Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (1-0) and New York Mets (0-1) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Citi Field. First pitch is set for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

The Brewers won the NL Central last season with a 92-70 record, going 43-38 on the road. After having their 1st game postponed, they started the 2024 season just how they finished 2023. Milwaukee kicked off the season hot with a 3-1 win over the Mets behind the stellar play of RHP Freddy Peralta.

The Mets, who finished 4th in the NL East a season ago with a 75-87 record, ended the 2023 season with a 43-38 home record. They failed to do much of anything offensively on Opening Day as they ended with a single hit, a home run from RF Starling Marte. With the No. 1 payroll in MLB, expectations are high for New York entering 2024.

Brewers at Mets projected starters

LHP DL Hall vs. RHP Luis Severino

Hall (3-0, 3.26 ERA in 2023) made 18 relief appearances last season for the Baltimore Orioles. He had a 1.19 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 19 1/3 innings.

2023 road stats: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 4 ER) in 9 relief appearances
Has yet to face New York in his career
His team is 5-3 when he goes for more than 1 IP

Severino (4-8, 6.65 ERA in 2023) made 18 starts and 1 relief appearance last season for the New York Yankees. He had a 1.65 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8 K/9 in 89 1/3 innings.

2023 home stats: 3-2, 4.87 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 22 ER) in 8 starts
2023 vs. Brewers: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 1 start, an 8-2 home loss Sept. 8 with the Yankees
Owned a 4-1 record when hitting at least 6 IP

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Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Mets -124 (bet $124 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-194) | Mets -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+106).

The Brewers clearly are going to rely heavily on their relief pitching, but that would’ve been a good strategy last year and should be a good one again. Milwaukee had the 2nd-best reliever ERA (3.40) a season ago. For Serevino, he’s coming off 1 of his worst professional seasons, as he had a career-high 6.65 ERA.

Considering the difference in pitching and that New York was able to get so little going offensively in its 1st game, take the road side here and back BREWERS (+106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s not great value on the spread, as the Brewers are far too expensive, while the Mets are too risky. Ultimately, play the moneyline regardless.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Mets have too much firepower to stay down for too long. Marte, SS Francisco Lindor and 1B Pete Alonso should be able to help New York generate some offense, and they won’t be going against a starter as good as Peralta either.

With the pitching not quite as good as it was on Opening Day, expect more runs here, and with a total as low as this, take the OVER 7.5 (-115) for a small unit.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets open their seasons with the 1st game of a 3-game set Friday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 6-1 last season, including 3-1 at Citi Field

The Brewers and Mets were rained out on Thursday, with the game pushed to Friday with a much more favorable forecast.

Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Peralta (12-10, 3.86 ERA) made 30 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.12 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 165 2/3 innings.

2023 road splits: 5-6, 4.34 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 37 ER — 12 HR), 29 BB, 83 K in 14 starts
2023 vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 10-0 home win April 3

Quintana (3-6, 3.57 ERA) made 13 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.31 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 75 2/3 innings.

2023 home splits: 1-2, 2.76 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 210 ER — 2 HR), 9 BB, 23 K in 6 starts
Did not face the Brewers in 2023

Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-105) are worth playing on the road in this opener. It’s all about Peralta, who has emerged as a solid option at the front of the rotation. The Mets cannot be trusted, as the southpaw Quintana was shaky in 2023, and he is only going to get worse.

There is plenty of risk, as Milwaukee was just 22-26 against left-handed starting pitchers last season, and the Brewers are expected to have a bit of a backslide after winning 92 games a season ago.

Still, it’s hard to ignore the fact Milwaukee won 6 of the 7 head-to-head meetings last season.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets +1.5 (-190) will cost nearly 2 times your potential return if you need a little insurance, and that’s just too expensive. If you like New York, just play the Mets straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half unit at most. The total was 3-0-1 in the 4 Milwaukee-New York meetings at Citi Field a season ago.

