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Mexico welcomes the USMNT to Estadio Akron in Guadalajara for a friendly Tuesday. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (TNT / Telemundo / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Mexico vs. USMNT odds, and make our best soccer picks and predictions.
The USMNT had their first game under new coach Mauricio Pochettino, and that resulted in a 2-0 win over Panama at Q2 Stadium in Austin, Texas Saturday. The USMNT played 2 friendlies in September, drawing New Zealand 1-1 in Cincinnati and losing to Canada 2-1 in Kansas City. Those came on the back of a disappointing Copa America, in which the USMNT went 1-0-2 (2 losses) and failed to qualify for the knockout stage.
Mexico was also in Copa America. With a 1-1-1 record, it also failed to qualify for the knockout stage. In those June games, Mexico beat Jamaica 1-0, lost to Venezuela 1-0 and drew Ecuador 0-0. Since, Mexico has beaten New Zealand 3-0 in an international friendly Sept. 7 and drew Canada 0-0 in a friendly Sept. 10. Mexico has played 5 friendlies this season, going 2-2-1.
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Mexico vs. USMNT odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Monday at 11:17 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mexico +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | USMNT +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Draw +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +130 | U: -190)
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Mexico vs. USMNT picks and predictions
Prediction
USMNT 2, Mexico 2
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+220).
Mexico and the USMNT have played relatively close games over the last few years. While the USMNT has won a combined 5-0 in its last 2 matches — 2-0 in March and 3-0 in June 2023 — the 2 prior matches were draws.
The last 2 times these teams played in Mexico, they tied — a 0-0 draw in March 2022 and a 1-1 draw in June 2017. Plus, Mexico has drawn 2 of its last 3 games.
The USMNT has dominated the rivalry recently, but those were at home and not in a hostile environment with a new coach. The Americans have drawn 2 of their last 7 games and have had a one-score difference in 3 of those 7. So, their games have been close recently.
For the value, BACK DRAW (+220).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (+130).
The most enticing play here is the Draw, but taking Over given these odds also presents a reasonable option. The USMNT has gone over this total in 2 of its last 5 matches.
The USMNT totaled 11 shots and allowed 13 against Panama, so it didn’t necessarily heavily limit its opponent. Mexico is 1-1 O/U in its post-Copa America friendlies. In Mexico’s last 4 friendlies, it has gone Over in 3 of them.
Considering these trends, TAKE OVER 2.5 (+130).
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
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