Tag: Mets Red Sox odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (46-52) finish a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (52-47) on Sunday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Mets lost 8-6 to the Red Sox Saturday to give them 6 losses in their last 10 contests. New York is 17 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves atop the NL East and are 7 games back of the final NL Wild Card.

Red Sox OF Jarren Duran, 1B Triston Casas (2), SS Yu Chang, and DH Justin Turner all homered in Saturday’s win. Boston snapped a 3-game losing skid with the victory and is now 8 1/2 games behind the Baltimore Orioles for 1st place in the AL East.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. LHP Brennan Bernardino

Carrasco (3-3, 5.35 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 65 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 2 or more batters in 10 of his first 13 starts
  • Has given up at least 1 HR in 11 of his 13 starts

Bernardino (1-0, 2.48 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.

  • Has yet to pitch more than 2 innings in his first 3 starts
  • Handed things off to RHP Nick Pivetta in his last 2 starts
  • As a starter: 0-0, 1.69 ERA  (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K

Mets at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-155) | Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Mets 4

Moneyline

The RED SOX (-145) are my play in Sunday night’s matchup considering how both of these teams have performed recently. Boston has won 7 of the last 8 meetings overall with New York.

Run line/Against the spread

RED SOX -1.5 (+125) has decent value with the Mets rolling out Carrasco. Boston has defeated its opponent by multiple runs in 7 of its last 8 wins.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

OVER 9.5 (-115) is how I’d play the run total with Carrasco drawing another start for the Mets. Both of these teams are top 6 in ISO, top 7 in wOBA, and top 8 in wRC+ against right-handed pitching since the start of July (Pivetta will likely pitch the most innings for Boston on Sunday).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]

The New York Mets (45-51) and Boston Red Sox (51-46) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Saturday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Watch this game with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Season series: Second meeting of 2023; Series opener was suspended in the bottom of the 4th inning Friday and resumes Saturday at 2:10 p.m. ET

Originally, this game was to be played at 4:10 p.m. ET, but first pitch was moved to 7:10 p.m. ET due to Friday’s suspension.

Prior to Friday’s suspended game, the Mets had won 3 of the past 4 games, while cashing the Under at a 6-1-1 clip across the previous 8 outings.

Prior to Friday’s suspended game, the Red Sox were 11-4 in the previous 15 games dating back to June 30. The Over was 6-3-1 in the past 10 outings.

Heading into this series Friday, the Mets were 12-11 in interleague play in 2023, while the Red Sox were a dismal 13-19 against the National League.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP James Paxton

Scherzer (8-3, 3.99 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 94 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K in a 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • 2023 road splits: 6-3, 4.92 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 33 ER – 15 HR), .262 opponent batting average (OBA) in 11 starts

Paxton (5-2, 3.51 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 59 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 10-4 road loss vs. the Chicago Cubs last Saturday
  • 2023 home splits: 1-0, 2.05 ERA (22 IP, 5 ER – 3 HR), .214 OBA in 4 starts

Mets at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

The RED SOX (-120) are worth a look at home with the southpaw Paxton on the bump.

While the Mets (+100) have been hot, Scherzer has been rather tepid on the road. The righty is just 6-3 with a 4.92 ERA on the road, while Paxton has been strong at home. Boston has won 5 in a row at home, too. Back the AL side to get the win in the 2nd game of this series.

Run line/Against the spread

The Red Sox +1.5 (-190) are too pricey if you just can’t trust Boston straight up and you would prefer some insurance instead.

AVOID, and just play Boston straight up for a better value.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-120) might be the best play on the board.

While Scherzer has struggled on the road, he has still allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 6 outings overall. The Under is 3-1-1 in his past 5 starts, too.

Meanwhile, the southpaw Paxton has yielded 3 or fewer runs in 7 of his past 8 outings. The Under is 2-1 in his past 3 home starts, too.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (45-51) will begin a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (51-46) on Friday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since Red Sox swept 4 games in 2021

The Mets lost to the Chicago White Sox 6-2 on Thursday, which snapped a 3-game winning streak. New York is 17 1/2 games back of the 1st-place Atlanta Braves in the NL East.

The Red Sox were defeated 6-5 on Wednesday by the Oakland Athletics. Boston has still gone 7-3 in its last 10 games and is in 4th place, 8 1/2 games behind the Baltimore Orioles atop the AL East.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Mets at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Senga (7-5, 3.20 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 95 2/3 innings.

