Mavericks Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Dallas Mavericks (37-41) battle the Atlanta Hawks (38-39) Sunday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks are coming off a 124-107 loss at Brooklyn Friday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point favorite. They are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 3, but 4-4 ATS over their last 8. Atlanta is 34-43 ATS this season. They rank 4th in the NBA at 117.9 points per game.

The Mavericks lost on the road to the Miami heat 129-122 Saturday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. They are 1-4 straight up and ATS in their last 5 games. They are just 29-45-3 ATS this season.

The Hawks beat Dallas 130-122 on Jan. 18, covering as a 2.5-point road underdog while the Over 231.5 hit.

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Mavericks at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hawks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-115) | Hawks -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mavericks at Hawks key injuries

Mavericks

Not yet submitted

Hawks

F De’Andre Hunter (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Mavericks at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Mavericks 116

Moneyline

PASS.

The Hawks haven’t been great at home, but the Mavericks are on the 2nd game of a back-to-back and are just 3-9 straight up this season without rest.

Against the spread

LEAN MAVERICKS +3.5 (-115).

While most teams perform better at home, the Hawks haven’t this season. Atlanta is just 14-17 ATS as a home favorite and just 17-21 ATS overall at home this season.

It has failed to cover 3 straight games, 2 of which were at home. The Mavs, while 3-6 straight up over their last 9, are 4-4-1 ATS over that span. They are 3-3-1 ATS in their last 7 road matches.

Dallas needs to right the ship soon, and it should hang close in this battle, especially with the size and speed in the backcourt to abuse the defensive weaknesses of G Trae Young.

For a small unit, take the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 242.5 (-110).

This is an ultra-high total for how slow the Mavs play. They rank 28th in pace. They have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games, none of which had a total that topped 240. Dallas has scored 110 or fewer in 3 of their last 5 games as well.

The Mavs are just 18-22 O/U on the road this season. The Hawks are also 2-6 O/U in their last 8 games. Atlanta has scored 120 or fewer in 3 straight games. The Hawks are also just 10th in pace.

Take the UNDER 242.5 (-110).

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The Dallas Mavericks and Atlanta Hawks open up their 2021-22 seasons with a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off at State Farm Arena in Atlanta Thursday. Below, we look at the Mavericks vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas blew a 2-0 lead in its Western Conference first-round playoff series as it lost in seven games to the Los Angeles Clippers last year. The Mavs finished last season 45-34 overall, 38-41 against the spread (ATS) and 37-42 Over/Under (O/U), including the postseason.

Atlanta fans are hoping their team’s run to the Eastern Conference Finals last season is a sign of things to come. The Hawks were 51-39 overall, 49-40-1 ATS 39-49-2 O/U last season (including the playoffs).

The Hawks lost in six games in the conference finals to the champion Milwaukee Bucks after beating the New York Knicks in the first round and upsetting the Philadelphia 76ers in the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

The Mavericks won both regular-season meetings against the Hawks last year but Atlanta covered the second game as a 3.5-point road underdog in a 118-117 loss.

Guards Luka Doncic and Trae Young were traded for each other on the night of the 2018 NBA Draft. They’ve played four times thus far and the Mavs are 3-1 in those games.

Mavericks at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Hawks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +2.5 (-108) | Hawks -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Mavericks at Hawks key injuries

Mavericks

None.

Hawks

SF Danilo Gallinari (shoulder) questionable
SG Lou Williams (hip) questionable
C Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) out
PF Jalen Johnson (ankle) probable

Mavericks at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 113, Mavericks 108

Money line

BET the HAWKS (-140) for 1 unit because they have a deeper roster and we have to see how the Mavericks look under first-year head coach Jason Kidd.

Dallas is very reliant on Doncic and I have little confidence the Mavs can win if he’s not the best player on the floor. While Luka is the best player on the floor in this game the next six best players are on Atlanta’s roster.

The Hawks were 29-13 overall as a favorite and 21-5 overall as a home favorite last season (including the playoffs) despite changing coaches in the middle of the season.

I’m higher on Atlanta’s roster, continuity and coaching staff than Dallas’s so I’m willing to spend a little more for the HAWKS (-140) outright.

Against the spread

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Hawks -2.5 (-112) only because I’d prefer to lay it with Atlanta’s money line than bet the spread.

I could understand playing the spread instead if you felt the Hawks (-140) straight-up is a little too pricey. However, Atlanta is the correct side and the best option is the money line.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 224.5 (-108) for 1 unit despite the Mavericks-Hawks total being kind of low considering these teams combined for 235 and 238 points in their two regular-season meetings last year.

Dallas was 5-14 O/U as a road underdog in 2020-21 and Atlanta was 8-17-1 O/U as a home favorite with a minus-7.2 total margin.

More than 95% of the money at the time of publishing is on the Over but the total hasn’t really budged from the opener.

Granted, it’s early in the betting day and if that money keeps pouring in on the Over the House will adjust. However, it would appear as though oddsmakers are comfy with the total they set for the Mavericks-Hawks.

Let’s fade the market and BET UNDER 224.5 (-108).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Tag: Mavericks Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Dallas Mavericks at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Mavericks at Hawks odds

Mavericks at Hawks key injuries

Mavericks at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Moneyline

Against the spread

Over/Under