Minnesota Iowa odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota at Iowa odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets in a Big Ten battle.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (11-8, 2-8 Big Ten) visit Carver–Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (14-7, 4-6) Sunday. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Minnesota vs. Iowa odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Iowa is coming into this conference battle having lost 3 of its last 4, one of which was at home. The Hawkeyes are 11-2 straight up at home with an 8-5 against the spread (ATS) record.

While the Hawkeyes are 12-9 ATS overall, they’re just 4-6 ATS in conference play. Their cover percentage in conference games is tied with Michigan and Minnesota for the worst in the Big Ten.

As for Minnesota, it’ll be coming in having lost 3 straight and 7 of its last 8, including an 81-71 home loss as a 7-point underdog to Iowa Jan. 16. The Golden Gophers are 9-9-1 ATS this season.

See also: Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:40 a.m. ET.

Money line: Minnesota +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Iowa -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
Against the spread: Minnesota +11.5 (-105) | Iowa -11.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Minnesota at Iowa odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 83, Minnesota 70

Money line

PASS.

Betting a -850 favorite in any highly competitive conference is not wise.

Against the spread

LEAN to IOWA -11.5 (-120).

As mentioned, the Hawkeyes beat the Golden Gophers by 10 in Minneapolis earlier this season.

With the No. 7-ranked offense in the NCAA, averaging 82.8 points per game (PPG), the Hawkeyes should be able to abuse a Gophers defense that allows 67.8 PPG.

The Hawkeyes have been solid at covering the spread as home favorites, 8-4 ATS in that scenario this season. Combine that with Minnesota covering just 3 of its last 8, and the Hawkeyes appear to be the better side to back.

Over/Under

BET OVER 148.5 (-110).

If there’s one thing both teams have consistently done this season, it’s cashing Over tickets. The Hawkeyes are 15-5-1 O/U, while the Golden Gophers are 12-7 O/U.

As mentioned, Iowa ranks 7th in scoring, but the defense yields 71.0 PPG to rank 242.

While Minnesota averages just 68.9 PPG, it shoots 45.6% from the field and 36.2% from 3, both within the top 100 in the nation.

In Big Ten action, Minnesota is 8-2 O/U and Iowa is 7-3 O/U.

That said, OVER 148.5 (-110) is my favorite play in this conference battle.

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Minnesota at Iowa odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2, 4-2 in Big Ten) host the Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3, 4-2) Saturday for a Big Ten West battle at Kinnick Stadium. The kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Minnesota vs. Iowa odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

This is a meeting between the two (of four) teams tied atop in the Big Ten West standings.

Minnesota had its four-game winning streak snapped last weekend after losing 14-6 to the Illinois Fighting Illini as 14.5-point home favorites. The Golden Gophers are 5-3-1 ATS and 4-5 O/U with the 59th-toughest schedule, according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

Iowa broke out of its two-game slump by beating the Northwestern Wildcats 17-12 but failed to cover as 12-point home favorites and haven’t covered the spread in the last three outings. The Hawkeyes are 5-4 ATS and 2-7 O/U with the 20th-toughest schedule (according to Sagarin).

The Hawkeyes have beaten the Golden Gophers in five straight games (4-0-1 ATS) and all four since Minnesota hired head coach P.J. Fleck in 2017.

Minnesota at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 p.m. ET.

Money line: Minnesota +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Iowa -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Minnesota +4.5 (-112) | Iowa -4.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Minnesota at Iowa odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Minnesota 20, Iowa 16

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to MINNESOTA (+165) because I “like” Golden Gophers getting points in this spot and think there’s value in the underdog’s money line.

Furthermore, most college football minds are realizing that Iowa isn’t as good as its record indicates and the advanced college football gurus back that up.

For instance, Iowa may rank No. 14 in USA TODAY’s poll, but Football Outsiders ranks the Hawkeyes 42nd in net drive efficiency, 40th in net points per drive and 46th in net points per play.

Granted, “sprinkling” the underdog’s money line in this spot is more of a long-term strategy to maximize profits. So, Minnesota plus the points is the much wiser wager.

Against the spread

Iowa’s best arguments for covering this game are “the Hawkeyes are at home” and “Iowa has played a tougher schedule”. But, I’m seeing more value in MINNESOTA +4.5 (-112) at the moment.

For example, the Golden Gophers have better differentials in predicted points added (PPA), yards per play, Havoc rates, 3rd-down conversion rate, and red zone scoring rate.

Additionally, this is a better spot for Minnesota who is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog and 21-17-2 ATS in Big Ten games since hiring Fleck.

Also, there’s been a “sharp line move” towards Minnesota as this game opened with Iowa -7 but has been steamed all the way down to the current price.

You could make a case we are getting to the party a little late on the Golden Gophers so that’s another reason to maybe just bet Minnesota’s spread.

