Michigan at Penn State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Michigan at Penn State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan Wolverines (11-9, 5-4 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 4-5) Sunday. Tip-off from the Bryce Jordan Center is set for 12 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Michigan lost to the No. 1 Purdue Boilermakers 75-70 at home on Thursday, but covered as 5.5-point underdogs. It was the Wolverines’ 3rd loss in their last 5 games.

Penn State has also lost 3 of its last 5 games, the last a 65-45 blowout loss at Rutgers (-6.5). The Nittany Lions are now 1-4 on the road,  but 10-2 at home.

The Wolverines beat the Nittany Lions 79-69 as 4.5-point home favorites on Jan. 4.

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Michigan at Penn State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Penn State -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +3.5 (-115) | Penn State -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Michigan at Penn State picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 75, Michigan 71

Moneyline

LEAN PENN STATE -165.

Penn State should win this game as the home favorites. The teams are evenly matched and both are very balanced. Michigan averages 74 points per game and Penn State averages 73.1. The Wolverines allow 69.8  PPG while the Nittany Lions allow 66.9. There aren’t any notable matchups that necessarily create problems for the other side.

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Against the spread

BET PENN STATE -3.5 (-105).

Penn State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. teams with losing road records.

Michigan is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. teams with winning records, and are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 playing against teams with a better than .600 home record.

Over/Under

BET OVER 141.5 (-105).

The Over is the safer bet for both teams in this matchup. The Over is 10-3 in the Wolverines’ last 13 games vs. teams with a winning record and is 4-0 in Penn State’s last 4 home games. Neither team has a great defense and both teams can score.

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Michigan at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Wolverines at Penn State Nittany Lions odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 8 Michigan Wolverines (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) and No. 23 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3, 3-3) meet for a Saturday noon ET game at Beaver Stadium in State College, Pa. Below, we look at the Michigan vs. Penn State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Michigan is coming off a 29-7 victory over Indiana last week. The Wolverines have now held opponents under 20 points in seven games this season. They’ve allowed just 16.0 points per game overall, which ranks sixth in the nation.

Penn State snapped a three-game skid with a 31-14 win at Maryland last Saturday. But things weren’t easy for the Nittany Lions. PSU and Maryland were tied 14-all at the 14-minute mark of the fourth quarter. The Lions defense was stingy down the stretch, and that’s nothing new. Penn State has held foes to 16.7 PPG this season to rank 10th in FBS.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan at Penn State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Penn State +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -1.5 (-112) | Penn State +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Michigan at Penn State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 24, Michigan 20

Money line

The Lions beat the Wolverines 27-17 last season. PSU outperformed Michigan on third-down plays and outgained them by 131 total yards. UM had just one drive longer than 45 yards over the last three quarters.

Penn State has won two straight and three of the last four meetings against Michigan.

Can Michigan continue to finish drives and make stops at rates that belie what the Wolverines do on the less dangerous 70 yards of the gridiron? Figure a lean toward “no.”

Peg the Lions as being worthy as a pick ’em in this spot at home. TAKE PENN STATE (+102).

Against the spread

PASS and look for better leverage on PSU in an outright win.

Over/Under

Look for Michigan rushing and an overall lack of explosive plays to give this game a lean on the Under. A breezy, Big Ten-weather grind looks prod the UNDER 48.5 (-107) into moderate-confidence play

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