The Seattle Mariners (2-4) meet Los Angeles Angels (2-4) in their series’ rubber match at 9:40 p.m. ET at Angels Stadium. We analyze the Mariners-Angels betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Mariners at Angels: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Marco Gonzales vs. RHP Dylan Bundy
Gonzales in 2020: 0-1 with a 6.28 ERA (3 ER, 4 1/3 IP)
- 2019 vs. Angels: 2-1 with a 5.61 ERA in four starts (16 ER, 25 2/3 IP).
- Career vs. Angels: 5-1 with a 4.17 ERA in 12 starts (32 ER, 69 IP).
Bundy in 2020: 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA (1 ER, 6 2/3 IP).
- 2019 vs. Mariners: 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA (4 ER, 5 1/3 IP).
- Career vs. Mariners: 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA (6 ER, 20 IP).
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Mariners at Angels: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Mariners
- OF Mitch Haniger (hernia) out
- C Tom Murphy (foot) out
- C Austin Nola (knee) out
- DH Daniel Vogelbach (conditioning) out
Angels
- RP Justin Anderson (elbow) out
- SP Julio Teheran (COVID-19) out
- SS Andrelton Simmons (ankle) out
Mariners at Angels: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Angels 12, Mariners 6
Moneyline (ML)
The Mariners (+180) pitching staff has been getting crushed this season. It ranks last in runs allowed per game; 28th in opponent’s batting average and home runs; and 27th in strikeouts.
The Angels (-200) have scored a combined 17 runs in the first two games of these series, thanks in part to the debut of 3B Anthony Rendon, who hit a home run in Los Angeles’ 10-2 win on Tuesday.
BetMGM knows that Gonzales’s 5-1 lifetime record against the Angels is bogus, hence Los Angeles is a heavy favorite. However, the Angels moneyline (-200) is too expensive in the regular season for a team that perennially disappoints.
PASS ON THE MONEYLINE.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
If I’m forced to choose, I like the Angels (-1.5, -115) to win by several runs, but the run line — as was the case with the moneyline — is too pricey. Seattle (+1.5, -106) has suspect pitching, and the last 13 Mariners-Angels games have been decided by two or more runs.
Also, neither team’s alternate run lines are enticing enough to bet. PASS ON THE RUN LINE.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over/Under trends for this matchup has me BETTING OVER 9 (-115). The Mariners and Angels have a combined Over/Under record of 9-2-1 so far in 2020 and the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Another reason to like the Over (-115) is the extra vig for the line.
The Over being more expensive suggests the market is betting it, and generally, only sharp money moves lines in regular-season baseball.
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