Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (37-23) visit the Houston Rockets (13-48) on Wednesday. Tip from Toyota Center is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Rockets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies beat the Lakers 121-109 on Tuesday, covering as 9-point home favorites. They have now won back-to-back games and are 5-5 in their last 10. In that same span, they are 4-6 against the spread (ATS). Memphis sits at 28-31-1 ATS on the season.

Houston fell 133-112 to Denver on Tuesday, failing to cover as 12.5-point home underdogs. It has now lost 10 games in a row and is 3-7 ATS in that span. The Rockets are 24-36-1 ATS this season.

Memphis beat Houston 129-122 while failing to cover as 7.5-point road favorites in the 1st matchup on Oct. 21.

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Grizzlies at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -475 (bet $475 to win $100) | Rockets +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -9.5 (-115) | Rockets +9.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Rockets key injuries

Grizzlies

  • Not yet submitted

Rockets

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Rockets 104

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline for Memphis presents no value in this matchup.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES -9.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies’ offense ranks 9th in the league for points per game while the Rockets’ defense is ranked 28th for points allowed. Likewise, on the reverse, the Grizzlies’ defense ranks 6th in opponent points per game and 1st in opponent field goal percentage while the Rockets’ offense ranks 29th in points per game and 29th in field goal percentage.

The Rockets are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on no days rest, 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an outright loss of 10 or more points, and just 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS loss.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 229.5 (-105).

Both teams will be playing on the back half of a back-to-back which will inevitably slow them down. The Under is 12-2 in the Grizzlies’ last 14 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game and 12-3-1 in their last 16 games overall. For Houston, the Under is 3-2-1 in its last 6 games.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) will take on the Houston Rockets (0-1) on Friday at the Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Rockets odds, and our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies were able to escape with a narrow 115-112 overtime home win over the New York Knicks in their season opener Wednesday – they didn’t cover as 4.5-point favorites. Memphis had 5 players score in double figures, including 34 points from PG Ja Morant, who also recorded 4 rebounds and 9 assists.

The Rockets lost at the Atlanta Hawks 117-107 in a high-scoring game in their season opener Wednesday – they covered by a hook as 10.5-point underdogs. It was newly-signed G Kevin Porter Jr. leading the way with 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists in the loss.

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Grizzlies at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Rockets +215 (bet $100 to win $215)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -6.5 (-117) | Rockets +6.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Rockets key injuries

Grizzlies

  • F Dillon Brooks (thigh) doubtful
  • G Danny Green (knee) out
  • F Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) out
  • F Ziaire Williams (knee) out

Rockets

  • F Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) out
  • G TyTy Washington Jr. (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Rockets 106

Moneyline

AVOID.

At -280, the Grizzlies odds aren’t worth taking straight up. Memphis is missing a couple of its starters, but it should be able to win against a young Houston squad.

Against the spread

MEMPHIS -6.5 (-117) is the ideal choice in this game as the Grizzlies have with plenty of capable contributors outside of Morant.

Turnovers could be an issue for the Rockets after turning the ball over 15 times in the season opener against the Hawks.

The Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against a team with a losing record.

Over/Under

Even though this game could be played at a faster pace, UNDER 232.5 (-115) appears to be the logical bet in this contest.

The Grizzlies have hit the Under in 8 of their last 11 road games and the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.

Meanwhile, the Under is 30-14 in the last 44 meetings between the Grizzlies and the Rockets when the game is played in Houston.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (44-21) visit Toyota Center Sunday to take on the Houston Rockets (15-48). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Rockets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies have jumped over the Golden State Warriors for second place in the Western Conference following a 124-96 home win over the Orlando Magic as 16-point favorites Saturday. They are 7-3 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

Memphis ranks third in points per game (114) and 14th in opponents’ points per game (109). The Grizzlies’ 22-11 road record is the second-best in the West.

The Rockets are just 8-21 at home this season and have covered just three times in their last 10 games. It’s been several tough weeks for Houston as it is just 4-12 ATS over its last 16 outings.

Houston has the worst defense in the NBA and allows the 30th most points per game (118).

Grizzlies at Rockets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:33 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -700 (bet $700 to win $100) | Rockets +470 (bet $100 to win $470)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -10.5 (-108) | Rockets +10.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Grizzlies at Rockets key injuries

Grizzlies (not officially submitted)

  • Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

Rockets

  • G Dennis Schroder (ankle) questionable

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Grizzlies at Rockets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 125, Rockets 112

Money line

PASS.

I wouldn’t bet a team on the road at -700, even if it is Memphis. Similarly, the Grizzlies have been good enough to make the Rockets (+470) unplayable as well.

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Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES -10.5 (-108).

Memphis covered Saturday as a 16-point favorite. The Grizzlies have been electric and are led by G Ja Morant who is a top nominee for Most Improved Player.

Memphis is the best-covering team in the NBA at 43-22 ATS, and it’s 10-3 ATS as a road favorite. The Rockets are the sixth-worst team in the league when covering as a home underdog at just 8-17 ATS.

