Tag: Mets Braves betting odds lines picks best bets

The New York Mets (3-6) and Atlanta Braves (6-3) hit the 3/4-pole in their four-game, wraparound series with a 1:10 p.m. ET contest at Truist Park. We analyze the Mets-Braves betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

Mets at Braves: Projected starting pitchers

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Kyle Right

Peterson made his big-league debut against Boston on July 28: he pitched 5 2/3 IP and gave up two runs on seven hits alongside two walks and three strikeouts.

• The 6-foot-6, 240-pounder was a first-round selection in the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft. Peterson clocked a 4.19 ERA at Double-A in 2019.

Wright was sharp in his 2020 debut (July 28 at Tampa Bay) … until he wasn’t. Also, a 2017 first-round draft selection, the 24-year-old slider specialist breezed through two innings before losing command in an eventual loss that saw him allow five runs in 2 2/3 IP.

• Wright posted a 4.17 ERA at Triple-A last season. He also appeared in 19 2/3 innings for the Braves, earning n 8.69 ERA.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Mets at Braves: Key injuries

Visit sportsdata.usatoday.com to track all MLB injuries leading up to game time.

Mets

• 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out
• OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
• SP Marcus Stroman (calf) out
• RP Robert Gsellman (triceps) out
• SP Noah Syndergaard (arm) out

Braves

• OF Nick Markakis (conditioning) out
• RP Will Smith (COVID-19) out
• SP Cole Hamels (arm) out
• RP Jacob Webb (shoulder) out

Mets at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:00 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML)

Both teams head into Sunday’s action on streaks: the Mets have lost four in a row, while the Braves have won four straight. New York owns a shaky 5.63 team ERA (26th MLB) on the season and looks to have the lesser of the two bullpens in this matchup. TAKE ATLANTA (-115) as the top side play available in this one.

New to sports betting? A winning $11.50 bet on the Braves pays out a profit of $10.00.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

There is a high total here and the Braves are the likable side, but PASS ON THE ATLANTA -1.5 (+150) proposition.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both starters have better skills than what shines through in surface stats. The same applies to both bullpens. The Mets and Braves have a combined Over/Under record of 7-11 this season. SHADING THE UNDER 10.5 (-110) is the suggestion here.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The New York Mets (3-5) face the Atlanta Braves (5-3) Saturday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Truist Park. We analyze the Mets-Braves betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.

New York blew an 8-2 lead Friday as Atlanta planted five runs in the bottom of the eighth to eke out an 11-10 victory. That Mets bullpen … whew, it’s gross.

Mets at Braves: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Michael Wacha at RHP Touki Toussaint

Wacha’s opening gem of 5-plus innings with one run and four strikeouts Monday at the Boston Red Sox looked more like his 2018 self (3.20 ERA) than his 2017 (4.13) and 2019 (4.76) incarnations. In subsequent, tumultuous, often injury-riddled seasons, the righty has fallen short of the K-per-inning dominance he flashed in his 2013 debut stint.

• Still, in his first start of the year, his early average four-seam-fastball velocity (94.4 mph) is up 1 mph from last year.
• In two starts with the St. Louis Cardinals last year, Wacha spun a 2.45 ERA at what was then known as SunTrust Park.

Joining the rotation after Mike Foltynewicz was designated for assignment, Toussaint has been equally strikeout-happy (24.7 K%) and control-challenged (14.3 BB%), sinking him to a 5.52 ERA across 73 1/3 MLB innings.

• He at least prefers pitching in Atlanta, with his 4.31 home ERA dwarfing his 6.95 figure elsewhere.
• Lefty batters have given him trouble, though, tagging him for a .294 batting average.

Get some action on this game or any other matchup with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Mets at Braves: Key injuries

Visit sportsdata.usatoday.com to track all MLB injuries leading up to game time.

Mets

• 2B Jed Lowrie (knee) out
• OF Jake Marisnick (hamstring) out
• RP Robert Gsellman (triceps) out

Braves

• 2B Ozzie Albies (wrist) questionable
• OF Nick Markakis (conditioning) out
• RP Will Smith (COVID-19) out

Mets at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Braves 6, Mets 5

Moneyline (ML)

• Mets +110
• Braves -121

The Mets are 2-1 on the road but 3-5 overall. Atlanta is 3-0 at home so far, hence why they’re the favorite.

Playing on the side of the more experienced Wacha could justify a dart throw on the Mets, but given the better return on investment and the Braves’ strong bats, I’ll stay the course and BET the BRAVES (-121), which still offers enough of a profit.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Braves (-121) to win would return a profit of $8.26.

Run Line/Against the spread (ATS)

• Mets +1.5 (-182)
• Braves -1.5 (+150)

I’m not a fan of either of these lines, given that Wacha could slip against a Braves lineup that ranks fourth against righties so far with a .353 wOBA (150-plus plate appearances). PASS on the Run Line.

Over/Under (O/U)

• Over 10 (-110)
• Under 10 (-110)

The Braves are 4-4 on the Over/Under this year. The Mets are 3-5.

The two sides cleared the Over by a mile Friday, and I’d be more willing to take a shot on this coin flip if Albies (wrist) returns for the Braves.

Given the pitchers involved, if you’re going to take the 50-50 shot, I’ll nudge to BET the OVER 10 (-110).

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @TeamHeaney on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter, and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The New York Mets (3-4) visit the Atlanta Braves (4-3) Friday at Truist Park for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Mets-Braves MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Mets at Braves: Projected starting pitchers

RHP Rick Porcello vs. LHP Sean Newcomb 

Porcello was lit up in his first 2020 start on Sunday to the tune of six earned runs in two innings in a 14-1 loss to these very Braves. He has started five games against Atlanta in his career and has a 3-2 record with a 4.85 ERA.

Newcomb pitched a no-decision in his first outing this season in Sunday’s game against Porcello and Mets. He worked just 3 1/3 innings, only giving up one earned run in the start.

Baseball season is finally here! Get some action on the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!

Mets at Braves: Key injuries

(List of injuries around the league)

Mets

• SP Marcus Stroman (calf) out
• SP Noah Syndergaard (elbow) out
• RP Robert Gsellman (tricep) out

Braves

• SP Cole Hamels (arm) out
• RF Nick Markakis (conditioning) out
• RP Jacob Webb (shoulder) out

Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball

Mets at Braves: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Braves 8, Mets 4

Moneyline (ML)

Not only did Porcello get shelled in his first game against the Braves (-134) but so did the Mets (+120) bullpen. We could get a similar outcome this meeting as Porcello struggled last season with a 5.52 ERA, and has a 27.00 ERA after his first start. Plus, New York has the sixth-highest bullpen ERA in the MLB.

The Braves lead the season series, 2-1, and 6-2 in their last eight games against the Mets at home. We LIKE BRAVES (-134) on the moneyline.

New to sports betting? A $134 bet on the Braves earns a profit of $100 if Atlanta wins outright.

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

There’s not enough value on the Braves (-1.5, +140) to take it. Eight of the last nine Mets-Braves games have been decided by two runs or fewer. A two-run win for Atlanta would cash the ticket but I’d need +160 or better to play it. PASS ON THE RUNE LINE.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total of 10.5 is a smidge high for my liking. The Over (-115) is slightly more expensive, meaning the market is leaning toward that side, so that’s where I lean. I am not going to play it though because my projected score isn’t far enough over the BetMGM’s projected total.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @Geoffery_ Clark on Twitter. Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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