In a 10-round women’s junior lightweight WBO and IBF title bout, Mikaela Mayer and Maiva Hamadouche meet Friday at the Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. The main card begins at 8 p.m. ET, with the main event expected to take place at approximately 11 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Mayer vs. Hamadouche odds and lines, with boxing picks and predictions.
Mayer enters the ring as the much larger fighter, which is something most will notice right off the bat. She stands five inches taller, while holding a 2.5-inch reach advantage, too.
The current IBF champion and No. 1 ranked fighter in the 130-pound division, Mayer has won three straight unanimous-decision fights, including last time out in this very same venue against Erica Anabella Farias June 19. It has been a while since her last knockout, coming Aug. 25, 2018, against Edina Kiss.
Hamadouche last fought Dec. 17, taking down Nina Pavlovic by TKO at Allianz Cloud in Milan, Italy. Before that, she scored a TKO win over Janeth Perez on July 18, 2019. Hamadouche, ranked No. 3 in the division, will be fighting her first time on United States soil.
Mayer vs. Hamadouche odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:15 a.m. ET.
- Mikaela Mayer: -420 (bet $420 to win $100) | Maiva Hamadouche: +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
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Mayer (-420) is a heavy favorite with an implied win probability of 80.77%. A $100 bet on the favorite would return a profit of just $23.81 with a victory as a chalky wager.
Mayer vs. Hamadouche tale of the tape
Mikaela Mayer (-420)
Record: 15-0-0 (5 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-9
Reach: 66.5 inches
Stance: Orthodox
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Maiva Hamadouche (+270)
Record: 22-1-0 (18 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-4
Reach: 64 inches
Stance: Orthodox
Mayer vs. Hamadouche predictions and picks
This unification bout at the 130-pound division features the No. 1 and No. 3 ranked fighters. It should be quite a show in Las Vegas. Mayer (-420) is a great technical fighter who wows the judges with her ability and punching accuracy. And she’ll already draw attention to her overwhelming size advantage, in terms of height and reach.
HAMADOUCHE (+270) hasn’t fought the quality of fighters Mayer has to this point, but she gets her shot here on a much larger stage than she is used to. Nerves might be an issue for the No. 3 junior lightweight, but I think she gets her sea legs as the fight gets into the neighborhood of Round 3 or 4. While Mayer will be trying to win points, Hamadouche will be looking for the knockout. I like Hamadouche’s chances of rocking Mayer and winning inside the distance. She is the much better value play than the overwhelming favorite.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the event beginning at 8 p.m. ET and the main event at 11 p.m. ET.
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