The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-34) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers (35-34) Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0.
The Pirates were narrowly defeated by the Brewers 5-4 Friday. Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight games and is now a half-game behind Milwaukee for 1st place in the NL Central.
In Friday’s win over the Pirates, the Brewers got a 2-hit performance from OF Blake Perkins, and OF Joey Wiemer hit his 9th home run of the season. Milwaukee snapped a 6-game losing streak with its win Friday.
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Pirates at Brewers projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. LHP Wade Miley
Keller (8-2, 3.41 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 87 IP.
- Has recorded 7 or more strikeouts in 11 of his first 14 starts.
- The Pirates have tallied a 10-4 record in his 14 starts; he is tied for the 3rd-most wins among starting pitchers with 8.
Miley (3-2, 3.67 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 41 2/3 IP.
- Will be making his 1st start since May 16 vs. St. Louis Cardinals.
- Allowed a total of 4 HR and 11 ER in his last 3 starts.
Pirates at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates -1.5 (+150) | Brewers +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Pirates 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
With Keller on the mound for Pittsburgh, the PIRATES (-110) are the choice in Saturday’s NL Central matchup. The Pirates own the 10th-best wOBA (.335) and are tied for the 10th-best wRC+ (110) against left-handed pitching this season.
Run line/Against the spread
Even though the Brewers should keep the game close, I’ll PASS on taking them to cover the run line in this contest.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-115) is how I’d wager the run total with Keller getting the nod for the Pirates. Since the start of May, the Brewers are tied for the 3rd-worst strikeout rate (25.5%) and are tied for the worst wRC+ (80) against right-handed pitchers.
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