Sleeper picks for the 2022 Genesis Invitational include defending champion Max Homa

Max Homa won the Genesis Invitational last year at +7000. Can his buddy Joel Dahmen follow in his footsteps?

It’s almost time for one of the best events on the PGA Tour. The Genesis Invitational delivers every single year, with the biggest stars in the sport annually finding the top of the leaderboard by the weekend.

Although the field consists of each of the top 10 players in the world, there are numerous names further down the odds list that have a chance to hoist the trophy come Sunday.

Last season, California native Max Homa entered the week at +7000 to win and left Riviera Country Club victorious. Will another underdog triumph this week? We’ll have to wait and see.

If you’re looking outside the favorites in L.A., here’s a list of five longshots who may just compete for the title this weekend.

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Five underdog picks for Genesis Invitational

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Max Homa (+5000)

WM Phoenix Open 2022
Max Homa hits his tee shot on the 13th hole during the third round of the 2022 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

It’s hard to call the defending champion an underdog, but Homa enters the week at +5000. The L.A. native is coming off a solid performance in the desert, finishing T-14 at the WM Phoenix Open. This golf course means everything to him and has called it his favorite course on the planet.

Outside of his win at Riviera, Homa finished T-5 here in 2020.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)

Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick tees off on the 10th hole during the first round of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

Again, tough to call a player sitting at +4000 to win an underdog, but remember, Fitzpatrick has yet to win on the PGA Tour.

The Englishman is playing really good golf so far in 2022, racking up a T-6 finish at Pebble Beach a few weeks ago and a T-10 at last week’s WM Phoenix Open. Fitzpatrick finished T-30 at Riviera two years ago and T-5 last season.

Alex Noren (+9000)

Alex Noren watches his drive off the fourth tee during the final round of the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club. (Photo: Carlos Osorio/Associated Press)

There’s a big number. Noren has finally found some form over the last several months and is back to playing the golf we saw him play a few years ago.

After missing the cut at the American Express to start his 2022, Noren finished inside the top 40 at Torrey Pines and grabbed a T-6 at the WM Phoenix Open. The Swede tied for 12th at Riviera last season and had another top 20 back in 2018.

Adam Hadwin (+10000)

Fortinet Championship
Adam Hadwin hits his tee shot on the seventh hole during round one of the Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort and Spa on September 16, 2021, in Napa, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images)

The Canadian is coming into the week a bit under the radar. He ended the week in Scottsdale tied for 26th, but he played much better than that shows. He limped home on Sunday shooting 74, but in his previous three rounds, 68 was his worst score.

Despite missing the cut at the Farmers, Hadwin grabbed a T-25 at the American Express and a T-16 at Pebble Beach. In seven starts at Riviera, Hadwin has finished 26th or better in five, which includes a career-best T-6 in 2018.

Joel Dahmen (+20000)

WM Phoenix Open 2022
Joel Dahmen and Harry Higgs take their shirts off on the 16th hole during the final round of the 2022 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo: Mike Mulholland/Getty Images)

Dahmen has a chance to contend this weekend, but any opportunity to use this photo in a story is just too hard to pass up.

Dahmen has missed the cut at the Genesis in three of his four starts at Riviera, but the one weekend he did make ended with a top five. He was in the mix a few weeks ago at Pebble, eventually tying for 6th.

Not sure we’ll see this move again even if he wins. But hey, ya never know.

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Max Homa pays off bet, wearing Atlanta Braves jersey at WM Phoenix Open’s 16th hole

“It’s the best crowd we get. 16 is the best amphitheater we get so it’s the perfect spot to do it.”

Over the years, golfers wearing jerseys from other sports has become a common sight at the WM Phoenix Open’s 16th hole. In 2020, multiple golfers paid respect to the late Kobe Bryant. Before this year, Jon Rahm often wore an Arizona State jersey to rep his alma matter.

On Friday, Max Homa added to the tradition. This time, it was the result of a bet.

After the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves in the 2020 National League Championship Series, Homa took over JT Poston’s Twitter account for a day. The two teams faced off again at the same stage last year so Homa and Poston made another wager.

Because the Braves won Round 2, there was Homa on Friday afternoon, walking down the 16th fairway wearing a white Braves jersey with “Poston” on the back.

