The NASCAR Cup Series is at the Michigan International Speedway Sunday for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA). Below we analyze the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.
Sunday’s race is scheduled for 200 laps and 400 miles on the 2-mile, 4-turn oval. The 2022 FireKeepers 400 is the only NASCAR Cup Series race of the season at the Michigan oval.
2022 FireKeepers Casino 400: What you need to know
- Penske Racing’s Ryan Blaney picked up checkers last August in the Irish Hills with an average speed of 142.476 mph in a race which featured 29 lead changes.
- Team Penske’s 2021 victory gave manufacturer Ford a 7th consecutive win at the track just down the road from its headquarters in Detroit.
- The last Chevrolet to win at Michigan was Kyle Larson, then of Chip Ganassi Racing. He posted 3 straight wins in the Irish Hills from August 2016 through August 2017.
- Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott has 11 Cup starts at MIS, finishing outside of the top 10 just once for an Average-Finish Position (AFP) of 7.7.
- Chase Briscoe made his Michigan Cup debut last season, turning in an 11th-place showing.
- The last time Toyota went to Victory Lane in Michigan was August 2015, giving that manufacturer an 11-race win drought in the Irish Hills.
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FireKeepers Casino 400 – Expert picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:26 p.m. ET.
CHASE ELLIOTT (+750) leads all active drivers with a 7.7 AFP, and he has just 1 finish in 11 career Cup starts at MIS outside of the top 10. He is as good a bet as any to end Ford’s dominance and get Chevy back on top at Michigan. Elliott is the safest play.
JOEY LOGANO (+1300) is a must-play at this price point. He has won twice at Michigan since June 2016, and he has a stellar 12.6 AFP in 25 career Cup starts here with 3 victories, 17 top-10 runs and 590 laps led.
FireKeepers Casino 400 picks – Long shot
BRISCOE (+9000) is worth a roll of the dice based upon his solid debut at MIS last season.
BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+280) is still a solid value at plus-money. He’ll be hungry to bounce back after a disappointing 23rd-place showing on the Indianapolis road course last week.
FireKeepers Casino 400 prop picks
WINNING MANUFACTURER: FORD (+480)
While yes, I suggested Elliott and Chevrolet as a potential winner play above, Ford has won at this track in 7 consecutive outings. As such, this represents an outstanding value, as Chevrolet (+150) is not as attractive. Logano is the best bet for Ford to get back to Victory Lane.
TY GIBBS TOP-10 FINISH (+100)
Gibbs will make a 3rd straight start in place of the concussed veteran Kurt Busch. He was a respectable 16th in his Cup debut at Pocono, and he matriculated his way up through the field from 26th to 17th at the Indy road course last week. He is feeling comfortable, and this is a solid play.
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