Milwaukee is expected to struggle offensively this season, after winning the NL Central Division a year ago. New York should be a little better, but having to deal with Peralta in the opener likely will get the offense off on the wrong foot.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (42-38) and New York Mets (36-44) meet Thursday to close out a 4-game series in Queens. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-1

Milwaukee has taken 2 of 3 games in this set, including a 5-2 victory Wednesday. The Brewers have logged a 3.45 ERA in their last 10 road games.

The Mets have lost 6 of their last 8 games and are just 6-17 since June 2. A club that played .667 ball (54-27) at Citi Field a year ago is just 18-17 on home turf this season.

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Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Houser (2-2, 4.02 ERA) makes his 8th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 40 1/3 IP.

Returns to the rotation after a pair of relief outings that saw him yield 1 ER over 5 innings
Current Mets batters own a high-contact .859 OPS against him

Scherzer (7-2, 3.95 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 70 2/3 IP.

Has a dodgy line against current Brewers bats (.824 OPS allowed)
Coming off effective back-to-back starts against tougher foes in the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies (combined 14 IP, 3 ER, 2 BB, 16K)
Owns a 2.95 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at Citi Field this season

Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-128) | Mets -1.5 (+106)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Brewers are 3-6 in the last 9 series meetings in New York. They are playing their 7th game in a 10-game road trip through Cincinnati, New York and Pittsburgh. Milwaukee is 1-5 over its last 6 get-away games, and that 1 win was in extra-innings-ghost-runner fashion.

Houser has been running into a lot of bats and is a fade-worthy starter, and the Milwaukee bullpen figures to be overrated by its surface numbers. The relief comparison favors the Brewers on the surface but the Mets in a wagering-leverage sense.

Scherzer has been sharp in his last 2 turns, and going back further, his indicators are strong. He’s facing a Milwaukee offense that owns a .611 OPS across its last 9 games.

The Brewers have a 13-4 record in 1-run games and that has them overrated in general.

The Mets (-190) play is solid in a game that can be pegged as a near 70% probability for the home side. However, risk-averse players on the outlay side may want to PASS on the moneyline and consider getting New York by with a multi-run cushion.

Run line/Against the spread

NEW YORK -1.5 (+106) is a play that gets some lean with the better run-scoring environment — and perhaps a looser game — created with a warm day and an outward breeze. Both are in the forecast.

Milwaukee has been very good in 1-run games but has played fewer than most clubs. The Brewers’ last 7 losses have all been by 2 runs or more.

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Over/Under

PASS.

There is no lean on either side of this total. There are some factors that push toward more scoring. An in-form Scherzer and a better-than-advertised Mets bullpen swing the needle to neutral.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (41-38) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the New York Mets (36-43) on Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-1

The Brewers had a 2-game win streak snapped with a 7-2 loss Tuesday. Milwaukee has tallied a 6-4 record in its last 10 games and is half a game back of the NL Central-leading Cincinnati Reds.

The Mets got home runs from OF Brandon Nimmo (2), SS Francisco Lindor and 1B Daniel Vogelbach as they notched their first win over the Brewers this season on Tuesday. New York has struggled with a 3-7 record in its last 10 contests and is only 5 games ahead of the Washington Nationals at the bottom of the NL East.

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Brewers at Mets projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Miley (5-2, 2.91 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 52 2/3 IP.

The Brewers are 7-3 in his 10 starts
Apr. 4 vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 9-0 victory

Senga (6-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 76 2/3 IP.

Has walked 3 or more batters in 11 of his first 14 outings
Has posted 6 or more strikeouts in 11 games

Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

I’ll back the BREWERS (+120) on the road on Wednesday considering how the Mets have performed recently. Senga’s control concerns could be troublesome against Milwaukee, who is tied for the 9th-best walk rate (9.2%) against right-handed pitching this season.

Run line/Against the spread

Considering that I have the Brewers winning outright, I believe they keep the game close. That being said, I’ll PASS on the run line in this game unless you can get Milwaukee at -160 odds or better.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the pick in this matchup despite Senga’s walk issues. The Mets are 4-0 to the Under in Senga’s last 4 starts against an NL Central team.

