The No. 16 Miami Hurricanes (15-3, 6-2 ACC) and Duke Blue Devils (13-5, 4-3) meet Saturday at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
The Hurricanes edged visiting Syracuse 82-78 last time out at home on Monday, bouncing back from an excruciating 83-81 loss in overtime at NC State in the previous outing last Saturday. Miami is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) across the past 6 games overall, with the Over hitting in 3 straight.
The Blue Devils are a mediocre 3-3 across the past 6 games overall while going 0-4 ATS across the past 4. That includes a 72-64 loss at Clemson last Saturday in the team’s most recent setback. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 for Duke.
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Miami at Duke odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Miami +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Duke -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Miami +5.5 (-105) | Duke -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Miami at Duke picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 76, Duke 74
Moneyline
So far this season, Duke has been Duke in name only. The Blue Devils are mostly a good — but not great — team, and it’s a good reason why it finds itself outside of the Top 25.
MIAMI (+185) has been very good, scoring wins against the likes of Providence, Rutgers, Syracuse and Virginia. The road has been mediocre of late for the Hurricanes, losing the past 2 at NC State and Georgia Tech, but they are also 3-1 ATS in their last 4 ACC road games. This is a team primed and ready for a deep March run.
Against the spread
MIAMI +5.5 (-105) is a strong play catching the points if you just can’t play it straight up.
The Hurricanes have covered 24 of the past 31 games on the road, so it isn’t just this season Miami has played well away from home. Coach Jim Larrañaga always has his team prepared on the road and Saturday will be no different.
Duke laying the points is questionable. This is a team that has failed to cover 4 in a row while going just 1-6 ATS across the past 7 overall. That includes a 1-3 ATS mark in the past 4 at Cameron.
Over/Under
OVER 147.5 (-115) is the lean, but ever so slightly.
The trends vary greatly between the teams. The Under is 8-2 in the past 10 for The U on the road, while going 7-3 in the past 10 after a win. However, the Over is 4-1 in the past 5 against a team with a winning overall mark.
The Over is also 4-1 in Duke’s past 5 against winning teams while going 13-6 in the past 19 after a non-cover, and 5-2 in the past 7 after a straight-up loss.
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