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The Milwaukee Brewers (20-14) and Kansas City Royals (21-15) meet Tuesday for the middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Kansas City leads 1-0
Kansas City won 3-2 in Monday’s series opener while covering as a -138 home favorite. The Royals trailed 2-0 until the 7th inning when they scored 3 runs to pick up the win. KC won despite leaving 7 runners on base compared to Milwaukee’s 4.
LHP Jared Koenig took the loss, allowing 1 H, 3 ER in 1/3 IP. Milwaukee has lost 3 consecutive games.
Brewers at Royals projected starters
RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Seth Lugo
Rea (3-0, 2.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
- Career vs. Kansas City: 0-0, 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2 appearances (1 start)
Lugo (5-1, 1.60 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 45 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
- Career vs. Milwaukee: 1-0, 2.16 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 17 H, 1 BB, 21 K in 9 appearances (1 start)
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Brewers at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Royals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Royals -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Brewers at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
LEAN ROYALS (-135).
Kansas City is 5-5 in its last 10 while the Brewers are only 4-6 in their last 10. The Royals are also 3-2 in their last 5 overall while the Brewers are only 1-3 in their last 4 road games.
KC is also 3-0 in its last 3 meetings with Milwaukee in Kansas City.
This is only a lean because neither team is hot right now and because the teams are 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I expect the Brewers to cover here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on with the line set at +1.5 (-190). Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Kansas City and is 5-1 in its last 6 games. For Milwaukee, the Under has hit in back-to-back games and is 3-1 in its last 4 games. The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 Milwaukee-Kansas City matchups, being 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
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