New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (35-37) visit the Texas Rangers (33-40) for the Wednesday conclusion of a 3-game series in Arlington. First pitch at Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

New York has taken the 1st 2 games of this series (14-2 and 7-6) and has scored 32 runs over its last 3 games. The Mets have won 7 in a row overall.

Texas pitching has coughed up 9 extra-base hits in the twin losses to the Mets. The Rangers own a Boeing 7.50 ERA in a current 5-game losing streak.

Mets at Rangers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. LHP Andrew Heaney

Manaea (4-3, 4.11 ERA) makes his 14th start. He owns a 1.32 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 65 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 2-1 win vs. San Diego Padres Friday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 7-4, 4.18 ERA (84 IP, 39 ER), 85 H, 18 BB, 76 K in 15 starts

Heaney (2-8, 4.19 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Seattle Mariners Friday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 1.45 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 17 H, 2 BB, 20 K in 5 appearances (3 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rangers -110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Rangers +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Rangers 3

Moneyline

New York has won 6 straight games away from home. Texas is 1-4 in its last 5 on home turf.

The lefty-lefty mound match-up favors the visiting team. New York batters own a high-contact .754 OPS against port-siders; the Rangers counter with a .660 mark. Manaea was rocked 2 and 3 starts back and has a shaky ERA over the last few weeks. But his expected ERA over that stretch is quite good. The veteran southpaw was beaten up by some unkind rates around the margins, and he actually heads into this start as the pitcher showing better form.

BET THE METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

More juice gets added here, and it washes away potential value. PASS.

Over/Under

Look for a zag after a couple of Overs in the 1st 2 games of this series. The Under has gone 6-2 across the 8 previous meetings between the Mets and Rangers, and the Texas offense, some Manaea steam and 2 bullpens with solid actual-vs.-expected angles make the Under the best play in this one.

BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (34-37) and Texas Rangers (33-39) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game series in Arlington. First pitch at Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Mets scored in 5 runs in the game’s 1st 6 innings, banged out 22 hits and routed the Rangers 14-2 in Monday’s series opener. New York has won 6 straight games; it has tallied 25 runs over the last 2 days.

Texas dropped its 4th straight game. The Rangers have scored just 2.92 runs per game on a .569 OPS in going 4-9 since June 3.

Mets at Rangers projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen

Severino (4-2, 3.12 ERA) is lined up for his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 78 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 3-2 win vs. Miami Marlins Thursday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 2-2, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 16 H, 12 BB, 28 K in 6 games (5 starts)
  • Has benefited from a .255 batting average on balls in play

Lorenzen (4-3, 2.86 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 66 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 3-1 win at Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 2.29 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 29 H, 9 BB, 23 K in 15 games (3 starts)
  • Has been aided by a .232 BABIP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Rangers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Rangers +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Rangers 4

Moneyline

PASS: Better profit potential for this game exists elsewhere in the offerings.

Run line/Against the spread

On the road, the Mets are 19-11 against the RL; at home, the Rangers are 14-20 in the same measure.

New York played .321 ball in May (9-19), but they have sandwiched strong play around that nosedive. This month, the Mets are 10-4 with a plus-29 run differential.

There is plenty of fade ammunition for each starting pitcher in this tilt, and the Over is the top play. But the price on the Mets here is attractive.

BACK THE METS -1.5 (+150).

Over/Under

The Over in New York road games is 20-8-2.

The Mets offense has been good on the road all season and has been cranked up everywhere of late.

The low starter BABIPs feed into a significant lean toward the bats in this one. And a struggling Texas offense can point to a low BABIP of its own as part of the reason for its slide (.247 BABIP this month).

BET THE OVER 8.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (33-37) and Texas Rangers (33-38) meet Monday as they open a 3-game series in Arlington. First pitch in Monday’s lid-lifter at Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 2-1 last year

New York stayed on a roll over the weekend, sweeping 3 games from the San Diego Padres and running a win streak to 5 games. Since June 3, the Mets are 9-2.

The Rangers have been trending the other way of late. They were swept in a 3-game set at the Seattle Mariners and are 3-6 over their last 9 games and 11-21 across their last 32.

Mets at Rangers projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Jon Gray

Peterson (2-0, 4.32 ERA) is making his 4th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 3.2 K/9 in 16 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 10-4 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home victory July 1, 2022
  • Missed all of April and most of May after having offseason hip surgery

Gray (2-2, 2.17 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 win at Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 7.41 ERA (34 IP, 28 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 7 starts, including 0-0 with 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year
  • Has yielded 1.53 ERA on .588 OPS across his last 58 2/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Rangers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Rangers 4

Moneyline

New York is over .500 (15-14) in road games and is clearly the club in better form (5-0 in last 5 overall). Texas has lost 5 straight series openers.

The Mets figure to be better than what shows in their won-loss record. And that still holds true, even after winning 5 straight. Their offense has found a power groove: In going 9-2 since June 3, New York has cranked out a .472 slugging percentage.

Gray’s season numbers are buoyed by a .263 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations.

Look for the Mets to have a near-50% chance in this one. So, the NEW YORK (+115) play has value.

Run line/Against the spread

There’s more juice and less value here. PASS.

Over/Under

Home and road splits for both clubs make for a lean on the Over for this matchup. The Mets, in particular, have been much more impressive offensively when on the road (.769 OPS).

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
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