  • Has walked multiple batters in 13 of his 17 starts
  • Has tallied 6 or more strikeouts in 14 of his 17 starts

Crawford (4-4, 3.74 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 67 1/3 innings.

  • Has recorded 5 or more strikeouts in 4 of his last 6 starts
  • Red Sox have won his 3 straight starts

Mets at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Red Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Mets at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

With the Mets still failing show any consistency, I’ll back the RED SOX (-120) at home on Friday. The Mets are 22-29 on the road while the Red Sox are 26-22 at home. Also, Boston has won 17 of its last 28 games.

Run line/Against the spread

Crawford has pitched better in recent starts, but I’ll PASS on the run line in this game as the Mets should keep it close.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

UNDER 9.5 (-110) is the lean in this game despite Senga’s walk issues and Crawford’s inconsistent pitching. The Mets are 7-2-1 to the Over in their last 10 games overall while the Red Sox have gone Under in 30 of their last 53 games overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Boston Red sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (73-78) and Boston Red Sox (87-65) are scheduled to play the finale of an interleague two-game set Wednesday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Taijuan Walker (7-10, 4.27 ERA) makes his 28th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 149 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 2 earned runs on 3 hits and 0 walks with 3 strikeouts across 5 IP in a loss against the Philadelphia Phillies Friday.
  • Has dropped seven straight decisions, and hasn’t won in 12 starts dating back to July 3, when he had a record of 7-3 with a 2.61 ERA.

Red Sox LHP Chris Sale (4-0, 2.40 ERA) makes his seventh start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 through 30 IP.

  • Allowed 1 run on 2 hits and 0 walks with 1 strikeout across 5 IP in a win over the Baltimore Orioles Friday.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his six outings.

Mets at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Red Sox -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-135) | Red Sox -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

The RED SOX (-180) are right at my personal limit for a money line wager. While I prefer a play on the run line behind the red-hot Sale, playing this one straight up isn’t terribly out of line.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

RED SOX -1.5 (+110) is the way to go at plus money

Sale has been untouchable lately, while Walker hasn’t had a victory since early July. Betting baseball is all about pitching matchups, and this one is greatly skewed in favor of the home side. This might be my favorite play on the board for the entire MLB card.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9.5 (-135) is the lean here, and quite attractive, especially when paired with a Red Sox run line play.

While Walker has been coughing up plenty of runs lately, including 6 home runs in his last 15 1/3 IP over three September starts, Sale will keep the opposition down.

It’s always harder sweating out Under bets rather than Overs, but it will be worth it Wednesday.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (73-77) and Boston Red Sox (86-65) open a brief two-game series Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mets vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mets RHP Marcus Stroman (9-12, 2.88 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 169 IP.

  • Has recorded a sub-3.00 ERA both on the road and at home this season, although the skills haven’t been quite as good across his 16 road starts. He has a 2.81 ERA and 7.8 K/9 and benefited from a .258 BABIP on the road.
  • He has always been good at suppressing homers and sports an excellent 0.7 HR/9 on the season. He hasn’t allowed a single home run over his last five starts.

Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (11-8, 5.00 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 142 1/3 IP.

  • Has struggled to the tune of a 6.32 ERA in 11 home starts this season, however his 65/15 K/BB in 52 2/3 IP is very strong and he doesn’t have a history of struggling at Fenway, so we’ll chalk this up to a small sample.
  • Had a stretch in which he recorded double digit swinging strikes in 9 of 11 starts, but followed that up by reaching the mark just once in his last six tries.

Mets at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-170) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Mets 4

Money line (ML)

The Mets have lost eight of their last 11 games and are pretty much eliminated from playoff contention. Boston just completed a weekend sweep of the Baltimore Orioles to extend its win streak to five games and it looks well on its way to locking down a wild card spot.

The Red Sox are 47-29 at home this season and have scored a league-best 5.83 runs per game at home. They also rank top five in both OPS and wRC+ against right-handed pitching.

The RED SOX (-145) should win their sixth in a row Tuesday.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Stroman has been pitching well all season, and despite the tough matchup, he should be able to keep his team close. There’s not enough value on either side of this line so PASS on the run line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Rodriguez has pitched better than his ERA would suggest, as all of the ERA estimators show he’s deserving of a sub-4.00 ERA. He has been victimized by a .358 BABIP and 67.1% LOB% that have inflated his numbers.

On the other side, Stroman has allowed more than 3 ER just three times all year, and never more than 5 ER in an outing. The Boston offense had a big weekend against Baltimore, but they’re not likely to have a huge day in this one.

A small play on UNDER 9.5 (-120) is the call.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]