Tag: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays odds predictions pick betting line spread

Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (24-21) conclude a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (34-13) on Sunday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 2-0

The Brewers lost 8-4 to the Rays on Saturday, their 3rd straight loss and 6th in the last 10 games. In Milwaukee’s last 6 losses, it has been outscored 44-8. The Brewers are tied for the NL Central lead with the  Pittsburgh Pirates.

In Saturday’s 4-run victory, the Rays got HRs from 1B Yandy Diaz, OF Harold Ramirez, and C Christian Bethancourt. Tampa Bay has won 2 straight and 4 of its last 6 games. The Rays lead the AL East by 3.5 games over the Baltimore Orioles.

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Brewers at Rays projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. LHP Jalen Beeks

Peralta (4-3, 4.11 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 46 innings.

  • Has walked 2 or more batters in 6 of his 8 starts
  • Has allowed 4-plus ER in 3 of his last 6 starts

Beeks (1-2, 4.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 23 innings.

  • Hasn’t pitched more than 3 innings in any appearance this season
  • The last time he allowed an ER as a starter was on April 17 vs. the Cincinnati Reds

Brewers at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

Even with Beeks acting as an opener for Tampa Bay, I’ll back the RAYS (-140) to complete the 3-game sweep. The Brewers have the 2nd-worst wRC+ (75) to left-handed pitching this season and once Beeks exits the game, the Rays’ bullpen is allowing the 7th-lowest wOBA (.297).

Run line/Against the spread

RAYS -1.5 (+145) has decent value with how Tampa Bay is performing on both sides of the plate. The Rays lead baseball with a 133 wRC+ against right-handed hurlers and Peralta just surrendered 6 ER in his last start.

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Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the pick in this matchup with the Rays swinging a hot bat. The Rays are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games following a win and the Over is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (24-20) play the middle contest of a 3-game interleague series with the Tampa Bay Rays (33-13) Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0; Brewers won the season series 4-0 in 2022

The Brewers came up short in a 1-0 game Friday in the series opener. Milwaukee has had a power outage on offense lately, scoring just 4 runs in the last 4 games and being held scoreless in its last 2 outings.

The Rays win Friday snapped a 2-game losing skid. Tampa Bay is just 4-6 across the previous 10 outings, allowing 4.6 runs per game (RPG), which is more than a full run over the team’s season ERA of 3.38.

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Brewers at Rays projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Lauer (4-4, 4.54 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 9-6 home win vs. the Kansas City Royals Sunday
  • Road splits this season: 3-1, 1.90 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 5 ER), .214 OBA in 4 starts

Eflin (5-1, 3.38 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 40 IP innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K in an 8-7 road win vs. the New York Yankees Sunday
  • Home splits this season: 4-0, 1.96 ERA (23 IP, 5 ER), .212 OBA in 4 starts

Brewers at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Rays -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-120) | Rays -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 4, Brewers 1

Moneyline

The Rays (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for a singular bet. In fact, even as part of a multi-team parlay, including Tampa Bay sucks all of the value out of your ticket.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The RAYS -1.5 (+100) are a solid play on the run line at even money.

The Rays are 8-1 straight up in 9 interleague games as favorites — and 7-2 on the run line in those outings.

The Brewers are just 1-5 in the past 6 games as underdogs and covered the run line in just one of those outings.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (+100) is a solid play at even money.

Milwaukee has scored 4 total runs in the past 4 games and has been blanked in the past 2 outings.

Tampa Bay has cashed the Under in each of the past 2 games while allowing just 3 total runs.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (24-19) and Tampa Bay Rays (32-13) open a 3-game set at Tropicana Field Friday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 4-0 in 2022

The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 in St. Louis earlier in the week, but they have gone 6-4 over the last 10. In the process, they took over the lead in the NL Central. The Brewers are 10-5 against the AL on the season.

Tampa has cooled off after its historic start. The Rays are just 4-6 over the last 10 games — all of which came on the road.  They are great at home, though, with a 19-3 mark.  1B Yandy Diaz (groin) has been out most of the week with groin tightness. He’s questionable for Friday, and his return could have a big impact.

