The Pittsburgh Pirates (6-9) and Milwaukee Brewers (8-6) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Chad Kuhl is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, 2.06 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 12.7 BB/9 over 10 2/3 IP through three starts. Kuhl, the team’s Opening Day starter, has failed to last longer than four innings in any of his starts, along with walking at least three batters in each outing.
RHP Freddy Peralta is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 16.6 K/9 and 6.2 BB/9 through 13 IP across two starts and one relief appearance. Peralta has won each of his past two starts, both against the Chicago Cubs. That includes a quality start Monday when he allowed just one run on two hits and two walks with 10 strikeouts over six innings.
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Pirates at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:36 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-110) | Brewers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Brewers 8, Pirates 3
Money line (ML)
The Brewers (-200) will cost you two times your potential return. That’s just a little too expensive for me. For a singular bet, it’s not a big deal, but over the long haul it’s not a winning strategy. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS -1.5 (-110) are a strong play on the run line. Milwaukee fired out to a five-run lead after one inning Saturday, and led 7-0 after two frames. The Brewers didn’t score the rest of the way but never were in doubt of covering the run line in a 7-1 victory.
Milwaukee has covered the run line in each of its past seven victories, so if you like the Brewers to win, make sure to lay the run and a half until further notice.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 8 (-110) is the play against Kuhl, who has just been wildly erratic and walking everyone. The Over has cashed in each of his first three starts, and his being on the bump is driving this Over train.
Over bettors were feeling the sting Saturday, as Milwaukee took a 7-0 lead after two innings with an 8.5 number only to go scoreless the rest of the way. The Pirates helped out with just one run for the bad beat. That won’t be the case Sunday.
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