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The Minnesota Twins (58-47) and New York Mets (56-50) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 1-0
The Twins lost 15-2 as -101 underdogs in the Monday opener as the Over (8.5) hit. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson only lasted 3 1/3 IP after allowing 6 ER. C Ryan Jeffers did hit a HR in the 9th, but that was the only offensive highlight for Minnesota. Despite the loss, the Twins are 29-26 on the road and 49-55 against the spread (ATS).
New York had 17 hits and surprisingly just 1 homer, a 4th-inning solo shot from 1B Pete Alonso. C Luis Torrens had 3 RBIs on 3 hits, and 2B Jeff McNeil also brought home 3 runs. LHP Jose Quintana held the Twins to 1 ER over 6 innings. New York is 29-28 at Citi Field and 52-53 ATS.
Twins at Mets projected starters
RHP David Festa vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Festa (1-1, 8.16 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 14 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 9-2 defeat at Detroit Tigers July 3
- Never faced Mets before
Manaea (6-4, 3.74 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 106 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 12-3 victory against New York Yankees Wednesday
- 2024 home splits: 3-3, 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 26 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs Twins: 5-1, 2.48 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 6 appearances (5 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Twins at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Mets -132 (bet $132 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Twins +1.5 (-194) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Twins at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 9, Twins 2
Moneyline
PASS.
We’re backing the Mets (-132), but the run line offers much better value.
BET METS -1.5 (+160).
It’s hard not to love the Mets in this game. Minnesota is throwing out a young arm with just 2 career starts under his belt (12 ER in 10 IP), and New York is not exactly the easiest place to pitch.
Meanwhile, New York has a veteran in Manaea on the mound who has owned Minnesota over his career. In his last 3 starts against the Twins, he’s 3-0 allowing 2 ER over 18 innings.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-122).
While the O/U has gone 5-5 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings, both teams have been cashing a lot of Overs. The Over has hit in 4 of the Twins’ last 5 games and in 3 of 4 for the Mets.
I love this Over because of Festa being on the mound for the Twins. The guy has been roughed up in both of his career starts, and I don’t see that changing in New York Tuesday.
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