“No animosity towards the Braves,” Homa said, laughing. “Now I have animosity towards JT Poston.”

Despite coming four months after the NLCS wrapped up, the longtime friends chose the Phoenix Open as the stage for their bet because of its trademark crowds.

“It’s the best crowd we get,” Homa said. “16 is the best amphitheater we get so it’s the perfect spot to do it.”

Over the years, Homa has seen the fan support surrounding him grow. He’s cultivated a significant Twitter following with a unique online presence that’s most notably defined by his witty critiques of amateur golfers who send him videos of their swings.

At the 2020 Phoenix Open, Max Homa was one of several golfers to pay tribute to Kobe Bryant, who died days earlier in a helicopter crash in California. Rob Schumacher/The Republic

In Phoenix, that popularity is especially pronounced due to the fan-centric nature of the tournament.

“When people are cheering for you and giving you support, it makes each day fly by and every hole is exciting,” Homa, who finished the day in a tie for 5th at 8 under, said.

At the 16th hole, though, fan support was distinctly in Poston’s favor. As Homa cleaned up his par wearing the Braves jersey, fans in the greenside stands did the Braves’ signature Tomahawk chop.

“I had to wear that ugly jersey, everyone did the chop, it was awful,” Homa said.

Afterward, he signed the jersey and wrote “Go Dodgers” on it before tossing it into the stands, leaving one fan with a one-of-a-kind souvenir.

On his way to the 17th hole, Homa stopped and said some words that he “cannot repeat” to Poston. That, though, won’t be the last time the two speak this week.

Separated by just one shot on the leaderboard, they’re paired together Saturday.

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Confirmed players for Netflix series features A-list of PGA Tour stars

Jordan. Justin. DJ. Brooks. Max. And plenty more.

If you’ve ever wondered what it’s like to be a member of the PGA Tour, the folks at Netflix are about to show you.

On Wednesday it was announced that Netflix would air a PGA Tour docuseries that would take fans behind-the-scenes and show what life on Tour is really like.

“This partnership with Netflix presents the PGA Tour and the four major championships an opportunity to tap into a completely new and diverse audience,” said Rick Anderson, the Tour’s Chief Media Officer. “This documentary will give fans an authentic look into the real lives of our athletes, and what it’s like to win — and lose — during a season on the PGA Tour.”

Filming is underway and will continue throughout 2022.

Confirmed players (alphabetically): Abraham Ancer, Daniel Berger, Cameron Champ, Joel Dahmen, Tony Finau, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Harry Higgs, Max Homa, Viktor Hovland, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Collin Morikawa, Kevin Na, Mito Pereira, Ian Poulter, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, and Bubba Watson.

Keita Nakajima, the world’s No. 1 amateur, will also be featured.

Japan’s next star: Is it Takumi Kanaya or Keita Nakajima? Or both?

“We are thrilled to bring golf’s leading organizations and players together for this first-of-its-kind partnership and unparalleled window into life on the Tour,” said Brandon Riegg, Netflix Vice President of Unscripted and Documentary Series. “Our members will love getting to know the players and personalities as well as the iconic venues along the way. Even the most devoted golf fans have never seen the sport quite like this.”

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The 10 golfers who made the biggest jump into the top 50 in final Official World Golf Ranking of 2021

The final Official World Golf Ranking of 2021 was made official on Monday.

The final Official World Golf Ranking of 2021 was made official on Monday.

This is a big deal because the top 50 not otherwise eligible earn a coveted spot into the 2022 Masters. This list below is going to focus on the 10 golfers who made the biggest leap up the ranking into the top 50 from where they stood at this time one year ago.

But let’s first give a quick shout out to guys in the OWGR top 100 like Marcus Helligkilde, who is up 565 spots (646 to 81) in the last year; Nicolai Hojgaard, up 431 spots (527 to 96); Seamus Power, up 358 spots (429 to 71); Santiago Tarrio Ben, up 259 spots (358 to 99); Mito Pereira, up 212 spots (307 to 95); and Chris Kirk, up 172 spots (265 to 93).

Now, on to those now in the top 50. Some of these names may surprise you.

