Tag: Milwaukee Brewers betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (3-4) and St. Louis Cardinals (5-2) continue their three-game series Saturday at 2:15 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adrian Houser is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. A year ago, Houser went 1-6 with a 5.30 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 56 IP over 12 appearances. He went five frames, allowing two runs in his 2021 debut. Houser owns a 210-point split in his vs.-left/vs.-right-effectiveness (.853 OPS allowed vs. left-handed bats; .643 OPS allowed vs. right-handed bats).

RHP Carlos Martinez is the Cardinals’ choice for Saturday. Martinez started just five games in 2020; he went 0-3 with a 9.90 ERA, 2.10 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, and 4.5 BB/9 in 20 IP. He missed games due to a COVID diagnosis and an oblique injury. Martinez started the Cards’ April 4 game at Cincinnati; he allowed four runs in 5 IP. He was cruising until the second time through the order when things derailed.

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Brewers at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS:  Brewers -1.5 (+155) |  Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 5, Cardinals 4

Money line (ML)

This series started Thursday and included a Friday off day. Still, considering top-end work Thursday and on the previous couple days, the Milwaukee bullpen is in better shape heading into Saturday.

Houser’s platoon edge plays into this wager as well. Against righty starters, the Cardinals lineup leans more to the right than most.

Milwaukee outscored St. Louis, 41-29, in a 10-game split a year ago. Getting Houser plus a sharper edge of the relief exchange makes for Brewers value on anything less than -120.

BACK THE BREWERS -105.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the juicier run line, and protect your bankroll against prices that are difficult to outrun.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at the batting average on balls in play is instructive to analyzing the offenses on both sides here. Both attacks have been BABIP-beaten down early, Milwaukee with a .233 BABIP and St. Louis with a .250 figure. The Brewers numbers are also dodgy when leading off an inning, a stat that is as important as any late-game, man-on numbers with how clutch and impactful they are.

Weather conditions for Busch Stadium are forecast as cool, but humid, and with a 17-mile-an-hour wind blowing out to center. Both starters get a lot of ground balls, but both pens are prone to the aerial game.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (2-3) and Chicago Cubs (3-2) will meet in the rubber match of their three-game series Wednesday at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. In 2020, he went 3-5 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 13 starts. Woodruff allowed three earned runs in just four innings in his season debut against the Twins last week, striking out five batters.

RHP Kyle Hendricks is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He also struggled in his first start of the year, allowing three earned runs and seven base runners across three innings.

Last year, Hendricks was outstanding, as he put up a 2.88 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 in 81 1/3 IP over 12 starts. In 88 career appearances (87 starts) at Wrigley, he owns a 2.58 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

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Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+145) | Cubs +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

Hendricks has a good matchup, as the Brewers ranked 26th in wRC+ vs RHP in 2020. However, while he has never been a hard thrower, it is at least a little concerning that his four-seamer and sinker were sub-86 MPH in his first start.

The Brewers halted their three-game skid on Tuesday evening, and look to make it two wins in a row as they send their Opening Day starter to the mound.

Woodruff wasn’t at the top of his game last time out but is a good bet to get back on track in this one. With the more dominant starter on the mound, the stronger bullpen, and slightly better odds, the lean is BREWERS -105.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

With Woodruff and Hendricks on the mound, this looks like a game that will be close and low-scoring throughout.

Unfortunately, there doesn’t appear to be much value taking +1.5 runs on either side (Brewers -190, Cubs -185). PASS on the run line, and place your bets elsewhere.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Under is 12-3-2 in Milwaukee’s last 17 road contests, and this sets up as another game that won’t involve a lot of offensive action. Look for both starting pitchers to bounce back from disappointing debuts, and keep this game UNDER 9 (-110) the total.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) head to the Windy City for a three-game series at the Chicago Cubs (2-1) Monday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee beat the Minnesota Twins opening day but dropped the next two in losing the series. The Brewers bullpen was shaky over the weekend, posting a 5.68 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 12 2/3 IP vs. the Twins.

Chicago lost to the National League Central Division rival Pittsburgh Pirates opening day before winning the last two games by a combined score of 9-4.

LHP Brett Anderson makes his 2021 debut for the Brewers Monday. Anderson was 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 47 IP across 10 starts in 2020.

