Clark’s ‘Caps: Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks Game 3 player prop predictions

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Milwaukee Bucks NBA Finals Game 3 showdown.

Game 3 of the NBA Finals tips off Sunday at Fiserv Forum at 8:05 p.m. ET with the Milwaukee Bucks (0-2) hosting the Phoenix Suns (2-0). Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 3.

All the superstars came to play in Game 2: Giannis Antetokounmpo put up 42 points with 12 rebounds, Chris Paul scored 23 points and notched 8 assists and Devin Booker added 31 points with 6 assists.

Phoenix also got a career outing from Mikal Bridges who scored 27 points on 53.3% shooting, but Game 2 was swung because of lackluster performances from the Bucks backcourt as Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton who only scored a combined 28 points on 12-for-37 shooting.

Also see: Suns at Bucks Game 3 odds, picks and prediction

Bucks at Suns Game 3 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:17 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Bucks SF Khris Middleton OVER 2.5 made 3-pointers (-120)

After having an awesome first game, Middleton put up a stinker in Game 2 but should have a bounce-back effort now that the series is in Milwaukee.

Offensively, Middleton has been a lot comfier at home, shooting 46.8% from three in Milwaukee (36.6% from three on the road) with a 121 offensive rating at home (111 offensive rating on the road).

Furthermore, Middleton has sunk at least three 3-pointers in five of his eight playoff home games this year.

Also, Middleton has hit at least three 3-pointers in four of his last six games against Suns SG Devin Booker.

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Phoenix Suns SG Devin Booker OVER 28.5 points (-120)

Speaking of Devin Booker, his preference to operate in the mid-range and his 3-point volume are why Booker’s points prop is priced this high.

This is obviously a sharp number as he averaged 27.0 points per game vs. the Bucks in two regular-season meetings and is averaging 29.0 PPG through the first two games of the NBA Finals.

However, the Over is the play because Milwaukee’s defense ranks 20th in defensive field goal percentage on mid-range attempts, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, and that’s where a bulk of Booker’s production comes from.

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For instance, 50% of Booker’s field goal attempts during the regular season came in the mid-range which was in the 100th percentile of all guards and his mid-range field goal volume has increased to 57% during the postseason.

The same case could be made for CP3’s point prop but I prefer Booker’s more so since Holiday – who’s NBA All-Defensive First Team – is defending Paul and because of CP3’s interesting history with Game 3 official Scott Foster.

Lastly, Booker has increased 3-point attempt volume thus far in the Finals because of Milwaukee’s defensive strategy to play drop coverage on pick-and-rolls and allow their opponents to hoist threes.

He’s averaging 10.0 3-point attempts per game in the Finals and if Booker continues to chuck threes at that rate, he should be flirting with a 30-piece in every game this series.

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Clark’s ‘Caps: Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns Game 2 player prop predictions

Geoff Clark breaks down two NBA player prop bet predictions for Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns NBA Finals Game 2 showdown.

The Phoenix Suns (1-0) look to take a two-game lead in their NBA Finals series against the Milwaukee Bucks (0-1) Thursday at their self-titled arena. Tip-off is set for 9:05 p.m. ET. Below, we’ll highlight the top NBA player prop bet predictions for Bucks-Suns Game 2.

Bucks two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo surprised everyone by returning from a knee injury that kept him out of the last two games of the Eastern Conference Finals by suiting up for Game 1 of the NBA Finals.

There was certainly a little rust for Giannis to knock off but he still had a solid outing scoring 20 points on 54.5% shooting with 17 rebounds and 4 assists.

On the other side, Chris Paul was fantastic, putting up a game-high 32 points on 63.2% shooting with 9 assists while Suns big Deandre Ayton added 22 points with 19 rebounds and Devin Booker had 27 points.

Bucks at Suns Game 2 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 7:23 a.m. ET.

Milwaukee Bucks C Brook Lopez OVER 12.5 points (-130)

Lopez cleared this points prop in Game 1 easily by scoring 17 points on 50% shooting (3-for-5 from 3-point land) and did so on just 22:50 minutes of game time.

I could see Lopez getting more run in Game 2 since Ayton played 38:44 minutes in Game 1. Ayton is a legit seven-footer, as is Lopez, and if the Bucks don’t put Lopez out there then Ayton could dominate the paint.

Furthermore, Ayton spent more time defending Giannis than any other Suns player, which left Phoenix stretch-4 Jae Crowder to guard the much larger Lopez.

This was a big reason why Lopez had a game-high five offensive rebounds Tuesday and, if he gets matched up with Crowder again, Lopez will have an easier time getting putbacks. Any deep post touches for Lopez vs. Crowder should be easy points.

BET B. Lopez OVER 12.5 points (-130) for 1 unit.

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Suns PF Cameron Johnson OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+110)

Even though I whiffed with this angle in my Game 1 player props piece, I’m going back to the well with Johnson’s 3-point prop under the thinking that he’ll get quality looks because Milwaukee’s defense will be more fixated on defending CP3 and Booker.

Again, this has been Milwaukee’s defensive strategy all year long as the Bucks have the worst defensive 3-point percentage vs. opposing power forwards on the most 3-point attempts allowed to the position during the regular season.

This strategy could burn them if employed against Johnson because he’s been on fire during these playoffs.

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Johnson is shooting 45.5% from behind the arc in the postseason and has made at least two 3-pointers in nine of his 16 playoff games.

Also, Johnson shot 46.2% from three (6-for-13 from behind the arc) against Milwaukee in the regular season.

Lastly, any adjustments the Bucks defense makes to prevent CP3 from lighting them up again or keeping Booker off the foul line is going to create wide-open looks for Phoenix role players.

BET C. Johnson OVER 1.5 made 3-pointers (+110) for 1 unit.

Want some action on these props? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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