Tag: Mets Cardinals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (17-18) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (15-20) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Mets snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 4-3 victory as +120 underdogs at the Cardinals Monday. The Mets led 3-0 before the Cards tied it in the 6th. In the top of the 7th, OF Brandon Nimmo deposited one in the right-field seats for the go-ahead and eventual winning run. The Mets bullpen took care of the rest.

The Cards have lost 3 in a row and 5 of 6. They’ve scored just 13 runs in their last 5 games as the offense continues to scuffle. The team made a drastic lineup switch, putting rookie 2B Jose Fermin atop the order, and he responded with 2 hits and a run scored.

Mets at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Jose Butto vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Butto (0-2, 2.57 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 28 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1-0 home defeat vs. Chicago Cubs Wednesday
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 0-1, 6.35 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 1 start — 4-2 home loss April 26

Mikolas (2-4, 5.68 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 38 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-1 defeat at Detroit Tigers Wednesday
  • April 26 start at Mets: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-2 victory
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 1-3, 5.22 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 20 K

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Mets at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Cardinals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Cardinals 3

Moneyline

The Cards touched Butto up for 4 runs in their last meeting, but all of those runs were plated by home runs. The Cards are last in MLB with 23 homers.

The Mets cashed as underdogs Monday, and I’m taking the METS (+105) again Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m going with JOSE BUTTO UNDER 2.5 WALKS (-145) here.

He walked 3 Cardinals the last time he faced them, but no one fears this lineup. He’ll pitch to them and let them get themselves out.

Over/Under

Of the 4 head-to-head meetings this season, we have had 3 Unders. The wind is expected to blow out to right-center at 8 mph. I don’t think it’s enough to get 9 runs from these putrid offenses, though.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (16-18) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (15-19) Monday in the opener of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Mets were swept on the road by the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. They are already 7½ games out in the NL East in what is expected to be a season of transition. While still hitting for power, SS Francisco Lindor (6 HR) and 1B Pete Alonso (8 HR) are hitting just .207 and .206.

The Cards are in a worse spot after losing 2 of 3 at home to the worst team in baseball — the Chicago White Sox. They have lost 4 of 6 since taking 2 of 3 in Citi Field last month. They are tied for 28th with 3.5 R/game, 28th with a .214 BA and 29th with a .330 SLG%. C Willson Contreras has been the lone bright spot on offense, hitting .275 with 6 HRs and 11 RBIs.

Mets at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Kyle Gibson

Manaea (1-1, 3.07 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 29 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 3 K Tuesday against Chicago Cubs
  • 1 career relief outing against STL: 1 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 2 K

Gibson (2-2, 3.79 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 38 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K Tuesday against Detroit Tigers
  • Last 3 starts: 1-0, 1.42 ERA, 18 K in 19 IP
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 2-1, 3.18 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 27 K in 28 1/3 IP

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Mets at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-190) | Cardinals -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Cardinals 2

Moneyline

The Cards have scored just 18 runs in their last 6 games as the fanbase and local media have smashed the panic button. Their pitching, including Gibson, has been decent, but they continue to stink with runners in scoring position. The Cardinals are 28th in the league with a .202 BA with RISP.

The Mets have the advantage in the late innings as well as they boast the 4th-best 2.90 bullpen ERA.

Take the value with the METS +105.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are scoring runs. In fact, they scored 6 and 8 in losses to Tampa over the weekend. So let’s take a chance.

Upon logging into my BetMGM account, I had an MLB Bet Insurance Token.

Let’s use it on METS -1.5 (+165). A $20 bet would profit $33.

Over/Under

The Mets are 4-6 O/U over their last 10, and the Cards are 3-7. As mentioned, the Cards continue to flame out offensively, striking out a ton and hitting weak flyouts all over the park. It’s slated to be a 76-degree evening with a 6-mph gust blowing in from right-center.

Take the UNDER 8 (-105).

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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (55-66) open a 4-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (54-67) on Thursday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Mets defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 8-3 Wednesday, their 3rd win in their last 4 games. New York is in 4th place in the NL East, 23 1/2 games back of the Atlanta Braves.

The Cardinals were blanked 8-0 by the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday, snapping a 3-game win streak. St. Louis is in 4th place in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place.