But, definitely BET MINNESOTA +4.5 (-112) instead of or heavier than the Golden Gophers on the money line.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 37.5 (-115) as a fade of a market that’s betting the Over at a 75-plus percent clip at the time of publishing, according to Pregame.com.

The bottom line is both defenses are better than the offenses, but, other than that, I don’t have much for the total.

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First look: Minnesota at Iowa odds and lines

Previewing the Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes Week 11 matchup, with college football odds, trends and head-to-head records.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3, 4-2 Big Ten) meet the No. 14 Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2, 4-2) Saturday at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Minnesota vs. Iowa odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

The Golden Gophers surged to the top of the Big Ten West Division standings prior to last week’s game. However, Minnesota suffered a 14-6 loss at home against Illinois, knocking it into a four-way tie in the division.

The Hawkeyes slapped the brakes on a two-game skid with a 17-12 road win against Northwestern, but they failed to cover in a third straight game. The Under is 3-0 across their past three outings.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Minnesota at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:46 a.m. ET.

Money line: Minnesota +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Iowa -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Minnesota +5.5, -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Iowa -5.5, -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
Over/Under (O/U): 37.5, O: +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | U: -120 (bet $120 to win $100)

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2021 betting stats:

ML: Minnesota 6-3 | Iowa 7-2
ATS: Minnesota 5-3-1 | Iowa 5-4
O/U: Minnesota 4-5 | Iowa 2-7

Minnesota at Iowa head-to-head

The Golden Gophers hold a 62-50-2 series lead, although the Hawkeyes have taken home the “Floyd of Rosedale” trophy in each of the past six meetings. Minnesota’s last win in the series came Nov. 8, 2014, although the Gophers haven’t won at Kinnick Stadium since Nov. 20, 1999.

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Minnesota at Iowa odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Minnesota Golden Gophers at Iowa Hawkeyes sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 17 Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-3 overall, 3-3 Big Ten) visit the seventh-ranked Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2, 4-1) Sunday for a 2:30 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Minnesota-Iowa college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Minnesota at Iowa: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Minnesota +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Iowa -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Minnesota +9.5 (-110) | Iowa -9.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 162.5. (O: -110 | U: -110)

Minnesota at Iowa: Three things to know

Minnesota beat then-No. 5 Iowa 102-95 in overtime as a 6.5-point home underdog Christmas Day. Senior F Brandon Johnson hit four 3-pointers in OT and finished with 26 points and 9 rebounds for the Golden Gophers. Junior G Marcus Carr added a team-high 30 points with a game-high 8 assists. The Hawkeyes received 32 points and 17 rebounds, both game-highs, from senior C Luka Garza.
Minnesota lost at No. 9 Michigan (10-0) as a 7.5-point underdog Wednesday, three days after cruising past then-No. 20 Ohio State 77-60 at home. Carr was the only Gophers player to score in double-figures (14 points) vs. the Wolverines as Minnesota shot just 32.4% from the field (22-for-68) and was outrebounded 40-31. Carr leads the Gophers in points (21.5 per game) and assists (5.6 APG), while junior C Liam Robbins is the top rebounder (7.3 RPG) and blocker (2.7 BPG).
The Hawkeyes have run off three consecutive wins since the loss in Minneapolis. They’re coming off back-to-back road wins: 77-75 at then-No. 13 Rutgers as 3.5-point favorites Jan. 2, and 89-67 at Maryland as 5.5-point favorites Thursday. Garza, whose 27.2 PPG lead the country (among qualified players), scored game-highs in both victories – 25 vs. the Scarlet Knights and 24 vs. the Terrapins.

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Minnesota at Iowa: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Iowa 85, Minnesota 71

Money line (ML)

AVOID. It’s not wise to risk 5 times your potential return with Iowa (-500), and I don’t see Minnesota (+375) winning.

Against the spread (ATS)

IOWA -9.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Hawkeyes are one of the best home teams in the country. They’re 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 ATS at Carver-Hawkeye Arena, winning by 27.8 PPG and covering the spread by 8.6 PPG.

The Gophers are 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road, losing by an average of 21.3 PPG and failing to cover by 13.0 PPG.

Plus, the Hawkeyes haven’t forgotten the overtime loss on Christmas Day. Revenge will be sweet Sunday afternoon.

ATS: Minnesota 6-6-1 | Iowa 8-4

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 162.5 (-110) is the way to go. While the Hawkeyes rank third in scoring at 92.4 PPG – behind top-ranked Gonzaga (96.1) and The Citadel (92.9) – they averaged 78.5 PPG in their two Big Ten home games. They beat Northwestern 87-72 Dec. 29 and knocked off Purdue 70-55 Dec. 22.

The Gophers average 79.7 PPG but only 60.3 PPG in their three conference road games.

O/U records: Minnesota 7-6 | Iowa 9-3

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays	23-22 / 8-14
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays	8-5 / 3-4
*2021 overall record (all sports)* / Strongest plays**	16-10 / 8-6
*2020 overall record (all sports)* / Strongest plays**	178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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