The Under is also 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in New York.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (41-37) and New York Mets (35-43) clash in the 2nd game of a 4-game series in Queens. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-0

Milwaukee picked up a 2-1 win in Monday’s series opener to give the Brewers their 5th straight victory over the Mets since last September. Milwaukee pitching has logged a 3.59 ERA in its last 14 road games.

The Mets have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are just 5-16 since June 2. A club that played .667 ball (54-27) at Citi Field a year ago will slip to .500 at home (17-17) should New York fall in Tuesday’s game.

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Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Julio Teheran vs. LHP David Peterson

Teheran (2-2, 1.53 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.

Did not make his season debut until May 25 but has still not yielded more than 2 runs in a single game while tossing at least 5 innings in each outing
Typically struggles against lefty bats (.777 OPS allowed career) which could be a problem against a Mets squad with powerful left-handed bats

Peterson (1-6, 8.08 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 39 IP.

Demoted to Triple-A in mid-May; owns a 5.59 ERA and 1.66 WHIP across 4 Minor League starts in June
Allowed 5 runs against the Brewers on April 5

Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Brewers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mets -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-156) | Mets -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 series meetings in New York, and they are 2-6 across their last 8 games against left-handed starters. The Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Both starters have slim lines this season, and those small samples are colored heavily by some lucky and unlucky rates around the margins. Advantage Peterson in that trade-off, and he’s facing a Milwaukee offense that ranks last in MLB in OPS vs. left-handed pitching (.649).

Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-154).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. Both sides have played a lot of 1- and 2-run games of late.

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Over/Under

PASS.

There is no lean on either side of this figure. Plenty of team, starter and bullpen expectations crisscross as to what side they favor.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (40-37) and the New York Mets (35-42) open a 4-game series Monday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+/MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 3-0

The Brewers took 2 of 3 games in an interleague road series at the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend but are still just 2-4 in their past 6 games away from American Family Field. Milwaukee has alternated wins and losses in its last 7 games overall.

The Mets have dropped 4 of the past 5 games, while going 5-15 in the previous 20 games dating back to June 2. Pitching has been the biggest culprit lately, as New York has allowed 24 runs in the past 4 contests.

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Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Rea (3-4, 4.88 ERA) makes his 13th start and 14th overall appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 62 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 2 K in a 7-5 home win vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
2023 road splits: 1-2, 5.06 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 15 ER – 3 HR) with a .222 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts

Verlander (2-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 across 52 IP.

Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 4-2 road loss vs. the Houston Astros Tuesday
2023 home splits: 1-2, 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER – 4 HR) with a .207 OBA in 4 starts

Brewers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-120) | Mets -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The Mets (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite a bit of risk for not enough reward. It’s a little beyond my personal limit of -180 for a standalone bet. However, including this in a multi-team parlay is not as hard to swallow.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The METS -1.5 (+100) at even money on the run line are a much stronger play.

Verlander has been night and day at home versus on the road. He has a 3.24 ERA and .207 OBA at home across 25 innings while posting a 5.67 ERA and .287 OBA in 27 innings away from Citi Field.

The Brewers have managed just a 3-6 mark on the run line in the past 9 games as an underdog.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean — but go very lightly.

The total has gone Under at a 4-1-1 clip in the Brewers’ past 6 games following a win and is 7-3-1 in their last 11 outings on the road.

The Under is 8-3-1 in the past 12 games at home for the Mets and has cashed at a 7-1-1 clip in their last 9 at home against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (35-29) take on the New York Mets (41-23) in the finale of their 3-game series Thursday in New York. First pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET at Citi Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 1-1.

The Brewers bounced back for a 10-2 win Wednesday after losing the series opener 4-0. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but those are their only 2 wins in their last 11 contests.

The Mets have the most wins in the National League. They are 12-6 in their last 18 games.

Brewers at Mets projected starters

LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Ashby (1-5, 3.91 ERA) makes his 8th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 50 2/3 IP.

