We get a 12-round WBA regular junior welterweight title bout Saturday when Gervonta Davis and Mario Barrios meet at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The fight will start at approximately 9 p.m. ET. Below, we break down the Davis vs. Barrios odds, with boxing picks and predictions.
The fight card is televised on Showtime pay-per-view.
Davis is unbeaten in 24 career professional bouts, and he has failed to record a knockout just one time in that stretch. In case you were wondering, it was German Meraz taking him the distance in a six-round fight at the Beau Rivage Resort in Biloxi, Miss., Oct. 8, 2014.
Barrios has never lost in 26 career fights, but he is a decisive underdog in this one, and Davis is easily the best fighter he will have faced in his career. He is coming off a sixth-round knockout over Ryan Karl last time out on Halloween.
Gervonta Davis vs. Mario Barrios odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.
Gervonta Davis: -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Mario Barrios: +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Draw: +2500
Davis has an implied win probability of 81.82% with the -450 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 2/9 or a decimal of 1.22.
Gervonta Davis vs. Mario Barrios: Tale of the tape
Gervonta Davis (-450)
Record: 24-0 (23 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-5 1/2
Reach: 67.5″
Stance: Southpaw
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Mario Barrios (+333)
Record: 26-0 (17 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-10
Reach: 71″
Stance: Orthodox
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Davis vs. Barrios: Odds, predictions and picks
Davis (-450) will cost you four-and-a-half times your potential return. While he is expected to move along against the mostly untested Barrios (+333), the latter still has never had a setback in his career – so there is risk.
AVOID.
Davis vs. Barrios best bet
While playing Davis straight on the 3-way line comes with a lot of risk for a small reward, it’s better to get specific and look at the method of victory. DAVIS BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-165) is a much better value.
In addition, look to the individual round betting. Play a three-round block, rolling with DAVIS IN ROUND 6 (+1000), DAVIS IN ROUND 7 (+1000) and DAVIS IN ROUND 8 (+1000). Yes, even if Davis wins in one of those three rounds, you will lose two of those ends. But you’ll still be quite ahead.
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
If you want some action on this bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
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