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Brewers at Rays projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. LHP Shane McClanahan

Houser (0-0, 5.19 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 8 2/3 innings.

  • Last start May 13 vs. Kansas City Royals: 4 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K
  • Has never faced Tampa; was 0-2 with a 7.82 ERA in 3 interleague starts in 2022

McClanahan (7-0, 2.34 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Last start May 13 vs. New York Yankees: 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K
  • Has not faced the Brewers in career; is 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in 4 home starts this year

Brewers at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Rays -250 (bet $250 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-105) | Rays -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

McClanahan was cruising in his last start, but faltered in the 5th inning, allowing all 4 runs. It was the 1st start he allowed more than 2 ER all season. The Brewers are hitting just .216 with a .643 OPS against lefties this season. Tampa has the clear edge, but we’re not paying -250 for the ML here.

PASS and look to the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

Milwaukee won all 4 games against Tampa last year – 2 at each venue. The Brewers are 20-23 (11-11 on the road) on the RL this season. Tampa is 27-18 (14-8 at home). Both bullpens are pretty similar as the Brewers have a 3.95 ERA, and Tampa’s is 3.85. I look for Milwaukee to chip away once McClanahan exits.

Take the BREWERS +1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

Milwaukee is 5-5 O/U over the last 10. Tampa went Under Thursday, snapping a 6-game Over streak. The Over has cashed in Tampa’s last 4 games against teams with winning records and last 4 with the total set between 7.0-8.5.

It’ll be close, but I’ll LEAN OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Rays (40-32) host the Milwaukee Brewers (42-33) for the start of their interleague back-to-back Tuesday at Tropicana Field with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee is 7-3 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes a 2-1 series win last weekend at home vs. the Toronto Blue Jays.

Tampa swept the Pittsburgh Pirates at home last weekend in a 3-game set, but the Rays are just 5-5 SU in the last 10 due to 2 straight series losses to the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles.

Tuesday’s Brewers-Rays meeting is their 1st of the year and first since the 2017 season. Tampa leads the all-time series 7-5.

Brewers at Rays projected starters

RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. RHP Shane Baz      

Woodruff is 5-3 with a 4.74 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 43 2/3 IP over 9 starts. He has been sidelined with an ankle injury since late May.

  • Last start: Lost 4-2 May 27 at the St. Louis Cardinals with 4 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 4 K.
  • 2022 road splits: 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA (21 IP, 19 ER), 1.81 WHIP, 4 HR and 10.3 K/9 in 5 starts.

Baz is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 5 BB and 15 K in 3 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Tampa’s 5-4 home loss Wednesday to the Yankees with 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.
  • Career home splits: 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 3 HR, 3 BB and 20 K in 3 starts.

Brewers at Rays odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Brewers -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Rays -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+170) | Rays +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +112 | U: -140)

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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 3, Brewers 2

Money line

BET a half-unit on the RAYS (-117) because they crush National League opponents and have been steamed up by sharp action.

Tampa has the best record in interleague play since 2020 at 40-17 SU and is 10-1 in 2022 while the Brewers (-103) are just 22-24 SU vs. American League foes. Also, the Rays opened at -109 according to Pregame.com, but that’s been increased because MLB betting sharps are staking Tampa.

I’d go lite on the RAYS (-117) because the hitting and relief pitching matchups between these 2 sides are fairly even and Baz hasn’t found his groove yet.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Rays +1.5 (-210) are accurately priced, and too expensive, considering they are 6-3 RL as home underdogs whereas the Brewers -1.5 (+170) are 10-20 RL as road favorites.

Eventually, Tampa should flip to a RL favorite but I wouldn’t lay it with the Rays either since they don’t have a big enough edge over Milwaukee Tuesday.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-140) since the presumed sharp side of the market is on the Under while the public is betting the Over 7.5 (+112).

More than 90% of the money is on the Under but roughly 60% of the bets placed are on the Over, per Pregame.com. Typically, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.

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