Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (26-14) meet the Los Angeles Clippers (19-20) Saturday in a mid-day matinee at the Crypto.com Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis is surging as winners of seven in a row (6-1 ATS) with the latest being a 30-point beatdown of the Detroit Pistons Thursday.

Over the past two weeks, the Grizzlies has the third-best adjusted net rating at plus-12.6 points per 100 possessions and the best spread differential at a plus-12.4 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

L.A. has lost three of its past four games including its most recent, 106-86, Thursday at the Phoenix Suns, failing to cover as 10.5-point road underdogs.

In the last 14 days, the Clippers are 2-5 straight-up (SU), 3-4 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 24th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-6.6 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Memphis is 2-0 SU and ATS versus L.A., and the total is 2-0 O/U in both Grizzlies-Clippers meetings this season.

Grizzlies at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Clippers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-120) | Clippers +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Clippers key injuries

Grizzlies

  • SG Desmond Bane (quadriceps) questionable
  • F Kyle Anderson (back) questionable

Clippers

  • SG Luke Kennard (health and safety protocols) out
  • C Ivica Zubac (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Paul George (elbow) out

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Grizzlies at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Clippers 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES (-130) or PASS altogether, because I’d rather lay the points with Memphis than pay the extra vig with the money line.

But, Memphis is 2-1 SU as a road favorite with a plus-11.0 scoring margin and L.A. is 1-3 SU as a home underdog.

Against the spread

BET 1.5 units on the GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-120). I’m not trying to be a hero and fade this red-hot Memphis team.

The Grizzlies have already beaten the Clippers twice this season, and that was a much healthier L.A. team than this version. The Clippers are missing several key contributors including All-Star wing Paul George.

Since PG13 was sidelined with an elbow injury Dec. 26, L.A. has the sixth-worst adjusted net rating at minus-7.4 points per 100 possessions (CTG) and ranks 25th in effective field goal shooting.

Also, the Clippers are 0-2 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies despite PG putting up 32.0 points per game (PPG) on 70.1% true shooting (.558/.476/1.000).

Memphis breakout superstar Ja Morant has balled out versus L.A. as well. Morant is averaging 28.0 PPG on 64.3% true shooting (.575/.333/.750) and 6.5 assists per game against the Clippers this season.

Furthermore, this is a better spot for the Grizzlies, who are 13-5 ATS in away games whereas the Clippers are 9-14 ATS at home and 1-3 ATS in day games.

Finally, Memphis has a couple of strength-on-weakness edges in the ball security and rebounding departments.

BET the GRIZZLIES -3.5 (-120).

Over/Under

PASS because I’m expecting the Grizzlies to maul the Clippers, and this game could die out in the second half if it’s one-sided. For what’s worth, Memphis is 19-21 O/U and L.A. is 17-22 O/U.

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