Tag: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Milwaukee Brewers (56-42) and Minnesota Twins (54-43) finish a 2-game series Sunday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 2-1

Milwaukee beat Minnesota 8-4 in 12 innings Saturday while covering as a +112 road underdog. The Brewers scored 5 runs in the 12th to break the 3-3 tie. LF Jackson Chourio went 3-of-5 at the plate with 2 RBI in the win.

The Brewers have won back-to-back games and the Twins have now lost back-to-back contests.

Brewers at Twins projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Civale (2-7, 4.94 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 98 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 1-0 loss vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on July 11
• Career vs. Minnesota: 1-4, 4.19 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 10 starts

Ryan (6-6, 3.53 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 114 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 7-1 loss vs. San Francisco Giants on July 12
• Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-0, 1.69 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-155) | Twins -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

PASS.

I slightly lean toward the Twins to win this game, but as -160 favorites they are too costly betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BREWERS +1.5 (-155).

Milwaukee is 2-0 in its last 2 road games and is 4-1 in its last 5 vs. Minnesota. The Brewers are also 52-46 ATS this season and 21-11 ATS as a road underdog this year while the Twins are only 45-52 ATS on the year.

Milwaukee’s chances to cover here, and honestly to win the game outright, are very high.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

The Over has hit in each of Milwaukee’s last 3 outings and is 7-3 in its last 10 games. For Minnesota, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 home games. The Over has also hit in each of the last 2 Milwaukee-Minnesota matchups, being 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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The Minnesota Twins (54-42) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (55-42) to Target Field Saturday for the 1st of a 2-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Twins went into the All-Star break having won 5 of their last 8 games. They did lose 2 of 3 to the San Francisco Giants in the series prior and dropped the final game of that stint 3-2 Sunday. Minnesota is 27-18 at home and has won 4 of its last 6 at home. It is 45-51 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Brewers won their final game before the break 9-3 against the Washington Nationals Sunday, snapping a 3-game win streak. Despite that, they still sit atop the NL Central and are above .500 at 26-25 on the road. Milwaukee is 3-7 over its last 10 games and and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. The Brewers are 52-45 ATS on the season.

Brewers at Twins projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Peralta (6-5, 4.11 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 103 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home loss to the Washington Nationals July 12
• 2024 away splits: 3-3, 3.74 ERA (53 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7 HR, 10.9 K/9 in 10 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 15.9 K/9 in 5 appearances (1 start)

Lopez (8-7, 5.11 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 104 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-2 road win over the Chicago White Sox July 10
• 2024 home splits: 3-4, 5.74 ERA (47 IP, 30 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7 HR, 9.4 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Brewers: 1-1, 3.41 ERA (37 IP, 14 ER), 0.95 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Brewers +106 (bet $100 to win $106) | Twins -124 (bet $124 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+168) | Twins +1.5 (-205)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+106).

The Brewers are 12-7 when Peralta takes the mound and are 6-4 when he is their starting option in road games. As for Lopez, the Twins are 11-8 when he starts and 2-3 in his last 5 home starts. The Twins also are just 21-20 following a loss while the Brewers are 29-25 following a win.

Minnesota’s offense has had too many issues lately as well, scoring 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games. Meanwhile, the Brewers totaled 14 in their last 2 before the break. Put it all together and back BREWERS (+106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers as a run-line favorite are too risky here to take, especially given their moneyline odds. The Twins, especially as an expensive run-line underdog, aren’t worth a run-line play either.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Brewers have scored 9 or more in 3 of their last 7 games and have gone Over the projected total in 5 of those.

Milwaukee has been hot for most of the season, having a 52-40-4 O/U record on the year. The Twins, who are 47-47-2 O/U, have struggled offensively but are still 8-5 O/U in their last 13 games.

Considering those trends, back OVER 7.5 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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