The Milwaukee Brewers (50-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-42) play Game 2 of a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 6-2
The Brewers began the second half of their season as they ended it with a win over the Reds. They outlasted Cincinnati 1-0 Friday night. Milwaukee is now tied for the lead in the NL Central with Cincinnati. The Brew Crew have performed well against division rivals, going 18-9 against NL Central foes on the season.
Friday’s loss to the Brewers was the 6th of the season for Cincinnati. The Reds are only 1 game above .500 at Great American Ball Park after the loss. This team has struggled against their division rivals, going 12-15 against NL Central opponents on the season.
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Brewers at Reds projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. LHP Andrew Abbott
Peralta (5-7, 4.70 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 92 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 10 K in a 6-5 home victory vs. the Cubs on July 6
- Last 5 starts vs. Reds: 2-1, 3.28 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 30 K in 24 2/3 IP
- 2023 road splits: 1-4, 5.82 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 11.5 K/9, .268 opponent batting average (OBA) across 7 starts
Abbott (4-1, 2.38 ERA) will make his 8th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 7-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers July 7
- 2023 home splits: 1-0, 1.83 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 12.8 K/9, .134 OBA in 3 starts
Brewers at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+162) | Reds +1.5 (-196)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Brewers 5
Moneyline
PASS.
My lean is obviously the Reds (-118), but I don’t love them enough to endorse betting them. I know the Brewers have owned Cincinnati this season, but I feel like they get this one at home.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
I want to take the Reds +1.5 (-196), but putting nearly 2 units to win 1 on a bet I am not 100 percent sold on is not a bet I’m going to make.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9.5 (-122).
Peralta has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts. Abbott got lit up for 6 earned runs by this same Brewers squad just a week ago.
Cincinnati scores 5.02 runs per game at home, but they allow 5.66 runs per game to their opponents at home this season. We should see some fireworks Saturday evening in the Queen City.
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