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The Michigan State Spartans (17-11, 9-8 Big 10) head to Mackey Arena to face the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (25-3, 14-3) Saturday at 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan State vs. Purdue odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Michigan State dropped its 2nd straight game with a 60-57 loss to Ohio State Sunday. It lost straight up as a 10-point home favorite, and the Under (138.5) hit. The Spartans were led in scoring by F Malik Hall, who had 15 points. G Jaden Akins did a little bit of everything for Michigan State. He scored 4 points, grabbed 3 boards, dished 2 assists and swiped the ball 3 times. Michigan State was outrebounded 39-33 in the loss.
Purdue, which is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has won 11 of 12 after an 84-76 victory over the Michigan Wolverines in Ann Arbor Sunday. It failed to cover the spread as a 13.5-point favorite, and the Over (151.5) hit. National Player of the Year candidate C Zach Edey tied his season-high with 35 points and added 15 rebounds and 2 assists. Purdue dominated the Wolverines inside, outrebounding them 41-28 and outscoring them 44-26 in the paint.
Purdue has beaten the Spartans in 7 of the last 8 matchups, including a 77-61 Boilermakers home victory in the most recent meeting Jan. 29, 2023. The Boilermakers covered as 8-point favorites, and the Over (130) hit.
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Michigan State at Purdue odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Michigan State +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Purdue -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +10.5 (-110) | Purdue -10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Michigan State at Purdue picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 76, Michigan State 69
Moneyline
PASS.
You should obviously avoid betting Purdue (-650), as those odds are pretty steep. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MICHIGAN STATE +10.5 (-110).
I’m going to bet the Spartans to cover in this one despite Purdue’s stellar record this season. The Boilermakers have covered just once in their last 4, while Michigan State has covered in 2 of its last 3 Big 10 road games. And while Purdue has won last 3 of the 4 in this matchup, Michigan State has covered in 3 of the last 4.
Michigan State coach Tom Izzo comes to play when March rolls around. Don’t make the mistake of betting against him.
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Over/Under
PASS.
I’m not a fan of the total. Both of these teams are very hit-or-miss when it comes to the total this season. Purdue and Michigan State have both hit 3 of their last 6 Overs. I don’t love betting on what is basically a coin flip. I’ll save my money for Michigan State taking those points.
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