Miami at Pittsburgh odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami at Pittsburgh odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 Miami Hurricanes (16-4, 7-3 ACC) will attempt to take down the Pittsburgh Panthers (14-7, 7-3) Saturday. Tip from Petersen Events Center is at 4 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Pittsburgh odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Miami comes into this matchup after dismantling Florida State 86-63 as a 3-point road favorite Tuesday. This victory got it back on track after losing 68-66 at Duke in its previous game last Saturday as a 6-point ‘dog. This will be a difficult test for the Hurricanes as they take on a Panthers team that is currently tied with them in the ACC ranks at 7-3.

The Hurricanes are able to get up and down the floor at a quick pace and outscore many teams, scoring 78.2 points per game (47th). Going against the 149th-ranked defense in Pittsburgh (68.2 points allowed per game) should allow them to put up plenty.

For Pitt to win this game, it will need to score more than the 74.4 points it has averaged this far. Getting to the line will be a key for the Panthers as they have made 75.1% of their free throws and can use this efficiency to close the margin Miami has on the offensive side of the ball.

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Miami at Pitt odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated noon ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Miami -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pitt -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami -1.5 (-105) | Pitt +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami at Pitt picks and predictions

Prediction

Pitt 73, Miami 70

Moneyline

BET PITT (-105).

Pitt has been a different team since entering conference play with only 3 losses. The Panthers are also 10-2 ATS coming off a victory and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. With the spread being close at 1.5 points, I can see the Panthers pulling off a small upset against the No. 19 Hurricanes.

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Against the spread

PASS on the spread in favor of the ML here. This line is small enough were making a wager on the Moneyline is a better play.

Over/Under

UNDER 147.5 (-110) is the play here.

Pitt comes into this game on quite a hot streak of Under plays against winning teams, going 7-1 to the Under in its last 8 against winning records.

Miami has been on a similar streak, going 6-0 to the Under against teams with winning records while also going 5-1-1 to the Under in its last 7 road games overall.

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Miami at Pittsburgh odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Hurricanes (3-4, 1-2 ACC) and No. 19 Pittsburgh Panthers (6-1, 3-0) meet Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Heinz Field. Below, we look at the Miami vs. Pittsburgh odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Miami has had its last three games decided by a combined six points. The Hurricanes went 1-2 in those games, including a 31-30 victory over then-No. 18 North Carolina State Oct. 23. The ‘Canes defeated the Panthers 31-19 last year and have won three straight and five of the last six in the series.

The Panthers are coming off four straight wins, including a 27-17 home win over Clemson Oct. 23. Pitt outgained the Tigers 464 yards to 315, and finished a combined 10-for-20 in converting third and fourth downs. Pitt’s offense ranks sixth in the nation with a total yards-per-game average of 523.6.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Miami at Pittsburgh odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Miami +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Pittsburgh -380 (bet $380 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami +9.5 (-112) | Pittsburgh -9.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami at Pittsburgh odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pittsburgh 31, Miami 24

Money line

PASS.

Miami has looked like an improving team of late in many respects. That notion hasn’t revealed itself in the win column and not in this week’s key pass-defense category either. Miami’s 245.0 passing yards allowed average ranks 93rd in the nation. It now faces QB Kenny Pickett and a Pitt aerial assault that ranks seventh nationally, piling up 350.0 yards per contest.

But Miami’s troubles against the pass are a bit front-loaded with a bad game against top-flight Alabama in Week 1 and a shaky Week 3 effort against Michigan State. In games since, the Hurricanes have faced top ACC quarterbacks like Virginia’s Brennan Armstrong and North Carolina’s Sam Howell. The pass-defense analytics have improved across the board.

That’s not to say Miami is elite or even above-average in stopping the pass. But the ‘Canes – with improving offensive performances of late also – are worth a long look at this price on the money line.

PASS on the current +290 tag, but Miami would make for an attractive plus-money play if it climbs to +315.

Against the spread

Some parts of the market had the Miami side getting +10.5 or better at the start of the week. Some of the air is out of the balloon at +9.5, but the visitors are perhaps worth a partial-unit play. BACK MIAMI +9.5 (-112).

Over/Under

This O/U line was in the mid-40s the last three meetings (2018-20) with the Under cashing twice. The Hurricanes being undervalued and a rainy forecast make for the Under being the likable wager here.

TAKE UNDER 61.5 (-110).

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