How we would award the PGA Tour’s $40 million in Player Impact Program money

The Tour won’t release the winners, so we gave it a shot.

Commissioner Jay Monahan made it clear during his State of the PGA Tour press conference back in August that the winners of the $40 million Player Impact Program would not be publicized.

“To us, it’s a program that we created, was created by our players, with our players, for our players, and that’s, that’s what we decided that we were going to do when we created it,” he said at the time.

For the sake of some silly-season fun, your friends at Golfweek thought we’d share how we would dole out the cash. If you’re unfamiliar with the format, at the end of the year the Tour will reward 10 players who “positively move the needle,” with the player deemed most valuable receiving $8 million.

More on how the actual scores will be counted can be found here.

QBE Shootout: In-depth preview including betting odds, picks for the week, and more

It’s time for the final PGA Tour event of 2021.

Let’s play some team golf. The QBE Shootout is the last PGA Tour tournament on the schedule for the remainder of 2021, so we won’t see the guys again until Hawaii.

Last season, Matt Kuchar and Harris English broke their own scoring record in the unofficial event, a mark they originally set back in 2013, finishing at 37 under in the three-round event. They will partner again this time around with hopes to win the QBE for the fourth time.

Jason Day and Marc Leishman will also look to add a team championship to their resumes. Leishman won the Zurich Classic back in April with Cameron Smith, and the pair finished eighth at last year’s QBE.

More: Everything you need to know about the QBE Shootout

Golf course

Tiburon Golf Club
Par 72
7,382 yards
Bermuda grass greens
Greg Norman design

Weather

Day Conditions Percent chance of rain Wind & Direction
Tuesday Sunny 3 percent 8 MPH (NW)
Wednesday Sunny 10 percent 10 MPH (S)
Thursday Mostly Sunny 9 percent 8 MPH (S)
Friday Partly Cloudy 9 percent 8 MPH (SSE)
Saturday Sunny 9 percent 10 MPH (SSE)
Sunday Partly Cloudy 20 percent 11 MPH (W)

Format

Friday: Scramble
Both players hit tee shots, the team then decides which drive is better, then both play from that position. That process is repeated until the team finishes the hole.

Saturday: Alternate shot
One player will tee off, the other will hit their second, and the alternation will repeat until the team finishes the hole. However, it’s determined before the round which player will tee off on even holes, and which will tee off on odd holes.

Sunday: Best ball
Each player will play the hole normally, and the team will take the best score.

Twilight 9

Listen to this week’s episode of Twilight 9 where Andy and I discuss the Hero World Challenge, Viktor Hovland, Collin Morikawa, Tiger Woods grinding on the range, the QBE Shootout, and more.

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Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Sam Burns & Billy Horschel (+380)
Jason Kokrak & Kevin Na (+550)
Harris English & Matt Kuchar (+600)
Jason Day & Marc Leishman (+750)
Max Homa & Kevin Kisner (+750)
Ian Poulter & Lee Westwood (+1000)
Corey Connors & Graeme McDowell (+1000)
Brian Harmon & Hudson Swafford (+1200)
Matt Jones & Ryan Palmer (+1200)
Sean O’Hair & Will Zalatoris (+1200)

Betting card for the QBE Shootout

Despite his best effort to ruin my plan last week, Collin Morikawa finished inside the top 5 and cashed +130. However, my guy, Rory McIlroy borderline finished last. So, for the week, we were up .3 units in the Bahamas. Let’s see what we can do in Naples.

Sam Burns and Billy Horschel to win (+380)

Billy Horschel and Sam Burns walk to the 10th green during the first round of the 2021 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. (Photo: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports)

There’s a reason why these guys are the betting favorite. Horschel has been in decent form, but Burns, he’s been on a different level. His finishes this season: 1, T-14, T-5, T-7, T-3.

Max Homa and Kevin Kisner to win (+750)

Kevin Kisner putts as Max Homa looks on from the 18th green during the continuation of play before the third round of the BMW Championship. (Photo: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports)

This is going to be the most enjoyable pair to watch on TV over the weekend. They’re going to go out there and have a good time, and I think that will translate into a solid result. Kisner hasn’t had his best stuff so far this season, but his partner already has a win (Fortinet Championship).

