Tag: Mariners Guardians odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (44-32) and the Cleveland Guardians (45-26) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-2

The Mariners posted an 8-5 victory in Tuesday’s series opener, cashing as +124 underdogs with the Over (8.5) hitting. However, it was all Guardians Wednesday with Cleveland winning 8-0 as a moderate -149 favorite and the Over (7.5) just coming through.

Seattle was shut out for the first time since May 30 when they were blanked at home 4-0 by the Houston Astros. The last time the Mariners were shut out on the road was May 23 in a 5-0 loss at the New York Yankees.

Despite Wednesday’s loss, the Mariners are still 8-2 in the past 10 games, while cashing the Over in 3 of the past 4 outings.

The Guardians avoided a season-high 4-game losing streak with the emphatic shutout win. Cleveland is still 5-4 in the past 9 games, while the Over has connected in 3 consecutive outings.

Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. LHP Logan Allen

Castillo (6-7, 3.32 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 89 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Texas Rangers Friday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-4, 3.76 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.20 WHIP, .227 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 5 HR, 8.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • 2024 vs. Guardians: 1 start, loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 home defeat April 2
  • Career vs. Guardians: 1-4, 4.50 ERA (42 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 8 starts

Allen (7-3, 5.30 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 69 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 3-1 victory at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-0, 7.33 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.67 WHIP, .319 OBA, 6 HR, 8.1 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start, an 8-0 road victory April 3

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+150) | Guardians +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-110) are a good play on getaway day as the pitching matchup is tipped in their favor.

Castillo has been a lot more consistent than the southpaw Allen, who has been trampled at home. Teams are taking batting practice off of the Cleveland southpaw at Progressive Field this season. The veteran Castillo has pitched rather evenly both at home and on the road. Advantage Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, consider Mariners -1.5 (+150) on the run line. Obviously, do not bet the moneyline and run line together. Divvy up a FULL UNIT between the 2 wagers if you opt to go that route.

In Seattle’s past 3 wins, it has won by 2 or more runs in each. In 4 of the team’s past 6 road victories, Seattle also has won by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the M’s, you should like them to cash on the run line, too.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-105) is worth a look in this day game.

The Over has cashed in each of the first 2 games of this series. Plus, we have a Cleveland starting pitcher with an ERA north of 7 at home, while being hit to the tune of .319 at Progressive Field. The Mariners bats should come alive after getting blanked in Tuesday’s contest.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (44-31) and the Cleveland Guardians (44-26) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Mariners fell behind 1-0 after 2 innings in the series opener Tuesday, but Seattle scored 7 unanswered runs from the 3rd inning through the 7th inning, and it held on for an 8-5 win as a slight underdog (+116) while the Over (8.5) cashed.

The Guardians suffered a 3rd consecutive loss Tuesday, tying a season high skid. Cleveland also dropped 3 in a row in a road sweep at the hands of the Chicago White Sox from May 9-11. Cleveland has been outscored 20-11 in the 3-game slid, cashing the Over in the past 2 outings.

Despite Tuesday’s Over result, the Mariners have hit the Under in 4 of the past 6 games. The Guardians have also hit the Under at a 4-2 clip in the past 6 games, while going 9-4 in the previous 13 contests.

Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Bryan Woo vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Woo (3-0, 1.07 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.53 WHIP, 0.5 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-0 road win vs. Oakland Athletics last Thursday
  • 2024 road splits: 2-0, 1.50 ERA (18 IP, 3 ER), 0.50 WHIP, .141 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 0 BB, 14 K in 3 starts

Bibee (4-2, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 11 K in 4-2 road loss vs. Cincinnati Reds last Wednesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 5.06 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.23 WHIP, .253 OBA, 5 HR, 9 BB, 41 K in 7 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Guardians -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-190) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+110) are a strong play for the 2nd consecutive day as a road underdog.

Woo has torn it up for the M’s this season, turning in a minuscule 1.07 ERA through 6 starts. He has won both of his decisions in 3 road starts, too.