Has lost his last 2 starts.
Was knocked around for 6 runs on 13 hits across 4 2/3 innings in his last outing at the Washington Nationals Friday.
Is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in his 7 starts.

Megill (4-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 IP.

Has lost his last 2 decisions but the Mets are 6-2 when he starts.
Lasted just 1 1/3 innings and 3 1/3 innings in his last 2 outings.

Brewers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Brewers 4

Money line

The Mets’ loss Wednesday snapped a 9-game home win streak and are 20-9 at Citi Field this season.

The Brewers are 20-17 on the road but are 2-9 in their last 11 games and Ashby has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 10 2/3 innings.

Take the METS (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

Eight of the Brewers’ last 9 losses have been by more than 1 run.

The Mets are 16-13 ATS at home this season and 16 of their last 18 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Five of their 6 wins with Megill as the starter were by multiple runs.

Take the METS -1.5 (+155).

Over/Under

Seven of the last 10 games for the Mets have had at least 9 runs. Nine of their last 12 wins have had totals of 9 or more.

Five of the last 7 games for the Brewers have had 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (+100).

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (34-29) meet the New York Mets (41-22) Wednesday for the 2nd of their 3-game set at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

N.Y. won the series opener, 4-0, Tuesday thanks to a dominant outing from Mets SP Chris Bassitt, who went 8-scoreless innings, allowing just 3 hits and 1 walk with 7 strikeouts. Mets 1B Pete Alonso powered the offense with a 2-for-3 and 2-RBI night.

Tuesday’s Brewers-Mets meeting was the 1st of the year.

Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP David Peterson

Burnes is 3-4 with a 2.48 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 72 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Last start: Loss, 8-3, at home Thursday vs. the Philadelphia Phillies with 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB and 8 K.
2021 vs. the Mets: 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 11 H, 1 BB and 17 K in 2 starts.

Peterson is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 36 IP over 6 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Last start: No-decision in N.Y.’s 9-4 win at the Los Angeles Dodgers with 3 2/3 IP, 2 H, 4 R (2 ER), 4 BB and 6 K.
This is Peterson’s 1st start vs. the Brewers.

Brewers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Brewers -135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 3

Money line

LEAN METS (+110).

The Brewers (-135) are overpriced because the reigning National League Cy Young winner is on the mound. But, N.Y.’s lineup is so much better vs. right-handed pitching than Milwaukee’s against lefties.

The Brew Crew is 9-13 overall against lefty starters, and their lineup ranks 27th in wRC+ (85), 24th in wOBA (.292) and 22nd in BB/K rate (0.37), per FanGraphs. The Mets are 29-12 vs. righty starters with a 120 wRC+ (tied for 1st), .333 wOBA (2nd) and 0.41 BB/K rate (8th) vs. right-handed pitching.

It’s only a LEAN to the METS (+110) because N.Y.’s RL is a sharper wager.

Run line/Against the spread

RISK 1 unit on the METS +1.5 (-155) instead of betting to win 1 unit.

Not only do the Mets have a massive edge in the hitting department, but N.Y.’s bullpen is as strong as Milwaukee’s. Also, the Brewers -1.5 (+125) are just 8-19 RL as road favorites while the Mets are 11-6 RL as underdogs.

If your standard unit is $100 then “flat-BET” that on the METS +1.5 (-155) to earn a $64.52 profit.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 7.5 (-120).

The Mets are 10-5-2 O/U as underdogs and 5-1 O/U in Peterson’s 6 starts and the Brewers are 14-11-2 O/U as road favorites.

But, Milwaukee’s lineup cannot hit left-handed pitching, and the Under has cashed in 4 straight Brewers-Mets games in N.Y.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (34-28) face the New York Mets (40-22) Tuesday in their 3-game series opener at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee snapped an 8-game losing skid with a 4-1 win Sunday at the Washington Nationals.

New York won the rubber match of a 3-game set at the Los Angeles Angels 4-1 on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball, but the Mets are just 5-5 SU in the last 10.

Tuesday’s game is the 1st of 6 meetings between the teams this season. The Brewers won last year’s series 4-2, outscoring the Mets 25-14 in the 6 games.