Jason Kokrak and Kevin Na to win (+550)

Jason Kokrak (L) and Kevin Na (R) walk to the 10th green during the first round of the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am at the Monterey Peninsula Country Club (Shore Course) on February 11, 2016 in Pebble Beach, California. (Photo by Todd Warshaw/Getty Images)

Last time Kokrak teed it up, he won. Na hasn’t played much this season, with a missed cut at the Fortinet Championship and a T-49 at the CJ Cup. However, he was one of the runner-ups last season when he played with Sean O’Hair.

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RSM Classic: Birthday boy Max Homa, Harris English, Jason Day among the pros to miss cut

The bite returned to Sea Island Resort’s two courses—Seaside and Plantation—on Friday.

ST. SIMONS ISLAND, Ga. — The bite returned to Sea Island Resort’s two courses—Seaside and Plantation—on Friday after a day of record scoring on Thursday. Some players in the 155-man field found it more challenging than others.

South Africa’s Louis Oosthuizen, for one, didn’t make it to the first tee, withdrawing from the RSM Classic with a back injury. Robert Streb won’t defend his title as he missed making the weekend by a shot.

Those two weren’t the only notable names to be sent home from the final tournament of the fall portion of the 2021-22 PGA Tour season.

Here’s a list of some of the big names who have the weekend off after flaming out with a not-so golden performance on the Golden Isles of South Georgia.

QBE Shootout pairings: Lexi Thompson paired with Bubba Watson, Max Homa with Kevin Kisner and more

Lexi is back at the QBE, and with a new partner.

Lexi Thompson has had quite the pairings in her four years playing the QBE Shootout. The LPGA star – just the second woman to ever play in the PGA Tour team event – has played with Tony Finau twice, and Bryson DeChambeau and Sean O’Hair once.

Back this year after missing the 2020 event due to a conflict with the U.S. Women’s Open, Thompson finds herself paired with two-time Masters champion Bubba Watson, who came to the Solheim Cup to support the team this year and has a new book out.

The Shootout announced the pairings Monday afternoon for the tournament from Dec. 8-12 at Tiburón Golf Club at the Ritz-Carlton Golf Resort in Naples, Florida.

“Across the board, we are thrilled with the compelling teams and outstanding players heading to Naples and Tiburon Golf Club this year,” tournament founder and host Greg Norman said in a release. “These dynamic duos of rising stars, PGA Tour winners and major champions are sure to create three exciting days of competition for the Southwest Florida community and our global television audience.”

Thompson isn’t just a nice addition to the field because of her popularity, or her own love for playing in the event so close to her East Coast home base.

More: Greg Norman will maintain QBE role amid becoming commissioner of Saudi-backed league

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Playing with Finau, the pair tied for fourth in 2017, and seventh in 2018. The other two pairings weren’t as successful Thompson and DeChambeau tied for 11th in the 12-team field in her first year in 2016, and her and O’Hair were last in 2019.

Regardless of who Thompson is paired with, as long as Harris English and Matt Kuchar are playing together — and they are for the seventh time — they will be the team to beat. And for three of their six previous appearances no team has done that, including last year when they won by a whopping nine strokes and shot 37 under.

Besides the 2017 tournament, when they finished ninth, they’ve been first in 2013, 2016, and 2020, and second in 2014 and 2015.

There are two other returning teams, and one of them beat Kuchar and English. U.S. Ryder Cup captain Steve Stricker, who also is the defending champion for the Chubb Classic coming up in February, and Sean O’Hair won back in 2017. Ryan Palmer and Harold Varner III also have been paired together previously.

There are 11 in the top 50 in the current world rankings: No. 16 English, No. 20 Billy Horschel, No. 28 Kevin Na, No. 29 Jason Kokrak, No. 33 Max Homa, No. 35 Marc Leishman, No. 36 Corey Conners, No. 37 Lee Westwood, No. 38 Kevin Kisner, and No. 41 Palmer.

“As a company that prides itself on being a strong partner, it’s quite fitting for QBE to sponsor an event that emphasizes the power of teamwork,” said Todd Jones, Chief Executive Officer of QBE North America. “The pairings assembled for the 2021 QBE Shootout will no doubt offer an entertaining and compelling competition for our customers, partners and the worldwide golf community to enjoy.”