It won’t be easy, as the Guardians (-135) have a good one with Bibee on the hill. Runs should be at a premium in this battle on Wednesday night.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-190) will you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward if you require insurance and cannot back Seattle straight up.

Seattle cashed as the road ‘dog in the series opener Tuesday, and it’s a good bet straight up in the rematch.

If you like the M’s, just takes them straight up on the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is a strong option after the Over connected on Tuesday.

Woo has allowed very little, and he should quiet the bats of the Guardians. Bibee has also been tremendous for Cleveland, and he’ll do a good job holding down the Mariners, too.

Runs should be at a premium in this potential pitcher’s duel.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (43-31) and the Cleveland Guardians (44-25) begin a 3-game series Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 2-1

The Mariners are coming off a 3-game sweep at T-Mobile Park against the defending World Series champion Texas Rangers, outscoring them 15-7. The M’s have won 7 of the past 8 games, but they lost the last time they were underdogs, falling 3-2 in 10 innings to the Chicago White Sox Thursday. Seattle has cashed the Under in 4 of its past 5 games.

The Guardians dropped 2 of 3 games in Toronto over the weekend, and they’re 1-3 in the past 4 games, all on the road. But home field has been kind to Cleveland as it has won 10 of the past 12 games at Progressive Field. The Under cashed in 4 of the past 5 Guardians games and is 9-3 in the past 12.

Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. RHP Triston McKenzie

Miller (5-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 82 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. White Sox Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-3, 5.94 ERA (33 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.20 WHIP, .236 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 9 HR, 10 BB, 21 K in 6 starts
  • Never faced Guardians before; pitched in 39 career games since debut May 2023

McKenzie (3-3, 4.10 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 68 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 victory at Cincinnati Reds last June 11
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.98 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.52 WHIP, .233 OBA, 10 HR, 27 BB, 39 K in 8 starts
  • 2024 vs. Mariners: 1 road start, loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-4 setback April 1
  • Career vs. Mariners: 0-3, 8.16 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 4 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-210) | Guardians -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a solid play as even-money underdogs.

The Guardians (-120) are 21-8 at home, so it won’t be easy, but Cleveland has struggled a little lately, losing 3 of the past 4 games, while dropping 2 of the previous 3 at home.

Seattle has rocketed to a 9-game lead in the AL West, as it has had it on cruise control lately. The M’s have picked up 7 wins in the past 8 tries, while going 16-5 in the past 21 outings. Keep striking while the iron is hot.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-210) will cost 2.1 times your potential return. That’s a little too expensive even if you’re looking for a little insurance by getting 1½ runs.

If you like Seattle, just play it straight up on the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the best play on the board as Miller and McKenzie have put up some pretty good numbers this season.

Miller has posted quality starts in 3 of his past 4 outings, including 2 scoreless performances in the past 3 assignments. The Under is 4-1-1 in the past 6 games for the Mariners, while going 6-4 in the past 10 road outings.

For the Guardians, the Under is 5-2-1 in the past 8 starts by McKenzie, while the total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 games, and 7 of the previous 9 outings for Cleveland.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (3-5) continue a 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (5-3) Saturday. First pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-2

The Mariners spoiled the Guardians’ home opener Friday with a 5-3 win. Cleveland entered the 5th inning with a 3-0 lead, but Seattle posted 2 in the top of the 5th and 3 more in the top of the 6th to score the comeback victory.

The Guardians won 3 of 4 games at T-Mobile Park in Seattle to open the season but were unable to protect their home field in the opener. The M’s outhit the Guardians 10 to 7 and Cleveland batters struck out 13 times in the loss.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

LHP Marcos Gonzales vs. RHP Cal Quantrill

Gonzalez (0-0, 7.20 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 1 K across 5 IP in a no-decision against the Guardians Sunday.

  • Last season on the road: 4-9, 4.84 ERA (80 IP, 43 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 42 K, .305 opponent batting average (OBA) in 15 starts
  • Last season during the day: 3-7, 3.39 ERA (74 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 42 K, .219 OBA in 12 starts

Quantrill (0-0, 7.71 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 5 R (4 ER) on 8 H and 2 BB with 3 K across 3 2/3 IP in a no-decision Sunday in Seattle.

