Michigan Michigan State odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Michigan at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan at Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan Wolverines (9-5, 3-0 Big Ten) take on the Michigan State Spartans (10-4, 2-1) Saturday at Breslin Center. Tip is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Wolverines beat Penn State 79-69 Wednesday, covering as 4-point home favorites. They are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games and 8-6 ATS on the season. Michigan’s main weakness is its defense, ranking 207th in the nation with 69.4 points allowed per game.

Michigan State easily beat Nebraska 74-56 on Tuesday, covering as a 7-point home favorite. It has covered the spread in 4 of its last 5 games and is 7-7 ATS overall. The Spartan’s offensive 3-point percentage is tied for 48th in the country (37.5%) while their defense ranks 54th for defensive 3-point percentage (30.1%).

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Michigan at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Michigan +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Michigan State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +4.5 (-115) | Michigan State -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Michigan at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 69, Michigan 64

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline odds do not present enough return on investment.

Against the spread

LEAN MICHIGAN STATE -4.5 (-105).

The home team is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two sides.

Michigan State is currently on a 4-game home win streak in its previous 4 games, winning by an average of 17.5 points and going 3-1 ATS. In a touted rivalry, expect the home crowd to impact the game and propel the Spartans to victory.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 139.5 (-110).

Michigan State’s O/U record is 2-5 in their last 7 games, and the total has only been above 140 two times along that span. The Wolverines’ Under has hit 2 times in their last 3 games.

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Michigan at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan at Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Michigan Wolverines (10-7, 4-3 Big Ten) and No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (15-4, 6-2) will play Saturday afternoon in East Lansing, Mich. The game at the Breslin Center is slated to tip off at 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Michigan vs. Michigan State odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan earned a 72-70 win over Northwestern Wednesday and has won three straight games. During the streak, UM has shot a robust 57.2% from the floor, including a 55.1% mark from 3-point range. That accuracy mark has been a sharp turn for the Wolverines, who shot just 40.7% from the floor in losing their three previous games (Dec. 30-Jan. 14).

Michigan State is coming off a 56-55 loss at Illinois Tuesday. MSU — which trailed by 14 at the half — nearly pulled off a comeback victory, but it trailed by multiple possessions through about three-quarters of the game. The Spartans shot a season-low 34.5% from the field. They forced just six turnovers after forcing 10.5 per game over their previous four.

Michigan at Michigan State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Michigan +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Michigan State -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Michigan +2.5 (-107) | Michigan State -2.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Michigan at Michigan State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 72, Michigan 68

Money line

The Illinois game was just an all-around misfire for the Spartans. Look for a strong bounce-back in this game.

At current prices, MICHIGAN STATE (-160) is worthy of attention. Tag the ATS play with more value, but consider a money line wager as an undercard or insurance buffer.

Against the spread

MSU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a straight-up loss. The home five has won six in a row ATS in this series.

Michigan State has the superior inside defense, and the Spartans are the better rebounding team. An edge in getting to the foul line can also be projected here, and a two- or three-possession final margin is probable enough.

BACK THE SPARTANS -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over is the general feel here, but probably best in action around an evenly priced (-110) total of 138. So, PASS, or consider as a line watch.

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Michigan at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 6 Michigan Wolverines (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten) and No. 7 Michigan State Spartans (7-0, 4-0) lock horns in a rivalry battle Saturday in East Lansing. Kickoff in the top-10 tussle from Spartan Stadium is slated for noon ET. Below, we look at the Michigan vs. Michigan State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan drubbed Northwestern 33-7 last Saturday. The Wolverines managed 30-plus points for a sixth time in seven games and 200 or more rushing yards (294) for a fifth time this fall. RB Blake Corum rushed for 119 yards in the victory, increasing his season total to 729 yards. UM’s 253.3 rushing yards per game rank fifth in FBS.

The Spartans defeated Indiana 20-15 despite compiling just 241 yards on offense. MSU struggled in taking 12 penalties for 134 yards in the contest. At 68.1 yards per game, Michigan State is the 17th-most penalized team in FBS. RB Kenneth Walker III is a legitimate candidate for “First Half Heisman.” The dynamic junior needs just 3 yards to reach 1,000 rushing yards on the season, and he already has 10 touchdowns (9 rushing, 1 receiving).

