Memphis at UTSA odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis at UTSA odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The UTSA Roadrunners (3-5, 1-3 AAC) welcome the No. 25 Memphis Tigers (7-1, 3-1) to the Alamodome Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Memphis vs. UTSA odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Memphis beat the Charlotte 49ers last Saturday 33-28, closing as a 17-point favorite. Memphis has rattled off 4 straight wins and has closed as a double-digit favorite in each, but covered just once. The Tigers are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) after starting the season 3-0 straight up and ATS. They are led by RB Mario Anderson, who has 780 rushing yards on the season.

The Roadrunners have struggled for much of the season. They won their opening game, but are just 2-5 since. UTSA is both 0-3 SU and ATS as an underdog. It is coming off a 46-45 shootout loss against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane Saturday, closing as a 9.5-point favorite. The Roadrunners are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last 4 games. They are led by QB Owen McCown, who has 16 TD passes in 8 games.

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Memphis at UTSA odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 12:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Memphis -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | UTSA +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Memphis -7.5 (-105) | UTSA +7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 61.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Memphis at UTSA picks and predictions

Prediction

Memphis 42, UTSA 31

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tigers should come out on top against a struggling UTSA side; however, at -275, they aren’t worthy of any size play on the moneyline. Similarly, UTSA isn’t worth a play to pull off the upset.

Against the spread

BET MEMPHIS -7.5 (-105).

UTSA has been blown out when it is an underdog this season. As an underdog, it lost by 10 points to ECU in Week 5, by 49 to No. 6 Texas, and by 39 to Texas State, failing to cover in each of those. The Roadrunners defense has been laughable the last few weeks as well, allowing 35 points per game over the last 2 weeks.

Memphis is 2-1 ATS on the road and 2-1 ATS as either an underdog or a favorite of 10 points and under. The Tigers have scored 85 points over its last 2 weeks, so it has the offense that can pull away with ease. With those trends in mind, back MEMPHIS -7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 61.5 (-105).

Memphis has gone Over in 2 straight games, scoring 33 points or more in both and allowing at least 28 points in both. The Tigers are 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games. They have scored 38 or more points in 4 of 8 games.

The Roadrunners take those issues to the next level, having a dynamic offense and a static defense. They have scored 27 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games yet have allowed at least 29 points in 3 of their last 4. They are 3-0 O/U in their last 3 and 5-2 O/U in their last 7.

That said, take OVER 61.5 (-105).

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