The Dallas Mavericks (37-41) battle the Atlanta Hawks (38-39) Sunday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Hawks are coming off a 124-107 loss at Brooklyn Friday, failing to cover as a 1.5-point favorite. They are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 3, but 4-4 ATS over their last 8. Atlanta is 34-43 ATS this season. They rank 4th in the NBA at 117.9 points per game.
The Mavericks lost on the road to the Miami heat 129-122 Saturday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. They are 1-4 straight up and ATS in their last 5 games. They are just 29-45-3 ATS this season.
The Hawks beat Dallas 130-122 on Jan. 18, covering as a 2.5-point road underdog while the Over 231.5 hit.
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Mavericks at Hawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Hawks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +3.5 (-115) | Hawks -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mavericks at Hawks key injuries
Mavericks
- Not yet submitted
Hawks
- F De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 118, Mavericks 116
Moneyline
PASS.
The Hawks haven’t been great at home, but the Mavericks are on the 2nd game of a back-to-back and are just 3-9 straight up this season without rest.
Against the spread
LEAN MAVERICKS +3.5 (-115).
While most teams perform better at home, the Hawks haven’t this season. Atlanta is just 14-17 ATS as a home favorite and just 17-21 ATS overall at home this season.
It has failed to cover 3 straight games, 2 of which were at home. The Mavs, while 3-6 straight up over their last 9, are 4-4-1 ATS over that span. They are 3-3-1 ATS in their last 7 road matches.
Dallas needs to right the ship soon, and it should hang close in this battle, especially with the size and speed in the backcourt to abuse the defensive weaknesses of G Trae Young.
For a small unit, take the MAVERICKS +3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 242.5 (-110).
This is an ultra-high total for how slow the Mavs play. They rank 28th in pace. They have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games, none of which had a total that topped 240. Dallas has scored 110 or fewer in 3 of their last 5 games as well.
The Mavs are just 18-22 O/U on the road this season. The Hawks are also 2-6 O/U in their last 8 games. Atlanta has scored 120 or fewer in 3 straight games. The Hawks are also just 10th in pace.
Take the UNDER 242.5 (-110).
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