  • Last season at home: 9-0, 3.28 ERA (112 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 74 K, .234 OBA in 19 starts
  • Last season during the day: 6-2, 3.17 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 53 K, .260 OBA in 13 starts

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Guardians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-165) | Guardians -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-140) are solid moderate favorites against the Mariners as they look to bounce back after losing their home opener Friday.

Quantrill was unbeaten in his 9 decisions across 19 starts at Progressive Field last season. He is comfortable at home, and he’ll bounce back after a shaky start against the Mariners in Seattle in his season debut.

Run line/Against the spread

MARINERS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance on the visitors.

Seattle picked up the 5-3 win in Cleveland on Friday and is 2-0 on the run line as an underdog so far this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean.

The wind will be blowing in at an 8-11 mph clip from straightaway center field right into the face of the batters. This should keep scores way down.

The Under is 12-4-1 in the past 17 games for the Guardians in the second contest of a series dating back to last season.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Guardians (2-5) open a 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (5-2) Friday afternoon. First pitch for the Guardians’ home opener at Progressive Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 3-1

The Guardians lost 3-0 at the Mariners Opening Day but rebounded by taking the final 3 games of that opening series, outscoring Seattle 17-9. Cleveland then went to Oakland and took 2 of 3, so it has won 5 of 6 since dropping the season opener.

The Mariners dropped 2 of 3 games to the visiting Los Angeles Angels after the Guardians left town. Seattle fell 4-3 (as a +145 underdog) to L.A. and SP Shohei Ohtani in Wednesday’s series finale. The Under 7.5 cashed by a hook, snapping a 3-0 Over run for the M’s.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Aaron Civale

Gilbert (0-1, 1.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season, both against the Guardians. He allowed 1 ER — a solo HR by 1B Josh Naylor — on 4 hits and a walk with 7 K’s across 6 innings in a hard-luck, 2-0 loss Saturday to Cleveland.

  • Last season on the road: 8-1, 3.16 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 98 K, .233 opponent batting average (OBA) in 18 starts
  • Last season during the day: 5-3, 2.85 ERA (79 IP, 25 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 84 K, .214 OBA in 14 starts

Civale (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the season. He was on the winning end of Saturday’s 2-0 contest vs. Cleveland, twirling 7 scoreless innings of 2-hit, 1-walk ball, while striking out 3.

  • Last season at home: 4-3 3.80 ERA (45 IP, 19 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 49 K in 9 starts
  • Last season during the day: 2-4, 5.50 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 44 K, .259 OBA in 8 starts

Mariners at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115  to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Guardians +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

SEATTLE (-105) is worth a look on the road as the Mariners look to spoil the home opener for the Guardians (-115).

While Civale was amazing in the 1st matchup at T-Mobile Park, Gilbert was pretty good himself. The Mariners just didn’t give him any run support, but Gilbert showed last season he has a penchant for bouncing back after a loss. He lost back-to-back starts just once last season, and the Mariners were 6-1 in his last 7 starts of 2022.

Run line/Against the spread

SEATTLE -1.5 (+165) is worth a small play.

The thing about a home opener is that the home team players can’t be fully focused. They’re dealing with finally getting to their summer homes in Cleveland after a long spring training, and they might be dealing with getting tickets for family and friends. It can be a little overwhelming.

While the Mariners have lost 5 of the past 6, they should be all business.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-105) is the lean.

The Over cashed in 2 of the final 3 meetings in Seattle, but that Under was the matchup between Civale and Gilbert.

While I expect a little more offense Friday afternoon than we saw in the 1st matchup between these pitchers, there will also be a breeze from 6-9 mph blowing directly from center field into the face of the batters, keeping the ball down.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (74-58) and the Cleveland Guardians (68-62) play the middle game of a 3-game set Saturday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead series 4-1

The Mariners picked up where they left off in Seattle. This team took 3 of 4 games from the Guardians at T-Mobile Park last weekend, and Seattle won 6-1 in Friday’s series opener to avenge a loss to RHP Zach Plesac last weekend.

