Tag: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (69-61) meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (62-68) Friday in the 2nd game of a 4-game set at Chase Field. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0

The Brewers were shut out 5-0 Thursday night and had just 4 hits. This ended a promising stretch where they won 4 of 5 against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs and scored 31 runs in the process. OF Christian Yelich left Thursday’s game with a neck issue, which is likely to keep him out Friday and maybe the rest of the series.

The D-backs are rolling, winners of 6 of 7 games. Before Thursday, they took 2 of 3 from the Philadelphia Phillies at home in a series where all 3 games had a team with double-digit runs. Arizona is 17-13 in its last 30 games to give them a slight chance at a wild card. They remain 10 games out and need to kill it in September.

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Brewers at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Zach Davies

Lauer (10-5, 3.58 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 135 2/3 IP.

  • Jekyll and Hyde last 2 starts: 5 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 4 BB, 4 K vs. Cubs Aug. 28; 5 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 2 K at Dodgers Aug. 22
  • 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 9.2 K/9 in 3 career starts at Chase Field

Davies (6-4, 2.76 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 101 IP.

  • Better at home: 3.26 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 vs. 4.26 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 6.5 K/9
  • First start at home in nearly a month, held his own in 4 road starts: 2.95 ERA, 1.13 WHIP

Brewers at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Brewers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Brewers 4

Money line

The D-Backs are ascending, and I think it’s mostly for real. RHP Zac Gallen has thrust himself into Cy Young consideration with 34 1/3 scoreless innings, and the team has fed off of it. The Brewers look sluggish, and Yelich’s injury could just be the nail in the coffin. I like the DIAMONDBACKS -105 to drive the nails further.

Run line/Against the spread

The thing that scares me about the run line is Davies. He has walked exactly 2 batters each of his last 10 starts, and he doesn’t strike out enough guys to wiggle out of it. So I’m going to pass on the RL and hone in on those K’s. Davies has 4-plus K’s in just 2 of his last 8 starts. He fanned 3 Brewers when he faced them in Sept. of 2021. Let’s take a plus-money chance on ZACH DAVIES UNDER 3.5 K’S (+102).

Over/Under

Earlier, we mentioned the amount of double-digit run totals in the series before this game at Chase Field. The Over has been cashing in the desert, and it would have Thursday if Milwaukee could score. They should get at least a couple off of Davies, and we should have a solid chance of cashing OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (41-33) and Arizona Diamondbacks (21-54) close out a three-game series Wednesday with a 3:40 p.m. ET first pitch at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. Woodruff is 5-3 with a 1.94 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 10.4 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 88 IP over 14 starts.

Woodruff is looking to rebound from a rough start at Colorado where he gave up 5 first-inning runs in a 7-3 loss to the Rockies. The Brewer righty had only yielded 4 ER over his previous 26 IP.

LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. His is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 4.4 BB/9 in 53 1/3 IP over 5 starts and 18 relief appearances.

Smith has been solid over his last six games (4 starts and 2 relief appearances). He has a career .671 OPS allowed vs. left-handed batters and that figures as a boon against this left-leaning Milwaukee group. Smith owns a 3.06 ERA over his last four games at home.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Brewers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Brewers and Diamondbacks have split the first two games of this series. Arizona’s win in a 5-1 game on Monday marked the D-backs second in June and just their sixth since May 2. (Arizona is 6-41 over its last 47 games.)

In a vacuum, looking at metrics that produce and prevent runs versus how the teams have performed to date, Arizona is a play and Milwaukee is a fade. But “LAY OFF” the juice-filled action here.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Milwaukee has the better bullpen by far, and the back end of the Brewers ‘pen is well-rested while the Arizona relief corps has been struggling mightily of late. Diamondback relievers also have a blind spot against left-handed bats, and Milwaukee bats more from that side than most clubs, even against lefty starters.

While the Over is much the best wagering option for this game, a BREWERS -1.5 (-110) play is a distant second, but it’s a slim-value runner-up nonetheless.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both starting pitchers have benefited from generous rates around the margins. Woodruff, for example, has gotten by with a .200 batting average on balls in play and an 85.0% strand rate when runners are on base.

Both offenses have underperformed, and in terms of OPS, rank as bottom-third units. However, the Brewers are at their best against southpaws (.711 OPS), and the D-backs are at their best at home (.716).

BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (40-33) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (21-53) in the second game of a three-game series at Chase Field after dropping the opener Monday night. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 6-2 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 12.5 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 through 75 IP over 13 starts and one relief appearance.

He took the loss in his last start despite allowing only 2 runs over 7 innings. The Brewers won his previous five starts, including one over the Diamondbacks in which he gave up 1 run on 1 hit and 3 walks over 7 1/3 frames.

RHP Zac Gallen is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-2 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 over 29 1/3 IP spanning 6 starts.

He has been on the injured lists twice this season and struggled in his first start back from the most recent stint. He allowed 4 runs and 4 hits in 2 2/3 innings Thursday against the San Francisco Giants.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Brewers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Brewers lost Monday’s opener 5-1, asArizona snapped a 17-game losing skid. Milwaukee is now 2-3 on its current road trip and has lost six of its last eight games. However, the Brewers are 5-1 on the road when Peralta starts.

The Diamondback finally won a game, but it was only their third win in 34 games.

Take the BREWERS (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Brewers are 39-34 ATS this season and 21-14 ATS on the road. However, they covered the spread in only one of their last eight games.

The Diamondbacks are 35-39 ATS overall and 19-15 ATS at home. They covered the spread in each of their last two games.

Gallen will be better in his second game back from the IL but Peralta will pitch well. Expect a close game.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under (O/U)

Two-thirds of games at Chase Field this season went Over the projected total.

The Brewers are hitting .221 and average 4.20 runs per game on the road, but they also have a 3.52 ERA on the road.

Take UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (40-32) open a three-game series on the road against the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks (20-53) Monday evening. First pitch comes at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Brett Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-4 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP spanning 11 starts.

Anderson is coming off his best start of the season. He went 7 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds and allowed only 1 hit and 1 walk, while striking out a season-high 9 batters.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 78 1/3 IP through 14 starts.

Arizona dropped Kelly’s last eight starts. He allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last four outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Brewers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5

Money line (ML)

The Brewers have won two straight games but dropped their previous five outings. They are 20-14 on the road and won three of Anderson’s last four road outings.

The Diamondbacks have lost 17 straight games and 31 of their last 33. Kelly hasn’t won a start since April 27 and the D-Backs have not won a game he started since May 2.

Take the BREWERS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Brewers are 39-33 ATS this season and 21-13 ATS on the road; however, they covered the spread in just one of their last seven games.

The Diamondbacks covered the spread five times in their current losing streak and are 18-15 ATS at home. Their bats awoke in the final innings Sunday and that could carry over to Monday’s game. Don’t expect a win but expect a 1-run game.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

No ballpark in the league has a higher Over percentage than Chase Field’s 68.8%. Four of Kelly’s last five starts had a total of at least 9 runs. Eight of Arizona’s last 10 games hit the Over.

Take OVER 9 (-120).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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