Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (30-29) and Dallas Mavericks (31-27) meet Monday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves failed to cover the spread as 6.5-point underdogs Friday in a 128-107 loss at the Memphis Grizzlies. G Jaylen Nowell scored a team-high 21 points for the Timberwolves, who have won 6 of their last 10. Minnesota is 6-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games after failing to cover in its previous contest.

The Mavericks failed to cover as 1-point favorites Saturday in a 133-128 overtime loss at the Sacramento Kings. G Kyrie Irving finished with 28 points as Dallas’ 3-game win streak came to an end. The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days.

This is their 3rd meeting this season. Minnesota covered as a 6-point home underdog in a 116-106 win Dec. 19 and Dallas covered as a 2.5-point road favorite with a 104-99 win Dec. 21.

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Timberwolves at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:43 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Mavericks -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-110) | Mavericks -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Kyle Anderson (back) questionable
  • Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Mavericks

  • Tim Hardaway Jr. (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 117, Timberwolves 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mavericks (-260) should win, but there is no need to risk more than 2 1/2 times your potential profit on the moneyline when Dallas should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET MAVERICKS -6.5 (-110).

The Mavericks have performed above expectations since acquiring Irving. Dallas won its first 2 games straight up as an underdog after the trade and should be able to bounce back after a tough overtime loss at the Kings in Irving’s first game with G Luka Doncic. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 5 games and should be able to win by margin vs. a Timberwolves team that is just 6-10 ATS as an away underdog.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-1-1 in Minnesota’s last 6 games after failing to cover in its previous contest and 6-2-1 in the Timberwolves’ last 9 after allowing more than 125 points. The Under has hit in Dallas’ last 4 games vs. teams with a winning record and is 4-1 in the Mavericks’ last 5 after failing to cover in their previous contest.

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