  • 2020 vs. Cubs: 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 5 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
  • Career vs. Cubs: 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 19 K, 3 BB) over 4 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 24 H, 16 K, 4 BB) in 6 starts.

RHP Trevor Williams, who played the first five years of his career with the Pirates, is projected to start for the Cubs Monday. In 2020, Williams was 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 55 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • 2020 vs. Brewers: 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA (4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 6 K, 2 BB) in 1 start.
  • Career vs. Brewers: 3-3 with a 3.09 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 16 ER, 36 H, 50 K and 15 BB) in 9 appearances, including 8 starts.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 12 H, 11 K, 1 BB) in 4 starts.

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Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:07 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cubs 9, Brewers 4

Money line (ML)

This is a “good spot” for the CUBS (-115), who are 8-4 since 2020 vs. left-handed pitchers, including a 4-2 win over Anderson last season. The Brewers were 19-26 vs. righties since last season.

I think we see a rejuvenated Williams for Chicago since it has to be uplifting moving from a Pirates team destined for 100 losses to the reigning NL Central winners.

Take it with a grain of salt, but Williams’ numbers and stuff looked good in his new uni this Spring Training.

Furthermore, this is a “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market as more money is coming in on Chicago’s money line whereas more actual bets have been placed on Milwaukee’s, according to Pregame.com.

Generally, it’s more lucrative to follow the money instead of the crowd so let’s BET CUBS (-115) for 0.75 units.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bet CUBS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because Milwaukee’s ‘pen looked shaky in its first three games and I like the righties in the heart of Chicago’s lineup to do some damage on Anderson in the early innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” toward OVER 9.5 (-110) for a tiny wager if at all because there are 9-mph winds blowing out to left-centerfield. That could help Cubs right-handed power hitters such as 3B Kris Bryant and SS Javier Baez.

This is a “Pro vs. Joes” spot for the total as well with more money being bet on the Over, but more of the public is on the Under. Also, Anderson has a 7.81 ERA in 7 career starts at Wrigley Field.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (1-1) play the Milwaukee Brewers (1-1) Sunday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Sunday’s meeting is the rubber match of this three-game set. The Twins won a pitcher’s duel 2-0 Saturday to even the series. The Brewers took Thursday’s opener 6-5 in 10 innings.

Minnesota LHP Jose Berrios pitched six perfect innings with 12 strikeouts Saturday before turning it over to the bullpen, which eventually lost the no-hitter and perfect game but held on for the win.

Brewers RHP Corbin Burnes also flirted with a no-hit bid. He didn’t allow a hit until Twins CF Byron Buxton‘s solo homer in the top of the 6th, which ended up being Burnes’ final batter.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Michael Pineda takes the hill Sunday for the Twins. Pineda was 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 26 2/3 IP across 5 starts in 2020.

He didn’t make his first start last season until Sept. 1 because he was serving a 60-game suspension that started in 2019.

  • Last start vs. Brewers: No-decision (6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 K, 0 BB) in a 5-4 loss May 27, 2019.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 0-0 with a 7.04 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 14 H, 10 K, 1 BB) in 2 starts.

RHP Adrian Houser makes his first start of the season for the Brewers. 2020 was a rough year for Houser, who was 1-6 with a 5.30 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in 56 IP over 12 games (11 starts).

  • 2020 vs. Twins: 0-1 with 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 K and 1 BB in 1 start.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 1-0 with a 5.60 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 11 ER, 21 H, 16 K, 6 BB) across 6 starts.

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Twins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Brewers 6, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

Bet BREWERS (-105) for 1 unit because I favor Milwaukee’s Houser over Minnesota’s Pineda in the starting pitching matchup.

Twins DH Nelson Cruz had an impressive plus-12 run value vs. sinkers last season and Houser’s most used pitch is a sinker. Since the Brew Crew are the home team, this game is played under National League rules, which doesn’t have a DH. Because Cruz doesn’t play the field, the only chance Minnesota has at using him is as a pinch hitter.

Plus, there are a few indicators Houser could have a bounce-back season in 2021.

Houser’s FIP was only slightly lower than his ERA, but his BABIP was high (.325), which is a luck-based metric, and Houser’s hard-hit percentage, exit velocity and fly-ball rate are far lower than MLB averages.