Golf Channel will broadcast Friday’s first round competition live from noon to 4 p.m. ET. Over the weekend, the final two rounds will feature live coverage on both Golf Channel and NBC. Saturday’s coverage will begin from 1-3 p.m. ET on Golf Channel then switching to NBC from 3-5 p.m. ET. The final round will air on Golf Channel from noon-2 p.m. ET and NBC from 2-4 p.m ET.

The QBE Shootout will once again feature a scramble format during the first round, a modified alternate shot format on Saturday, and a final-round better ball on Sunday. CureSearch for Children’s Cancer will continue to be the tournament’s primary charitable beneficiary. Since 1989, the Shootout has raised more than $15 million for charitable causes.

QBE Shootout pairings

Harris English-Matt Kuchar (13 PGA Tour wins and three QBE Shootout wins as a team)

English and Kuchar will partner for the seventh time. The most successful pairing in Shootout history, this team has also recorded two runner-up finishes (2014, 2015). Hank Kuehne-Jeff Sluman won in ’03 and ’04 while Brad Faxon-Scott McCarron won in ’00 and ’01 as the other multiple winners. The duo holds the tournament record for largest margin of victory, nine strokes last year. They also held the previous record when they won by seven in 2013.

Lexi Thompson-Bubba Watson (27 worldwide wins including three major championships)

Watson will be making his seventh appearance. Thompson will be making her fifth start with her fourth different teammate. Thompson’s best finish was a T4 with Tony Finau in 2017 and Watson’s fifth place last year with Louis Oosthuizen is his best. Thompson has played on five Solheim Cup teams while Watson has been a member of six U.S. national teams — Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup.

Jason Day-Marc Leishman (17 Tour wins, one major championship)

This Australian team will be partnered in the QBE Shootout for the first time. At the 2017 Presidents Cup, they were paired together for the first three matches and came up empty in a U.S. victory that year. Day won here in 2014 with Cameron Tringale. This will be Day’s first appearance since winning that year and Leishman returns for the second consecutive time.

Sam Burns-Billy Horschel (8 Tour wins)

This SEC team, LSU and Florida, respectively, is one of the nine new teams. Horschel will be making his ninth consecutive start and Burns his first. Both players qualified for the Tour Championship in September and finished in the top 20. Both also won this year. Burns won the Valspar Championship in the Spring and Sanderson Farms Championship last month. Horschel, the 2014 FedExCup champion, won the WGC-Match Play in March. Between them, they accumulated 14 top-10 finishes in the 2020-2021 season.

Jason Kokrak-Kevin Na (7 Tour wins)

Na, is making his third appearance. His best was a T2 in 2020 with Sean O’Hair. Kokrak and J.T. Poston were runners-up in 2019 in Jason’s only appearance prior to this year. Another new team and pairing that won as individuals during the 2020-21 season. Kokrak won the CJ Cup last October and Na the Sony Open in Hawaii in January.

Ian Poulter-Lee Westwood (5 Tour wins, 54 International wins)

The two Englishmen are playing together for the second time. Poulter will be making his eighth start and Westwood his second and first since 2013. Poulter won with Dustin Johnson in 2010 and in Westwood’s only start, he and Poulter finished third.

Max Homa-Kevin Kisner (7 Tour victories)

Kisner will be playing in his fifth Shootout. He played four consecutive before missing last year and his best finish was 4th place with Kevin Chappell in 2016. Homa is a Shootout rookie. One of Kisner’s career titles is the 2019 WGC-Match Play and he was undefeated at the 2017 Presidents Cup with a 2-0-2 record. In September, Homa won the Fortinet Championship to start his season and record his second win in the calendar year.

Brian Harman-Hudson Swafford (4 Tour wins)

These two Georgia Bulldogs and Sea Island, Georgia, residents, will be playing for the first time together. Harman won with another Sea Island resident Patton Kizzire in 2018. Swafford is another Naples rookie. Both played on the Bulldog golf team that included Harris English, Chris Kirk, Russell Henley and Brendon Todd — all of whom are Tour winners.

