Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks odds predictions pick betting line spread

Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Mavericks (13-8) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (14-7) to the American Airlines Center Tuesday for NBA Cup group play. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; split 2-2 last season

The Grizzlies are coming off a 136-121 home win over the Indiana Pacers Sunday, closing as 5.5-point favorites. F Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team with 25 points on 8-for-14 shooting. Memphis has been surging, rattling off 6 straight wins, 5 of which have come by double figures. The Grizzlies are 14-7 against the spread (ATS) on the season.

The Mavericks have also been surging, winning 8 of their last 9. They took down the Portland Trail Blazers 137-131 on the road Sunday, covering as 5.5-point favorites. Dallas was led by G Luka Doncic, who tallied a game-high 36 points on 15-of-24 shooting from the field. The Mavericks are 12-8-1 ATS on the season.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread: Grizzlies +4.5 (-115) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

C Zach Edey (ankle) out
F GG Jackson (foot) out

Mavericks

C Dereck Lively II (knee) questionable
F Naji Marshall (illness) out
G Klay Thompson (foot) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 126, Grizzlies 123

Moneyline

PASS.

While Memphis may be enticing to play straight up given how hot it is, the better play is the road side on the spread instead. Avoid the expensive Mavericks ML play.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies have been among the best teams in the league both after a win and on the road. They are 5-3 ATS away from home and 8-5 ATS following a victory. Memphis has scored at least 118 in 3 straight road games, as well, so it should have the potency on offense to keep things close.

The Mavericks, over their last 6 home games, have really only played 3 playoff-contending teams — New York, Phoenix, and Indiana — going 1-2 ATS. While Dallas has a terrific offense, Memphis is 4th in defensive efficiency and should be able to tame the Mavericks.

Take GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 244.5 (-105).

The pace and star power in this battle makes the Over the better play. The Grizzlies rank 3rd in tempo with the Mavericks sitting 9th in the NBA. Memphis has scored at least 120 in 5 straight and eclipsed 130 in 3 of the 5.

Dallas has scored at least 129 points in 3 of its last 4 games and allowed at least 114 in 5 of its last 6. Considering those trends, back OVER 244.5 (-105).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The rolling Memphis Grizzlies (2-0) visit their divisional opponent Dallas Mavericks (0-1) in Saturday night NBA action. Tipoff from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Star G Ja Morant is playing at an MVP level to start the season, averaging 41.5 ppg on 56% shooting from the floor with 8.5 apg. The Grizzlies are looking to show that they are serious contenders to win the Western Conference despite their youth. Many are picking this team to be a top-3 seed come playoff time, and they are looking to prove that here facing a tough Dallas team.

The Mavericks are looking to avoid an 0-2 start to the season with a win in this matchup. Led by star G Luka Doncic, who many have picked to win MVP, the Mavericks are a heavy contender in the Western Conference, especially after making it to the Conference Finals last year. Doncic leads the team in points, assists and rebounds per game. He is averaging 35 ppg, 9 rpg, and 6 apg. With newly added F Christian Wood by his side the Mavericks added a key piece that many feel give them a very good chance to win the West.

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Grizzlies at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Mavericks -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +5.5 (-108) | Mavericks -5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

G Dillon Brooks (thigh) questionable

Mavericks

none

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 103, Grizzlies 99

Moneyline

AVOID.

The moneyline here is far too risky of a bet for both sides. I don’t believe in the Mavericks being as heavily favored as they are, even as the home team. And even if I did I likely wouldn’t tell you to place money on a team that is this heavily favored. The risk here is not worth the reward.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES +5.5 (-108).

This is your best bet for this game. The Grizzlies are playing like a contender to win the Western Conference, and I don’t think that will change Saturday. Expect both Morant and Doncic to play high-caliber basketball, but in the end expect the Mavericks to pull this one out. With Wood playing well for the Mavericks he adds a lot on both the offensive and defensive ends of the floor that the Mavericks were desperately missing last year.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 219.5 (-112).

This should be a great game where the stars for both teams show up to duel, but I still believe the Under here is safer than the Over. Both teams here have superb offensive firepower and are extremely well coached, but I believe that whichever team is able to put together more stops down the stretch will win this one. If this game surpasses the Over, then the Mavericks should win by a healthy margin, but I believe this one will be a close one and in order for that to happen I think this game needs to stay below the Under.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

Two red-hot teams face off as the Dallas Mavericks (26-20) host the Memphis Grizzlies (32-16) Sunday. The tip-off at American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis has alternated between winning and losing over its past five games with the most recent being a 122-118 victory over the Denver Nuggets Friday as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Grizzlies are 8-2 straight-up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over their last 10 games.

Dallas had its four-game winning streak snapped after losing to the Phoenix Suns 109-101 Thursday. The Mavs are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.

The Mavs are 2-1 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies this season and have won the last two meetings.

Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Mavericks -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Grizzlies at Mavericks key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (back) questionable
SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out
SG Desmond Bane (health and safety protocols) out
SF Kyle Anderson (health and safety protocols) out
PG Tyus Jones (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None.

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Grizzlies at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Grizzlies 103

Money line

PASS because the Grizzlies (+145) are too feisty to lay it with the Mavericks (-180) even though I’d much prefer Dallas outright than its spread.

This money line is way too expensive given Memphis’s 10-6 SU record as a road underdog but Dallas is 12-3 SU as a home favorite.

Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit because the Grizzlies +4.5 (-120) are missing several key players and Dallas matches up well with Memphis. The Mavs don’t turn the ball over and do a good job grabbing defensive boards.

For instance, Dallas is third in adjusted offensive turnover rate and second in adjusted defensive rebounding rate. While Memphis is fifth in adjusted defensive turnover rate and second in adjusted offensive rebounding rate.

The bottom line is a lot of the Grizzlies’ points are scored by creating points off turnovers and crashing the offensive glass, which won’t be available versus the Mavs.

Furthermore, Brooks, Bane, Jones and Clarke have a combined plus-16.1 adjusted on/off net rating. Brooks and Bane can create their own shots and are good on-ball defenders. Jones point guards the second-unit for Memphis and Clarke’s length and athleticism would help for defending Luka Doncic.

Finally, Luka is 4-1 SU in five career games versus Memphis’s Ja Morant and Dallas bounces back well from losses (13-6 ATS with a plus-6.7 ATS margin).

BET the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 218.5 (-112) for a half-unit because Dallas is 2-12-1 O/U as a home favorite, the Grizzlies-Mavericks is 2-5 O/U in the last seven meetings and the presumed sharp money is on the Under.

According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash is on the Under but a slight majority of the bets placed are on the Over.

This is what’s considered a Pros vs. Joe’s game since the money column in the betting splits typically represents “sharp money” while the tickets column represents the public.

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