Finally, I think Pineda will pitch closer to his 2021 Spring Training form this season—which was poor—than his awesome 2020 regular-season performance.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a “LEAN” on Brewers +1.5 (-165) because I could be into a parlay with Milwaukee’s run line and another run line or a favorite’s money line to get an even- or plus-money payout.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because despite being very confident in Milwaukee’s pitching staff there’s just too wide a range of outcomes for Pineda. If 2020 Pineda is on the mound, I’d bet the Under but I’m staying away from this total.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (0-1) meet the Milwaukee Brewers (1-0) in Game 2 of their three-game set Saturday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee rallied Thursday with a 3-run bottom of the 9th to force extra innings, which led to a CF Lorenzo Cain fielder’s choice walk-off win against Minnesota on Opening Day.

Season series: Brewers 1-0.

RHP Jose Berrios is on the mound Saturday for the Twins. In 2020, Berrios was 5-4 with a 4.00 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 63 IP across 12 starts.

  • 2020 vs. Brewers: Win in 6 IP with 0 ER, 1 H, 9 K and 1 BB in 1 start.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 2-2 with a 3.50 ERA (18 IP, 7 ER, 19 H, 18 K and 5 BB) in 5 starts.

RHP Corbin Burnes makes his 2021 season debut for the Brewers. Last season, he was 4-1 with a 2.11 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 13.3 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 in 59 2/3 IP over 12 appearances (9 starts).

  • 2020 vs. Twins: No-decision in 5 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 5 K and 3 BB in 1 start.
  • 2021 Spring Training: 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 26 K and 6 BB) in 5 starts.

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Twins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-175) | Brewers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Brewers 4, Twins 1

Money line (ML)

Burnes’ second favorite pitch in his arsenal is his cutter and it is electric. Several Twins hitters have a negative run value vs. cutters including 3B Josh Donaldson and CF Byron Buxton.

Also, Berrios’ numbers significantly decline in road starts throughout his career, seeing increases in ERA (3.57 at home to 4.79 on the road) and WHIP (1.15 at home to 1.38 on the road) while striking out one less batter per nine innings.

This is a “Pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market with roughly 85% of the money on the Brew Crew but around 80% of the total bets placed are on the Twins, according to Pregame.com.

It’s generally more profitable to follow the money rather than the crowd of people. The overnight baseball bettors hammered Milwaukee’s money line, which caused bookmakers to lower it to the current number.

We are a little late to the party so BET BREWERS (-135) for a half-unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

We can essentially copy and paste the same market movement handicap to this section. The “sharp” money is rolling with the Under but the public is on the Over.

Minnesota’s batting numbers declined in 2020’s 60-game sprint and Milwaukee had a bottom-10 lineup last season.

For me, Burnes is a sleeper for the NL Cy Young coming into this year and he pitched great in Spring Training.

I am a tad nervous the Brewers’ lineup can get to Berrios, who’s less effective on the road, but he was dealing in his start last year against Milwaukee.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a half-unit.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins meet the Milwaukee Brewers in the opener Thursday at 2:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He was 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 66 2/3 IP over 11 starts in 2020. Last season, Maeda went 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA in two starts against the Brewers with an opponent batting average of just .120 across 14 2/3 innings with no home runs allowed and 17 strikeouts.

RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He was 3-5 with a 3.05 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 73 2/3 IP over 13 starts in 2020. Woodruff made one start against the Twins last season, allowing two earned runs, nine hits and a walk with three strikeouts across five innings in a loss at Target Field Aug. 20.

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Twins at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:01 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+155) | Brewers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Twins 4, Brewers 2

Money line (ML)

The TWINS (+100) are a nice play riding the shoulders of Maeda, although this should be a low-scoring, well-pitched game inside the warmth of American Family Field and the lack of adverse weather conditions.

Minnesota won two of its three games in Milwaukee last season, outscoring the Brew Crew 20-10 in the three games. That includes a 12-2 laugher behind Maeda Aug. 12.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The TWINS -1.5 (+155) are the lean here as they hit the run line in each of their two wins at Milwaukee in 2020. I wouldn’t go crazy, especially on Opening Day, but it’s worth a small-unit bet at plus money.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the lean. Maeda didn’t give up much in the shortened season of 2020, his first with the Twins. He chopped his WHIP down to 0.75 and his K/BB ratio was at 8.0, nearly double his previous career best. He will be hard on the Milwaukee bats, and runs will be at a premium early.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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