowed 5 earned runs on 12 hits and 3 walks while fanning 16 over 10 1/3 innings.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 4 H and a walk with 6 K over 4 IP Sunday at the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Owns a 3.87 ERA and 1.25 WHIP through 216 career games (213 starts), but has a 4.69 ERA over his last 54 games.

Twins at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Rays -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-112) | Rays -1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Rays 4

Money line (ML)

Tampa Bay handed Minnesota its third straight loss as it took Friday’s series opener 5-3. Minnesota has scored just 4 total runs over those three losses. The Twins have averaged just 3.6 runs per game with a .639 OPS since Aug. 17.

Surging Tampa Bay is 21-6 over its last 27 games. The Rays are a robust 39-14 against teams under .500.

The Rays are tough to bet against in this spot, but their recent success has opponents’ prices crossing over into value territory. Tampa Bay is not at its best against lefty pitching.

Minnesota, however, does get swung around to its best platoon numbers against the right-hander Archer. The Twins own a .748 OPS against righties. Their bullpen is also in much better shape heading into the middle game of this set.

BACK MINNESOTA (+180).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. We’d need Minnesota at plus money (+100) for any possible play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both bullpens have been quite good of late. Peg both as having not fully supportable numbers, and the overall pitching in this one is iffy enough to make the Over a consideration.

Add in the Twins being a more likable offense than what has been on paper of late and the Rays being too far over their skis at 5.31 RPG.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-125).

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