Considering the Grizzlies rank first in offensive rebounding and the Rockets rank 23rd in defensive rebounding, Memphis should have a plethora of second-chance opportunities.

The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS when spotted double figures. They’ve more than proven that they can handle their business, especially on the road. I expect them to win big in this one.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 234.5 (-115).

If there’s one thing both teams have been good at this season, it is going over the projected total.

Memphis is 34-30-1 O/U this season and is 9-4 O/U over the course of its last 13 games. The Rockets are 5-5 O/U over the last 10, but their lack of defense has allowed them to be 35-27-1 O/U on the year.

With the second chances Memphis should see, it should get easy points and a good amount of them. The Rockets also sit atop the league in pace with Memphis ranked eighth.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-22) drop by Toyota Center Monday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off against the Houston Rockets (13-32). Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis dropped back-to-back games at the Utah Jazz following a three-game win streak. The Grizzlies are 4-4 straight up (SU) and 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in the last two weeks.

Houston split its last four games SU and ATS with the latest game being a 129-107 beatdown of the Minnesota Timberwolves Saturday. The Rockets lost 20 straight games before their March 22 victory over the Toronto Raptors.

Houston’s last win prior to that 20-game losing skid was against Memphis Feb. 4, but the Rockets were routed 133-84 by the Grizzlies Feb. 28.

Grizzlies at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Rockets +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -8 (-110) | Rockets +8 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Rockets: Key injuries

Grizzlies

  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Rockets

  • SG Avery Bradley (calf) questionable
  • Christian Wood (illness) questionable
  • SG Eric Gordon (groin) out
  • SF David Nwaba (wrist) out

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Grizzlies at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Rockets 115

Money line (ML)

Slight LEAN toward ROCKETS (+275) because Houston’s play should improve as it gets healthier and builds togetherness under rookie head coach Stephen Silas.

The Grizzlies are winning 66.7% of their games as a road favorite this season and their implied win probability is 77.8% based on the money line odds. Also, Memphis is a young team that’ll put up an occasional clunker.

Houston plus the points is a far better bet so I’m only on ROCKETS (+275) for a one-tenth-unit, pending the final injury report.

(The predicted score is an honest projection.)

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Against the spread (ATS)

If Wood is given the green light by Houston to play in this game then I like the ROCKETS +8 (-110) because he and newly acquired big Kelly Olynyk can open up driving lanes against the Grizzlies.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Wood is in the 98th percentile of bigs in on-off court team effective field-goal percentage (eFG%) and Olynyk is in the 90th percentile of bigs in team on-off court points per 100 possessions while playing for the Miami Heat.

Furthermore, this is a Pros vs. Joes game within the betting market; according to Pregame.com, nearly 70% of the money wagered is on the Rockets to cover but 83% of the bets have been placed on the Grizzlies.

Since the sharp side of the market is typically the money column whereas the tickets column is the average joe, let’s follow the money and BET ROCKETS +8 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Houston’s path to victory on this one is by outscoring Memphis, not shutting them down. The Grizzlies are much bigger and more physical but just 21st in defensive eFG%.

Since we are getting to the party a little late (the total has been steamed up from the 221.5-point opener), I can only LEAN OVER 226.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Houston Rockets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (14-15) travel to the Toyota Center Sunday to play the Houston Rockets (11-20) at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Rockets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies split a two-game miniseries with the Los Angeles Clippers, where each team won by at least 20 points, and they have lost three of their previous four games. The other two losses were to a red-hot Phoenix Suns team and a surging Dallas Mavericks.

Houston has plummeted since losing starting big Christian Wood and has lost all 10 games he has been out of the lineup. Over that stretch, the Rockets have the lowest-rated offense and the worst rebounding rate.

The Rockets routed the Grizzlies 115-103 in the first meeting this season, but Wood was active in that game and starting Memphis big Jonas Valanciunas didn’t play.

Grizzlies at Rockets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Grizzlies -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Rockets +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -4.5 (-110) | Rockets +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Rockets: Key injuries

Grizzlies

  • SG Grayson Allen (concussion) out
  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Rockets

  • C Christian Wood (ankle) out
  • SG Victor Oladipo (rest) out

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Grizzlies at Rockets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Rockets 108

Money line (ML)

PASS because I like Memphis to win, but the Grizzlies (-190) is too expensive for an NBA regular-season favorite.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-110) play the exact style that the Rockets aren’t equipped to play against. For instance, Memphis scores the 4th-most fast-break points per game and Houston is 29th in fast-break points per game allowed.

Furthermore, the Grizzlies scores the most paint points per game, and big Valanciunas should feast on a Rockets defense missing their best interior presence and rim protector in Wood.

Finally, there are a couple of notable pro-Grizzlies situational trends for this game including the Rockets being 1-5 ATS at home against losing teams and as a home underdog.

TAKE GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a lean on Over 223.5 (-110), but my predicted score aligns with BetMGM‘s projection – so I cannot bet it.

However, both teams play at a top-10 pace, and if the Grizzlies aren’t forcing turnovers, their defense isn’t that good. Memphis is ranked 27th in defensive effective field goal shooting, and the Over has cashed in four of Houston’s previous six games.

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