Mets at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Adam Wainwright

Quintana (0-4, 3.03 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 29 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-0 home loss to the Braves Saturday
  • 2023 road stats: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (18 2/3 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 5-4, 4.42 ERA (59 IP, 29 ER) over 12 starts

Wainwright (3-7, 8.78 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 2.09 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 66 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 0 K in a 12-8 road loss to the Kansas City Royals Friday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-5, 9.26 ERA (35 IP, 36 ER) in 8 starts.
  • Career vs. Mets: 8-6, 4.58 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 47 ER) in 15 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Mets at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+125) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

I’ll back the METS (-125) on the road in this matchup. Quintana has been solid in his first 5 starts, but he hasn’t gotten run support in his last 2 outings — that should change against Wainwright.

Run line/Against the spread

METS -1.5 (+120) has fantastic value with Wainwright getting the nod for the Cardinals. S. Louis has lost by at least 4 runs in 6 of Wainwright’s last 7 starts.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 10.5 (-115).

The Cardinals boast the 10th-best wOBA (.331) and wRC+ (111) against left-handed pitching this season. Meanwhile, Wainwright has given up 4 earned runs or more in 6 of his last 7 starts.

The Mets have also hit the Over in 4 of their last 6 road games.

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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (12-13) and St. Louis Cardinals (18-13) close out a four-game series Thursday afternoon (1:15 p.m. ET) at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Taijuan Walker is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 5.0 BB/9 in 27 IP over 5 starts.

Walker allowed just 5 ER through his first 21 IP this season. He allowed 4 ER in a 6-inning stint in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies. Walker has dominated in two career starts at Busch Stadium with a .511 OPS allowed.

RHP John Gant is the projected starter for the Cardinals. He is 2-2 with a 2.16 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 6.5 BB/9 through 25 IP spanning 5 starts

Gant allowed just 1 ER on 6 hits in his last 11 IP. Albeit in a small sample, current Mets bats own a .460 OPS against him.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Mets at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mets 6, Cardinals 4

Money line (ML)

The Cardinals took Monday’s series opener 6-5. The two then split a Wednesday twin bill after a Tuesday rainout.

The surface numbers on both starters look to be overcooked. Analytic ERA measures (like xFIP and SIERRA) wouldn’t favor a lean on either and that nixes any value here.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

METS -1.5 (+135) is the likable side.

Peg the Redbird bullpen as perhaps being as overrated as any right now. Their 3.87 ERA is tamped down by a .243 batting average on balls in play and a low 5.5% rate of fly balls landing as home runs. Add in a double-digit mph batter’s wind in the forecast and the fact Mets relievers get a lot more ground balls than their St. Louis counterparts.

Also, the top end of the Cards ‘pen figures to be much more fatigued than that of the Mets.

Over/Under (O/U)

On a fade of both starters and the Cardinal bullpen — and a severe one in all three cases — TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-115).

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New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (11-12) and St. Louis Cardinals (17-12) meet Tuesday night for a 7:45 p.m. ET first pitch to continue a four-game set at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jacob deGrom is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets. He is 2-2 with a 0.51 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, 15.2 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 in 35 IP over 5 starts. DeGrom enters this game having allowed just 10 base runners over his last 21 IP.

RHP Johan Oviedo is the projected starter for the Cardinals. Oviedo has a 2.79 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 9 2/3 IP over 2 games. He allowed 3R on 3 hits and a walk in his last start (Thursday vs. Philadelphia). Oviedo is regarded as one of the Cards’ top 10 prospects.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Mets at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Cardinals +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (-115) | Cardinals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mets 5, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

The Cardinals took Monday’s season opener, 6-5, and have won five in a row.

Peg the Cardinals as being a couple of games or so overcooked with their win-loss record. Righty pitching brings out the Mets’ best platoon splits, and that advantage carries into the later innings in this series because the St. Louis bullpen leans heavily to the right side.

Speaking of bullpens: Batted-ball analytics do not match up at all with the similar surface numbers the Cards (3.83 ERA) and Mets (3.63 ERA) have produced to date. St. Louis relievers have benefited from a .244 BABIP and a low rate of fly balls posting as round-trippers (4.7%). New York relievers have suffered through a .312 BABIP and a low left-on-base rate of 61.9%.

Back the Mets up to -200. PASS on the current tag, but deGrom is worthy of a play on a price drop.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

New York is 6-6 in one-run games, but the price is attractive enough and the fade lean is becoming enough on the Cards to warrant BACKING THE METS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

Mixed signals pop up in the analytics (lean against St. Louis pen, plays on the New York pen and the Cardinals offense). A slight overall lean on the OVER 6.5 (-110) is perhaps worth a partial-unit look.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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