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The Minnesota Lynx (29-9) and the Connecticut Sun (27-11) meet Monday at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Lynx vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Sun lead 2-0
The Lynx and Sun have 2 games remaining, and Minnesota is ahead in the standings for the No. 2 overall seed by 2 games. With a victory, the Lynx can lock in the No. 2 seed.
Minnesota has won 6 in a row since a stunning 94-76 loss at the Dallas Wings on Aug. 30, while going 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 outings. The Under has cashed at a 3-1 pace in the past 4 contests, while the total has gone low at a 5-1 clip in the previous 6 games.
The Sun lost 84-71 in Las Vegas to the Aces on Sunday as a 5-point underdog, while hitting the Under (159.5). Connecticut is still 3-1 SU/ATS in the past 4 games, while the Under is 5-1 across the past 6 outings.
These teams last met July 4 in the Twin Cities, with the Sun winning 78-73 as a 3.5-point underdog as the Under (152) connected.
Lynx at Sun odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lynx -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Sun +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread: Lynx -2.5 (-105) | Sun +2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Lynx at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 78, Lynx 74
Moneyline
CONNECTICUT (+110) is a big value at home as short ‘dogs. The Sun have dropped the past 2 games at home against Western Conference clubs, but they have won 4 of the previous 6 outings.
The Sun is trying to finish up strong, and a win over the Lynx would bring back some of the good feelings from the team’s fast start.
Against the spread
If you want a little bit of insurance, playing CONNECTICUT +2.5 (-115) is worth a look. However, it’s obviously not as good of a value as taking the Sun straight up.
Unless you feel strongly that Minnesota -2.5 (-105) is going to win by 1 or 2 points, there is no sense taking the little bit of points. Back the moneyline instead for a much better value.
Over/Under
UNDER 154.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Under is on a 5-1 run in the past 6 games for Connecticut, while going 6-2 in the past 8 tries against Western Conference teams.
For Minnesota, the total has gone low at a 5-2 clip in the past 7 games, while the Under is holding a slight 3-2 edge in the previous 5 games on the road.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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