Ryan Palmer-Harold Varner III (5 worldwide wins)

Playing together for the third straight year and their best finish was T3 in 2019. Both are making their fourth start in the QBE Shootout. Palmer won the Zurich Classic in New Orleans with Jon Rahm in 2019. Combined this duo has accumulated 26 top-10 finishes in the past four seasons.

Sean O’Hair-Steve Stricker (16 Tour wins)

As individuals both have won the QBE Shootout on two occasions—once together in 2017. O’Hair also won with Kenny Perry in 2012 and Stricker with Jerry Kelly in 2009. Back together for the first time since defending in 2018. Other players to win two times with different partners are Raymond Floyd, Fred Couples and Jerry Kelly. Kenny Perry won with three different partners.

Corey Conners-Graeme McDowell (5 Tour wins, one major championship)

Another international team representing Canada and Northern Ireland. McDowell is playing in his ninth Shootout while Conners only start was in 2019 when he played with Andrew Putnam.

For McDowell, this will be his seventh different partner. He has finished second three times, with Darren Clarke in 2010, Shane Lowry in 2017 and Emiliano Grillo in 2018. Conners accumulated eight top-10 finishes and 19 top 25s in the 2021 season, including a T8 at the Masters.

K.H. Lee-Brandt Snedeker (10 Tour wins)

Snedeker, another FedExCup champion in the field, will be in Naples for the seventh time. He won in 2015 with Jason Dufner. Lee is making his first Shootout appearance after a strong 2020/2021 season that included a win at the AT&T Byron Nelson.

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CJ Cup: In-depth PGA Tour preview with strokes gained data, players to watch and more

Las Vegas once again plays host to the best players in the world.

After Sungjae Im’s victory at the Shriners Children’s Open, the PGA Tour heads just 10 minutes down the road to The Summit Club for the CJ Cup. Jason Kokrak is the defending champion, whose Sunday 64 cemented his two-shot victory over Xander Schauffele.

While the Shriners hosted a pretty decent field last week, despite several of the biggest names missing the cut, the CJ Cup is welcoming many of the best players on the planet.

World No. 2 Dustin Johnson is making his 2021-22 season debut, but if his play at the 43rd Ryder Cup at Whistling Straits is any indication, he should be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon. Johnson’s partner throughout much of the United States’ rout of Europe, Collin Morikawa, is actually a member at The Summit Club. Justin Thomas, like the aforementioned pair, is making his season debut. He’s a two-time CJ Cup champion, with both wins coming at Nine Bridges, a championship layout in South Korea.

The CJ Cup is once again state-side due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Golf course

The Summit Club
Par 72
7,431 yards
Tom Fazio design

Quick note: I wouldn’t read too much into its location. Despite the surrounding dirt and desert, this course will play more like a parkland style, with only the furthest off-target tee balls having a chance to find the sand.

Weather

Day Conditions Percent chance of rain Wind & Direction
Tuesday Partly Cloudy 12 percent 20 MPH (NNW)
Wednesday Sunny 0 percent 5 MPH (ENE)
Thursday Sunny 0 percent 8 MPH (N)
Friday Sunny 0 percent 10 MPH (NNE)
Saturday Sunny 0 percent 6 MPH (NE)
Sunday Partly Cloudy 0 percent 6 MPH (E)

Key stats

It’s always tough to determine key stats for a venue of which we have little-to-no knowledge. It’s the first time The Summit Club will be featured on the PGA Tour, and it’s private existence lends zero insider information.

However (from what I’ve been able to put together from their website, photos, and YouTube), it looks like a big ballpark. Driving distance, more often than not, is an advantage on Tour, and this week seems like no exception.

Data Golf information

Trending (among the players in the field): 1. Sungjae Im (last 3 starts: T-20, T-31, 1), 2. Cameron Smith (2, T-34, T-14), 3. Kevin Na (T-17, 3, MC)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Justin Thomas (4.1 percent), 2. Viktor Hovland (3.8 percent), 3. Rory McIlroy (3.8 percent)

Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Dustin Johnson (+1200) Justin Thomas (+1300)
Xander Schauffele (+1300) Collin Morikawa (+1500)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2000) Rory McIlroy (+2000)
Jordan Spieth (+2000) Tony Finau (+3000)
Cameron Smith (+3000) Brooks Koepka (+3000)

Players to watch

Viktor Hovland: Hovland’s ball-striking at the Shriners Open was on another level. He gained 5.42 strokes off the tee, while gaining another 5.28 on approach. However, he lost 8.91 strokes around the green. That’s bad. That’s almost so bad I can’t wrap my head around it. I don’t expect that to happen again, though.