Brewers at Mets projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Houser is 3-6 with a 3.92 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

Last start: Lost 10-0 Wednesday at home vs. the Philadelphia Phillies with 6 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 HR, 1 BB and 5 K.

Bassitt is 4-4 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP over 12 starts.

Last start: Lost 13-2 Wednesday at the San Diego Padres with 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K.

Brewers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+133)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

Brewers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Brewers 3

Money line

RISK 1 unit on the METS (-155).

The Brewers (+125) have played terribly this month while the Mets are a lot more productive vs. right-handed pitching and 8-0 SU when playing after a rest day.

Milwaukee’s lineup is 28th in both wRC+ (76) and wOBA (.278) and 27th in WAR (0.1) in June, according to FanGraphs.

New York’s lineup is better than Milwaukee’s against righty pitching in wRC+ (120-102), wOBA (.333-.318), BB/K rate (0.41-0.36) and runs per 9 (5.50-4.64).

But, this is a sharp price so I’d only “flat-BET” N.Y.’s ML. If your standard unit is $100 then bet that on the METS (-155) to earn a $64.52 profit.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

New York’s ML is pricey enough and it’s probably not smart to chase the value of the Mets -1.5 (+133) considering the pitching matchup in this game is more-or-less even and the Brewers +1.5 (-165) are 6-2 RL as underdogs.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (+100).

Sharp line movement has steamed the total up from an 8-run opener (per Pregame.com) and these teams have a combined 14-8 O/U record when these starters are on the mound.

However, it’s only a LEAN to the OVER 8.5 (+100) because Citi Field is a pitcher-friendly venue (ranked 21st in park factor) and Brewers-Mets is 1-8 O/U in their last 9 meetings.

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Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (51-34) and New York Mets (43-37) clash in a three-game series between division-leading teams at Citi Field. The series opens with a 7:10 p.m. ET game Monday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. In 16 starts this season, Woodruff is 7-3 with a 1.87 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 10.6 K/9, and 2.1 BB/9 in 101 IP.

Woodruff has benefited from a .203 batting average on balls in play and an 86.6% left-on-base rate, but he’s still posting the best-expected ERA figures of his career. That’s mostly due to having a career-best walks per nine innings rate and holding lefty bats in check (.420 OPS allowed).

RHP Tylor Megill is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. Megill is a 25-year-old rookie making his third start. In 9 1/3 IP, he owns a 4.82 ERA and has walked four while striking out 12.

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Brewers at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

Money line: Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 5, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

The Brewers have been a fine road team thus far. They’ve posted a run differential of +39 in going 25-16 away from home.

In their last 19 road tilts, the Brewers are 14-5. Milwaukee is coming off a four-game set at Pittsburgh where they took 3-of-4 from the Pirates but had an 11-game win streak snapped Sunday.

The Mets are coming off taking 2-of-3 games from their crosstown rivals at Yankee Stadium. They scored 18 runs over the two wins, which spelled a departure from the offensive woes the club has endured for most of the 2021 campaign.

Even with the recent offensive successes, New York has tallied just 3.1 runs per game on a .625 OPS since June 17. The Mets are 8-12 over that stretch.

The Brewers are a lean here, but consider zagging a bit on the expected total and taking Milwaukee on the run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mets are coming off an emotional weekend set, and their bullpen is in fatigue danger territory.

New York bats more from the left side than most clubs. Woodruff handles lefties well; so does the Milwaukee bullpen.

BACK THE BREWERS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over is a likable against-the-grain play here. Figure Woodruff as more of a 3.00-ERA hurler, and peg the Megill-Mets’ bullpen combo as a fade (or at least a big enough question mark.

The offensive numbers for both clubs are undercooked in comparison to their Statcast quality-of-contact figures (and the Brewers own a .815 OPS over their last 14 games).

Citi Field is a run-suppressive park, but an 11-mile-an-hour breeze out to left-center is in the forecast and figures as a suitable counterweight.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-110).

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