Michigan at Michigan State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:04 a.m. ET.

Money line: Michigan -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Michigan State +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -3.5 (-115) | Michigan State +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Michigan at Michigan State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan 26, Michigan State 24

Money line

PASS. The lean is on the home side, and the 3-and-a-hook is a bigger attraction than the outright plus money.

Against the spread

The Wolverines are 0-5 ATS vs. winning teams. The Spartans are 8-2 ATS across their last 10 games against UM.

Michigan’s wins over Nebraska and Rutgers look a bit suspect in the rearview mirror. There are a few “luck-vs.-results” analytics that make the MSU offense a slight play and the UM offense a slight fade. The Wolverines’ TD stops against yardage allowed (and the inverse: scores vs. yardage gained) make them at least suspect enough to warrant 3-and-a-hook on the road.

TAKE THE SPARTANS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1 in the last three series meetings.

A Michigan lead likely gets a grind-the-clock effort late, and this one could be impacted by some late-October Big Ten weather.

On just a sliver of a lean, BACK THE UNDER 50.5 (-108).

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Michigan at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Michigan Wolverines (19-2 overall, 14-2 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (14-11, 8-11) Sunday in one of four conference games on the final day of the regular season. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET at Breslin Center in East Lansing, Mich. Below, we analyze the Michigan-Michigan State college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The second-ranked Wolverines lead a group of four Big Ten teams in the top 10 of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Illinois is No. 4, Iowa is No. 8 and Ohio State 10th.

Michigan has already clinched the Big Ten regular-season title and the conference tournament’s No. 1 seed. Win or lose Sunday, Michigan State is locked into the No. 9 seed in next week’s Big Ten tourney.

Illinois at Michigan: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Michigan -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Michigan State +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
Against the spread/ATS: Michigan -8.5 (-105) | Michigan State +8.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 135.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Michigan at Michigan State: Three things to know

Michigan clinched the Big Ten regular-season crown with a 69-50 home win as a 12-point favorite over Michigan State Thursday. Wolverines sophomore G Franz Wagner tallied a game-high 19 points and freshman Hunter Dickinson added 14 points and 10 rebounds. Junior F Aaron Henry was the only Spartans player to score in double figures, totaling 14 points.
Before Thursday’s victory, Michigan suffered a surprising 76-53 home loss to Illinois Tuesday as an 8.5-point favorite. The upset snapped a 7-game win streak by the Wolverines and was just their second loss of the season. Dickinson leads the Wolverines in scoring with 14.4 points per game, 7.8 rebounds per game and 1.5 blocks per game.
Michigan State is 1-2 in its last three games, sandwiching a 64-58 win against Indiana between the Michigan loss and an ugly 73-55 setback at Maryland last Sunday. The Spartans are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 contests, but the NCAA Tournament selection committee doesn’t care about ATS records. Henry averages team-bests with 15.4 PPG, 3.5 APG, 1.3 SPG and 1.4 BPG.

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Michigan at Michigan State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Michigan 66, Michigan State 54

Money line (ML)

PASS. Michigan State will complete the two-game sweep, but the -400 ML price is too chalky.

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Against the spread (ATS)

MICHIGAN -8.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. While the Spartans are 11-3 at home and really need a win as a bubble team, there’s no reason to think they’ll narrow the gap from Thursday’s 19-point loss.

Michigan’s defense ranks seventh in the country, holding opponents to 38.7% shooting from the field. Offensively, Michigan State is 258th in the country with a 42.4 field-goal percentage.

Thursday, MSU was held to a 36.4 FG% and went 0-for-9 behind the 3-point arc. Expect more of the same in this one.

ATS: Michigan 16-5 | Michigan State 8-17

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 135.5 (-105). Michigan surrenders a Big Ten-best 63.6 PPG in conference games. Combine that with MSU’s shooting woes, and the Spartans will be lucky to score 55 points.

O/U records: Michigan 8-13 | Michigan State 10-15

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD	W-L	SP	ROI
College hoops since Jan. 1	66-57-1	29-31	+3.6
2020-21 College hoops	81-74-1	34-41	-3.125
2021 record (all sports)	84-68-1	40-33	+15.9
–SP: Strongest plays; ROI*: Return on investment

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