Despite the different venue, Hovland competed well in the loaded CJ Cup field last year and finished T-12. If you’re looking for a course comparison, I love to highlight other courses designed by the same architect. Quail Hollow, which went through a 2017 renovation by Tom Fazio, is a good place to start.

Back in May, Hovland tied for third at the Wells Fargo Championship (played at Quail Hollow).

If his short game is even mediocre this week, look for him to improve on his T-44 from the Shriners, and even find himself in the mix come Sunday.

Viktor Hovland hits his tee shot on the 14th hole during round one of the Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin on October 07, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images)

Rory McIlroy: If you’ve never listened to my podcast, Twilight 9 (coming soon to Golfweek), let me share a little tidbit with you. I love Rory McIlroy. That’s my guy, and every single time he tees it up I talk myself into thinking he’ll win that week (just wait for the Masters, I really turn it on every April).

Do I love what I saw at the Ryder Cup? Nope, although he did beat Schauffele pretty handily in their Sunday singles match. But his course history couldn’t be much better than that at Quail Hollow, which includes a win just a few months ago over Abraham Ancer.

This will be his first start of the new season, so hopefully he’s used the last few weeks to get his game back in shape.

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Max Homa: It’s tough to ignore the value we can still get with Homa (+6000), especially since the last time he teed it up, he won. The Fortinet Championship was Homa’s third win on Tour, and he’s establishing himself as a top player in the world.

He resides in Arizona, so playing in the desert will make him feel right at home. Homa averaged over 310 yards off the tee in Napa, so keeping up with the big boys won’t be an issue for him.

If his iron game also made the trip to Nevada, keep an eye out for Homa. Love him for a top 20 this week. (Also, I don’t know how someone could possible bet against that mustache.)

Fortinet Championship
Max Homa celebrates with the champion’s trophy after winning the Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort and Spa on September 19, 2021 in Napa, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images)

Collin Morikawa: Tough to argue he doesn’t have a leg up on this field.

He’s coming off a stellar performance at the Ryder Cup, with his only non-win coming in Sunday singles where he halved with Hovland. He’s not long off the tee by any means, but his out-of-this-world iron play makes up for that.

Last season at Shadow Creek, Morikawa finished a respectable T-12. This will be his 2021-22 debut.

BMW Championship 2021
Collin Morikawa reacts before teeing off on the sixth hole during the Pro-Am at the BMW Championship golf tournament, Wednesday, Aug. 25, 2021, at Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

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Winner’s Bag: Max Homa, Fortinet Championship

Take a look at the golf equipment Max Homa used to win the PGA Tour’s 2021 Fortinet Championship.

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A complete list of the golf equipment Max Homa used to win the PGA Tour’s 2021 Fortinet Championship:

DRIVER: Titleist TSi3 (9 degrees), with Aldila Rogue Black 130 MSI 60 TX shaft (From $549 at Carl’s Golf Land and Dick’s Sporting Goods)

FAIRWAY WOOD: Titleist TSi3 (15 degrees), with Aldila Rogue Black 130 MSI 80 TX shaft, TSi2 (21 degrees), with Graphite Design Tour AD XC 9 TX shaft (Titleist Tsi3 fairway woods from $299 at Carl’s Golf Land and Dick’s Sporting Goods)

IRONS: Titleist 620MB (4-9), with KBS $Taper 130 X

WEDGES: Titleist Vokey Design Spin Milled SM8 (46, 50, 56, and 60 degrees), with KBS $Taper 130 X shafts (From $159 at titleist.com and dickssportinggoods.com)

PUTTER: Scotty Cameron Phantom X 5.5 prototype

BALL: Titleist Pro V1 (From $50 per dozen at titleist.com and carlsgolfland.com)

GRIPS: Golf Pride Tour Velvet Cord