The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens play Game 4 of their Stanley Cup Playoffs first-round series Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Bell Centre. Below, we analyze the Maple Leafs-Canadiens odds and lines, with NHL picks and predictions.
The Maple Leafs have rebounded with two consecutive victories after dropping Game 1 on home ice. That includes a 2-1 road win against the Canadiens on Monday night for their first series lead.
The Canadiens won the series opener, but they have struggled offensively with a total of just four goals across the first three games. They haven’t had a lot of success in back-to-back situations, going 1-4 in the past five with no rest.
Maple Leafs at Canadiens: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Maple Leafs -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Canadiens +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+150) | Canadiens +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under: 5.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Maple Leafs at Canadiens: Projected starting goalies
Jack Campbell (17-3-2, 2.15 GAA, .921 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Carey Price (12-7-5, 2.64 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO)
Campbell turned aside 28 of the 29 shots he faced in Game 3, picking up his second-career postseason victory. Both wins have been in this series. He also went 4-1-1 with a 2.16 GAA and .918 SV% in six starts against Montreal in the regular season.
Price was solid in Monday’s Game 3 loss, allowing just two goals on 29 shots. It was his third game back after a month-long absence due to a concussion, and there is a big concern with the back-to-back situation.
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Maple Leafs at Canadiens: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Canadiens 2
Money line (ML)
The MAPLE LEAFS (-175) grabbed home-ice advantage back from the Canadiens (+145) in Game 3. Although with no fans in the stands, the games have been more like those in the bubble last summer than what we have seen in the United States with throngs of raucous crowds returning.
Toronto has posted nine victories in the past 13 as a favorite while Montreal has won just once in the past five in back-to-back situations. That and worries about how Price will handle himself with the quick turnaround means the Leafs is the play.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+150) are worth a small-unit play. As mentioned, there are concerns about Price after playing so many games in a short period after a lengthy layoff. And the Canadiens +1.5 (-185) have just four total goals in three games, and that’s the biggest worry.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 5.5 (-105) is worth a look here. The Maple Leafs have averaged 2.7 goals per game in this series, and the Canadiens have put up 1.3 goals per game. While that doesn’t exactly scream Over, playing within 24 hours of the last game should mean some tired legs, some defensive lapses and an uptick in offense.
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