The Guardians have had a lot of difficulty plating runs, going for a total of just 13 runs in the past 8 games. Cleveland has won just 2 of its outings during that stretch of awful offensive performances.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

LHP Robbie Ray vs. RHP Xzavion Curry

Ray (11-8, 3.58 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 155 2/3 IP.

  • Is just 5-5 with a 5.25 ERA and .262 opponent batting average across 61 2/3 IP over 11 road starts
  • Twirled 7 scoreless IP with just 3 H, 0 BB and 7 K in a 4-0 win over the Guardians last time out Sunday in Seattle

Curry allowed 3 ER and 8 H across 5 IP with 1 BB and 3 K in a no-decision in his Major League debut against the Tigers Aug. 15.

  • Registered an 8-4 record, 4.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 108 IP in 19 starts and 2 relief appearances at Double-A and Triple-A this season

Mariners at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Guardians +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+102) | Guardians +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Guardians 3

Money line

The MARINERS (-165) are moderate favorites and a strong play over the tumbling Guardians. Seattle has won 4 of the 5 meetings this season, and it is catching Cleveland at a perfect time. The Guardians have struggled to score lately, and they won’t get back on track with a rookie making just his 2nd career start.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (+102) are worth playing on the run line. All 5 wins during Seattle’s 5-game win streak have come by 2 or more runs. In addition, the M’s have won 3 of 4 games against the Guardians by 2 or more runs, too.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-122) is worth a look as the Mariners will try to keep the offense rolling. They have 3 or more runs in 8 straight games and are averaging 6.2 runs per game during their 5-game win streak. While the Guardians are struggling to score runs, they should be able to at least plate a few runs of offense together to help get this over the finish line.

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Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (73-58) and the Cleveland Guardians (68-61) open a 3-game series Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead series 3-1

The Mariners are coming in hot, winners of 4 consecutive games, and 6 of the past 7 outings. That streak includes a 3-1 series victory against the Guardians last weekend at T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

The Guardians have hit the skids a little lately, dropping 5 of the past 7 outings, while experiencing an offensive power outage. Cleveland was blanked Wednesday and Thursday at the Baltimore Orioles, and the Guardians are averaging just 1.7 runs per game across the past 7 contests.

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Mariners at Guardians projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zach Plesac

Castillo (5-5, 2.85 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 116 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER on 4 H and 1 BB with 10 K in a no-decision against the Guardians in Seattle Saturday
  • Has recorded at least 5 K in each of his 5 starts with the M’s, posting 39 total K across just 31 2/3 IP

Plesac (3-11, 4.39 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 127 IP.

  • Is 1-4 with a 3.81 ERA with 38 K across 54 1/3 IP across 10 starts at Progressive Field this season
  • Allowed just 3 ER (all solo HR) with 0 BB and 6 K across 7 IP in a win in Seattle Saturday — his first victory in 13 starts.

Mariners at Guardians odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Guardians +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Guardians +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Mariners 3

Money line

The GUARDIANS (+115) really haven’t given bettors a reason to back them lately, going 2-5 across the past 7 outings. However, Cleveland is a solid side at home, and Plesac’s confidence received a huge jolt when he topped the Mariners and Castillo last weekend in Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-145) aren’t priced terribly out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance and just don’t trust Cleveland to snap out of its funk. Cleveland’s offense has been quite sporadic lately, and facing Castillo isn’t exactly a recipe of success.

Over/Under

Play the UNDER 7.5 (-110), as it is easily the best play with Cleveland struggling to plate runs lately. In fact, the Guardians have been shut out in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Under is 6-2-1 in Seattle’s past 9 games overall, and 4-1-1 in the past 6 against teams with a winning overall record. The Under has also cashed in Cleveland’s last 5 at home and gone 10-1 in its last 11 at home against a right-handed starting pitcher.

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